Middlesbrough vs Swansea City prediction 09.08.2025 | Championship
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
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Half time: 0 - 0
Full time: 1 - 0
Kick off:
Date:
Swansea City
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Contents
- Competition: Championship
- Date: 9th August 2025
- Kick-off: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
- Venue: Riverside Stadium
All eyes will be on the Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough this weekend, when Middlesbrough FC and Swansea City face off in their first match of the 2025–26 English Second Division campaign. Both sides are eager to start the season with a win, but Carrick’s side are favourites as they have an excellent record against the visitors. Read our Middlesbrough vs. Swansea City preview to find out all the key details ahead of the game.
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Swansea City
1 : 0
Middlesbrough
Championship
-
Middlesbrough
1 : 0
Swansea City
Championship
-
Middlesbrough
2 : 0
Swansea City
Championship
-
Swansea City
1 : 2
Middlesbrough
Championship
-
Swansea City
1 : 3
Middlesbrough
Championship
-
Middlesbrough
2 : 1
Swansea City
Championship
The two teams have played each other eight times since 2021 in all competitions. Middlesbrough were victorious in most of these encounters, emerging as winners six times and drawing once. Swansea City won just one game, but it was the most recent, back in March. All four home games played at the Riverside Stadium ended in favour of the hosts, with only one producing more than two goals.
Middlesbrough team overview
The hosts secured just one victory in their final six games last season, and we essentially witnessed the same form during the pre-season.
Michael Carrick’s team lost all six of their friendlies, suffering two defeats and drawing four times. However, Boro will be motivated by the fact that they scored exactly two goals in three of those games.
Darragh Lenihan missed the entire pre-season with an ankle injury, and Saturday’s game comes too soon for him.
The hosts' injury list also includes midfielder Riley McGree, who has missed the last 20 games due to a muscle injury.
Last matches of Middlesbrough
-
Rangers FC
2 : 2
Middlesbrough
Club Friendlies 3
-
Middlesbrough
0 : 0
Norwich City
Championship
-
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1
Middlesbrough
Championship
-
Middlesbrough
2 : 1
Plymouth Argyle
Championship
-
Millwall
1 : 0
Middlesbrough
Championship
Middlesbrough lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Seny Dieng
Defenders
-
12
Luke Ayling
-
6
Dael Fry
-
25
George Edmundson
-
30
Neto Borges
Midfielders
-
18
Aidan Morris
-
20
Finn Azaz
-
4
Dan Barlaser
Forwards
-
22
Tommy Conway
-
21
Marcus Forss
-
11
Morgan Whittaker
Swansea City team overview
Like their hosts, Swansea City also had a poor pre-season. Michael Carrick's side lost all three of their matches, conceding an average of two goals per game, and failed to score once.
The squad is hoping for a change of fortune this weekend, but they will have to do without three injured defenders.
Philipp Lissek is still being treated for an ankle injury he picked up at the beginning of last month. Ben Cabango and Ricardo Santos are also having treatment for their own injuries.
Last matches of Swansea City
-
Exeter City
1 : 0
Swansea City
Club Friendlies 3
-
Swansea City
1 : 4
Carmarthen Town
League Cup
-
Swansea City
2 : 2
Stevenage
Club Friendlies 3
-
Millwall
1 : 0
Swansea City
Championship
-
Queens Park Rangers
1 : 2
Swansea City
Championship
Swansea City lineup
Goalkeeper
-
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
Defenders
-
14
Josh Tymon
-
15
Cameron Burgess
-
2
Josh Key
-
41
Sam Parker
Midfielders
-
4
Jay Fulton
-
45
Cameron Congreve
-
31
Oliver Cooper
Forwards
-
35
Ronald
-
9
Zan Vipotnik
-
11
Josh Ginnelly
Prediction
While Middlesbrough have a great record in head-to-head matches between the two sides – having won all but one of the last six – their form isn’t the best, nor is that of their visitors. This fixture is likely to be a close one, and since there were no more than two goals in each of the last three meetings at this ground, I am backing under 2.5 goals.
Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game
- Each of the last three meetings between Middlesbrough and Swansea ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last six away games of Swansea City ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Bets on under 2.5 goals won in two of the last three home games of Middlesbrough.
Main prediction Middlesbrough - Swansea City
Under 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough vs Swansea City standings in Championship
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 84 - 42 | +42 | 83 |
| 2 | Millwall | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 55 - 45 | +10 | 72 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 60 - 39 | +21 | 71 |
| 4 | Ipswich Town | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67 - 39 | +28 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull City | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 63 - 58 | +5 | 67 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 62 - 53 | +9 | 64 |
| 7 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63 - 48 | +15 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby County | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 58 - 51 | +7 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 51 - 48 | +3 | 56 |
| 10 | Queens Park Rangers | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 57 - 62 | -5 | 56 |
| 11 | Norwich City | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 53 - 47 | +6 | 55 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 48 - 43 | +5 | 54 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 51 - 51 | 0 | 54 |
| 14 | Birmingham City | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 48 - 50 | -2 | 53 |
| 15 | Preston North End | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 47 - 51 | -4 | 53 |
| 16 | Swansea City | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 47 - 52 | -5 | 53 |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 57 - 57 | 0 | 51 |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 37 - 48 | -11 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn Rovers | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 37 - 49 | -12 | 46 |
| 20 | West Bromwich Albion | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 42 - 56 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 38 - 55 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Leicester City | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 53 - 62 | -9 | 40 |
| 23 | Oxford United | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 37 - 52 | -15 | 40 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 40 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 24 - 81 | -57 | -6 |