Middlesbrough vs Stoke prediction 30.09.2025 | Championship

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

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Stoke City

Stoke City

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1.91

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3.61

2

4.34

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  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Tuesday, 30th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

On Tuesday night at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough will host Stoke in one of the most intriguing matches of the upcoming Championship round. Both teams started the 2025/26 exceptionally and found themself among the early promotion candidates. Can Middlesbrough stay one of the only two teams without a defeat? Let's break down the matchup and find out the best betting option. 

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Middlesbrough

    2 : 0

    Stoke City

    Championship

  2. Middlesbrough

    0 : 5

    Stoke City

    Carabao Cup

  3. Stoke City

    2 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Middlesbrough

    0 : 2

    Stoke City

    Championship

  5. Middlesbrough

    1 : 1

    Stoke City

    Championship

  6. Stoke City

    2 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

Middlesbrough are better than Stoke in the H2H matches as they have won seven of the previous 14 encounters. Stoke won four games during the span, while three matches ended with a draw. Last season, Middlesbrough won both H2H league games against Stoke (2-0 and 3-1). 

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough team overview

Since relegation from the Premier League, Middlesbrough has participated in the promotion playoff in only two seasons. The team from Riverside Stadium exceeded expectations for the 2025/26 season so far, as they are currently at the top of the standings with four points more than the following teams on the table, Coventry and Stoke. Middlesbrough's only defeat in the season came in the EFL Cup against Doncaster. After that, Rob Edwards' team is undefeated in six matches in a row. In the previous game, Middlesbrough played 1-1 on the road against Southampton. The home side was better, but the guests once again found a way to stay undefeated. 

Southampton are impressive at the Riverside Stadium this season so far, as they have won all three matches. Middlesbrough have allowed only one goal at home this season, and limiting opponents' opportunities will be the goal on Tuesday, too. 

Middlesbrough have some problems with injuries ahead of Tuesday. They will be without Dael Fry, Darragh Lenihan, and Riley McGree. 

Last matches of Middlesbrough

  1. Southampton

    1 : 1

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  2. Middlesbrough

    2 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  3. Preston North End

    2 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Middlesbrough

    1 : 0

    Sheffield United

    Championship

  5. Norwich City

    1 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

Middlesbrough lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Sol Brynn

Defenders

  • 12

    Luke Ayling

  • 5

    Alfie Jones

  • 25

    George Edmundson

Midfielders

  • 2

    Callum Britain

  • 18

    Aidan Morris

  • 7

    Hayden Hackney

  • 3

    Matt Targett

Forwards

  • 11

    Morgan Whittaker

  • 13

    David Strelec

  • 9

    Tommy Conway

Stoke City

Stoke team overview

For seven years in a row, Stoke ended in the lower half of the Championship. Anything different wasn't expected this season, but the Potterrs collected 13 points in the opening seven league rounds and are currently in the promotion playoff zone. However, Stoke's form is far from excellent as they have won only one of their last five matches in all competitions. In the previous game, Stoke played 1-1 at home against Norwich. The home side surely deserved more as they ended the match with 58% ball possession and 16 shots on the goal, more than the guests.

Stoke failed to beat Norwich, but the manager, Mark Robbins, was still pleased. He said, "That is probably the most dominant we have been in games this season. They were hanging on; the only downside was that we didn't take the three points. I thought we worked really hard; it's just the fine details we need to tighten up in the final third. We have had a lot of chances to go out and win the game."

Stoke could have a full squad for the Tuesday game, as Sam Gallagher is questionable, and he could recover on time. The rest of the team is available.

Last matches of Stoke City

  1. Stoke City

    1 : 1

    Norwich City

    Championship

  2. Queens Park Rangers

    1 : 0

    Stoke City

    Championship

  3. Stoke City

    1 : 0

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  4. Stoke City

    0 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  5. Stoke City

    0 : 3

    Bradford City

    Carabao Cup

Stoke City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Viktor Johansson

Defenders

  • 22

    Junior Tchamadeu

  • 16

    Ben Wilmot

  • 18

    Bosun Lawal

  • 3

    Aaron Cresswell

Midfielders

  • 19

    Tomas Rigo

  • 10

    Jun-ho Bae

  • 12

    Tatsuki Seko

Forwards

  • 42

    Million Manhoef

  • 9

    Divin Mubama

  • 7

    Sorba Thomas

Prediction

Middlesbrough are excellent this season, especially at the home stadium, where they have won all three games. On the other hand, Stoke have struggled lately with only one victory in the last five matches. We should expect Middlesbrough to win on Tuesday night at Riverside Stadium. Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win. 

4 Reasons why Middlesbrough should win against Stoke

  1. Middlesbrough are at the top of the standings with 17 points in seven matches
  2. Middlesbrough won all three games at the home stadium this season
  3. Stoke won only one of the last five matches
  4. Stoke scored only two goals in the previous five games

Main prediction Middlesbrough - Stoke City

Middlesbrough to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.91

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Middlesbrough vs Stoke City standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 0 12 - 5 +7 18
2 Coventry City 8 4 4 0 22 - 7 +15 16
3 West Bromwich Albion 8 4 2 2 9 - 7 +2 14
4 Stoke City 8 4 2 2 10 - 5 +5 14
5 Preston North End 8 3 4 1 9 - 7 +2 13
6 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 14 - 8 +6 13
7 Leicester City 8 3 4 1 10 - 7 +3 13
8 Queens Park Rangers 8 3 3 2 11 - 13 -2 12
9 Swansea City 8 3 3 2 9 - 7 +2 12
10 Charlton Athletic 8 3 3 2 8 - 6 +2 12
11 Birmingham City 8 3 2 3 7 - 10 -3 11
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 6 - 12 -6 11
13 Ipswich Town 7 2 4 1 12 - 7 +5 10
14 Southampton 8 2 4 2 10 - 11 -1 10
15 Watford 8 2 3 3 9 - 10 -1 9
16 Portsmouth 8 2 3 3 7 - 9 -2 9
17 Wrexham 8 2 3 3 13 - 14 -1 9
18 Hull City 8 2 3 3 13 - 16 -3 9
19 Norwich City 8 2 2 4 10 - 11 -1 8
20 Derby County 8 1 4 3 10 - 14 -4 7
21 Oxford United 8 1 3 4 9 - 11 -2 6
22 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 0 5 6 - 10 -4 6
23 Sheffield Wednesday 8 1 3 4 8 - 15 -7 6
24 Sheffield United 8 1 0 7 3 - 15 -12 3

Middlesbrough vs Stoke – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Sky Sports+ platform. 

? How much is the average xG for Middlesbrough this season?

The average xG for Middlesbrough in the Championship this season is 1.24.

? How much is the average xG for Stoke this season?

The average xG for Stoke in the Championship this season is 1.40.