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Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction 15.03.2026 | Premier League

Manchester United

Manchester United

Kick off:

Date:

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

1.75

X

4.36

2

4.67

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 15th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: Old Trafford (Manchester)

On Sunday afternoon, two teams battling to secure a top-four finish and Champions League next season, Manchester United and Aston Villa, will face off in the 30th round of the Premier League. Manchester United lost the last game 2:1 to Newcastle, recording their first loss under coach Michael Carrick. Aston Villa are coming to the game after beating Lille 1:0 in the Europa League 1/8 Finals, ending their terrible four-game stretch where they won just two points.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie. 

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Aston Villa

    0 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Aston Villa

    1 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  6. Manchester United

    1 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

In the first H2H game of the season, Aston Villa won 2:1 at Villa Park. Looking further back, Manchester United won five, and Aston Villa only twice. But, at Old Trafford, the Red Devils were a lot better, winning the last four games.

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (seven).

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

Manchester United's season has been a disaster until the appointment of their former midfielder and present caretaker manager, Michael Carrick. Under him, the Red Devils finally started winning games regularly and even won games against some really good competition. However, that good seven-game unbeaten run came to an end in the previous game, losing 2:1 to Newcastle. 

After the loss to Newcastle, coach Michael Carrick spoke to the media. He said the result hurts and that he is bitterly disappointed with how the game went. He said they had control of the game but failed to take advantage after Newcastle went down to ten players. The young coach eventually admitted Newcastle deservedly won the match.

For the upcoming game, the team should have no new injuries, but the ones who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Mason Mount, Lisandro Martinez, Patrick Dorgu, and Matthijs de Ligt.

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    0 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. West Ham United

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 2

    Diogo Dalot

  • 5

    Harry Maguire

  • 15

    Leny Yoro

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

Midfielders

  • 18

    Casemiro

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 37

    Kobbie Mainoo

Forwards

  • 19

    Bryan Mbeumo

  • 30

    Benjamin Sesko

  • 10

    Matheus Cunha

Aston Villa

Aston Villa team overview

Aston Villa have been amazing under Unai Emery in recent seasons and are doing a really good job once again. The popular Villans are in 4th place in the Premier League with 51 points from 29 rounds. However, we must acknowledge that their form is slowly dropping and that they desperately need points to keep themselves in the top four. At the moment, the 5th-placed Chelsea are only three points away from them. Still, a win over Lille in their previous Europa League game could help them turn the negative momentum around.

After a 1:0 win over Lille, coach Unai Emery spoke to the media. He said it was a demanding match away from home and praised their defensive work. However, the coach said that it is only a small advantage and that the job is not finished yet. 

Jadon Sancho will be unavailable for the match, since he is on a loan deal from Manchester United. Moreover, Youri Tielemans, Matty Cash, Boubacar Kamara, and Andres Garcia Robledo should remain sidelined with injuries.

Last matches of Aston Villa

  1. Lille

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Europa League

  2. Aston Villa

    1 : 4

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    2 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  4. Aston Villa

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    FA Cup

Aston Villa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Emiliano Martínez

Defenders

  • 4

    Ezri Konsa

  • 14

    Pau Torres

  • 12

    Lucas Digne

  • 22

    Ian Maatsen

Midfielders

  • 21

    Douglas Luiz

  • 7

    John McGinn

  • 27

    Morgan Rogers

  • 24

    Amadou Onana

Forwards

  • 11

    Ollie Watkins

  • 10

    Emiliano Buendía

Prediction

Before losing to Newcastle, Manchester United were on an excellent seven-game unbeaten run, while beating teams like Arsenal, Manchester City, Crystal Palace, Tottenham, Fulham, etc... But that loss was on the road against a good team, and we can give them a pass. Meanwhile, at Old Trafford, the Red Devils were amazing under Carrick, winning four consecutive games.

Aston Villa are not in really good form, having won only two of the past eight games across competitions. In the Premier League, they have won just one point in the past three games. Also, the Villans had an extra game mid-week against Lille, which could affect them.

Considering all the above, but especially the difference in form in recent games, we believe Manchester United are closer to winning the upcoming game. 

4 Reasons why Manchester United should win

  1. Manchester United won six of eight games under Michael Carrick
  2. Manchester United have won the last four home games
  3. Aston Villa lost three of the past five games across competitions
  4. MU won five of the past seven H2H games

Main prediction Manchester United - Aston Villa

Manchester United to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.75

Bet here

Manchester United vs Aston Villa standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 30 20 7 3 59 - 22 +37 67
2 Manchester City 29 18 6 5 59 - 27 +32 60
3 Manchester United 29 14 9 6 51 - 40 +11 51
4 Aston Villa 29 15 6 8 39 - 34 +5 51
5 Chelsea 29 13 9 7 53 - 34 +19 48
6 Liverpool 29 14 6 9 48 - 39 +9 48
7 Brentford 29 13 5 11 44 - 40 +4 44
8 Everton 29 12 7 10 34 - 33 +1 43
9 AFC Bournemouth 29 9 13 7 44 - 46 -2 40
10 Fulham 29 12 4 13 40 - 43 -3 40
11 Sunderland 29 10 10 9 30 - 34 -4 40
12 Newcastle United 29 11 6 12 42 - 43 -1 39
13 Crystal Palace 29 10 8 11 33 - 35 -2 38
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 29 9 10 10 38 - 36 +2 37
15 Leeds United 29 7 10 12 37 - 48 -11 31
16 Tottenham Hotspur 29 7 8 14 39 - 46 -7 29
17 Nottingham Forest 29 7 7 15 28 - 43 -15 28
18 West Ham United 29 7 7 15 35 - 54 -19 28
19 Burnley 29 4 7 18 32 - 58 -26 19
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 30 3 7 20 22 - 52 -30 16

Manchester United vs Aston Villa – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.78.

? How much is the average xG for Aston Villa this season?

The average xG for Aston Villa in the Premier League this season is 1.47.