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Manchester United vs Newcastle United prediction 26.12.2025 | Premier League

Manchester United

Manchester United

Kick off:

Date:

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

1

2.61

X

3.74

2

2.74

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Friday, 26th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Old Trafford (Manchester)

On Friday evening, two teams enjoying rather underwhelming seasons by their standards, Manchester United and Newcastle, will face off in the 18th round of the  English top-flight division. The Red Devils arrive after a 2:1 defeat to Aston Villa at Villa Park, while the Magpies were held to a 2:2 draw by Chelsea at St James' Park.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Manchester United vs Newcastle United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Newcastle United

    4 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    0 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    1 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    0 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

  6. Newcastle United

    2 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

In the previous H2H games, Newcastle have been much better, winning five, while Manchester United secured only one win. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Newcastle have won five and MU have won three.

Regarding the number of goals, four out of the last ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (four). 

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

Manchester United had one of their worst seasons ever last year, finishing 15th in the Premier League. They had their chance to save the season through the Europa League, but lost in the Finals to Tottenham. This season, the Red Devils are doing better than last season, but we all expect a lot more from them, especially since they are focused only on the domestic competitions. At the moment, they are in 7th place with 26 points - just three points away from fourth-placed Chelsea. Still, contending for the title seems impossible as they are already 13 points behind Arsenal, and securing the Champions League appears like their maximum. 

For the upcoming game against Newcastle, Noussair Mazraoui, Amad Diallo, and Bryan Mbeumo will be unavailable as they are on international duty with their NTs at AFCON. Also, in the previous game, Bruno Fernandes suffered a thigh injury and will be unavailable, along with Kobbie Mainoo, Harry Maguire, and Matthijs de Ligt, who will remain sidelined with their injuries. On the positive side, Casemiro will be available after serving his one-game suspension.

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    4 : 4

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  3. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    1 : 4

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    1 : 1

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  5. Crystal Palace

    1 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

  • 26

    Ayden Heaven

  • 15

    Leny Yoro

Midfielders

  • 2

    Diogo Dalot

  • 25

    Manuel Ugarte

  • 18

    Casemiro

  • 13

    Patrick Dorgu

Forwards

  • 7

    Mason Mount

  • 10

    Matheus Cunha

  • 30

    Benjamin Sesko

Newcastle United

Newcastle United team overview

Newcastle had three solid seasons behind them, finishing between fourth and seventh place. Unfortunately, they haven't continued with such performances this year, at least in the Premier League. After 17 rounds, they are in 11th place with 23 points - three away from their next opponent. However, on the positive side, the Magpies did well in the Cup competitions, having recently secured the EFL Cup Semi-Finals and also the Champions League 1/16 Finals. 

Unlike Manchester United, the Magpies will have no players called for the ongoing AFCON. However, they will still have several important ones out due to injuries they sustained earlier - William Osula, Jamaal Lascelles, Sven Botman, Emil Krafth, Kieran Trippier, Valentino Livramento, and Dan Burn. At the same time, Nick Pope is questionable with a groin injury. 

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Fulham

    Carabao Cup

  3. Sunderland

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

  5. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Aaron Ramsdale

Defenders

  • 67

    Lewis Miley

  • 5

    Fabian Schär

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 39

    Bruno Guimarães

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

Forwards

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 10

    Anthony Gordon

  • 23

    Jacob Murphy

Prediction

Manchester United went over 2.5 goals in the last three games, while scoring nine goals and with an average of 5.33 goals per game! They have generally played high-scoring games this season and are the best team in the Premier League for this type of bet, with 12 of their 17 games ending with over three goals.

Newcastle have been good offensively in recent matches, scoring two or more goals in six out of the past seven games. Mainly due to a good offense, they went over 2.5 goals in six out of those seven games. Additionally, nine of their last ten games ended with three or more goals.

Moreover, two of the last three games ended with three or more goals. Considering all the above, but especially outstanding offensive performances from both teams, we expect a high-scoring game, most likely with both teams scoring.

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Manchester United went over 2.5 goals in the last three games
  2. Manchester United went over 2.5 goals in 12 out of 17 Premier League games - the most in the league
  3. Newcastle went over 2.5 goals in nine out of the last ten games across the competitions
  4. Newcastle scored two or more goals in six out of the last seven games

Main prediction Manchester United - Newcastle United

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.71

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Manchester United vs Newcastle United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 - 10 +21 39
2 Manchester City 17 12 1 4 41 - 16 +25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 - 18 +9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 - 17 +12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 - 25 +3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 - 17 +2 27
7 Manchester United 17 7 5 5 31 - 28 +3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 - 19 +2 26
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 6 6 5 25 - 23 +2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 - 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle United 17 6 5 6 23 - 22 +1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 - 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 - 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham Hotspur 17 6 4 7 26 - 23 +3 22
15 AFC Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 - 29 -3 22
16 Leeds United 17 5 4 8 24 - 31 -7 19
17 Nottingham Forest 17 5 3 9 17 - 26 -9 18
18 West Ham United 17 3 4 10 19 - 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 - 34 -15 11
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 17 0 2 15 9 - 37 -28 2

Manchester United vs Newcastle United – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.82.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.48.