Contents
- Competition: UEFA Conference League
- Date: Thursday, 18th, December 2025
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
- Venue: Mewa Arena (Mainz)
Despite inconsistent recent form, both sides remain inside the top eight of the UEFA Conference League league phase, with Mainz and Samsunspor eager to make a strong statement on the final matchday and secure direct qualification for the last-16.
Mainz team overview
Unable to uncover the right formula to lift the club off the foot of the table, the hierarchy finally ran out of patience and relieved Bo Henriksen of his duties, turning instead to seasoned tactician Urs Fischer to steady the ship.
Under the guidance of the 59-year-old Swiss strategist, Mainz 05 have begun to show genuine signs of revival, none more striking than last weekend’s performance, when they became only the second side this Bundesliga season to take points off Bayern Munich, grinding out a courageous 2-2 draw at the iconic Allianz Arena.
That hard-earned point injected a much-needed surge of belief into the squad, and Mainz will now look to build on that momentum as they attempt to snap an uncomfortable seven-game winless streak across all competitions (D3, L4). A victory on Thursday would not only end that drought, but also secure direct passage into the last-16 of UEFA’s third-tier competition, adding further significance to the occasion.
Team news, however, remains less encouraging. First-choice goalkeeper Robin Zentner is sidelined with an adductor issue, while the influential trio of Maxim Leitsch, Anthony Caci, and Nadiem Amiri continue their recovery spells. To compound matters, Nikolas Veratschnig will miss out through suspension, leaving Fischer with several selection headaches ahead of a potentially defining night.
Last matches of FSV Mainz
-
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
FSV Mainz
Bundesliga
-
Lech Poznan
1 : 1
FSV Mainz
Europa Conference League
-
FSV Mainz
0 : 1
Borussia M`gladbach
Bundesliga
-
SC Freiburg
4 : 0
FSV Mainz
Bundesliga
-
U Craiova
1 : 0
FSV Mainz
Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz lineup
Goalkeeper
-
33
Daniel Batz
Defenders
-
48
Kacper Potulski
-
16
Stefan Bell
-
21
Danny da Costa
Midfielders
-
7
Jae-sung Lee
-
6
Kaishu Sano
-
15
Lennard Maloney
-
9
Arnaud Nordin
Forwards
-
14
William Bøving
-
8
Paul Nebel
-
17
Benedict Hollerbach
Samsunspor team overview
fter a fairytale beginning that saw them sweep aside their opening three league-phase challenges, it initially appeared as though Samsunspor were cruising toward a last-16 berth in their maiden UEFA Conference League campaign. However, the tide has since turned, leaving the Turkish side with unfinished business heading into the final 90 minutes of the group stage.
In a rollercoaster encounter on matchday four, the Red Lightning surrendered control and had to settle for a breathless 2-2 draw away at Breidablik, a setback that was followed by a narrow 2-1 home defeat to Greek outfit AEK — a particularly bitter blow given that Samsunspor had struck first. Those results have cast real doubt over their prospects of finishing inside the top eight.
Worryingly, their struggles have not been confined to the European stage. A two-goal defeat to Basaksehir in domestic action last weekend extended their winless run to six matches across all competitions and stretched their losing streak to three, meaning they approach the final matchday of the league phase low on confidence and momentum.
On the personnel front, Tanguy Coulibaly is making encouraging progress in his long recovery from a knee injury, but this fixture appears to have come too soon for his return. He is joined on the sidelines by six other absentees, leaving Samsunspor stretched as they prepare for a decisive showdown.
Last matches of Samsunspor
-
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Istanbul Basaksehir
Super Lig
-
Samsunspor
1 : 2
AEK Athens
Europa Conference League
-
Galatasaray
3 : 2
Samsunspor
Super Lig
-
Samsunspor
1 : 1
Alanyaspor
Super Lig
-
Breidablik
2 : 2
Samsunspor
Europa Conference League
Samsunspor lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Okan Kocuk
Defenders
-
28
Soner Gönül
-
4
Rick van Drongelen
-
37
Lubomir Satka
-
18
Zeki Yavru
Midfielders
-
29
Antoine Makoumbou
-
7
Anthony Musaba
-
10
Olivier Ntcham
-
21
Carlo Holse
-
11
Emre Kılınç
Forwards
-
9
Marius Mouandilmadji
Prediction
As the picture stands, both sides approach this decisive UECL matchday with fragile confidence and underwhelming recent form, yet Mainz appear to have every reason to believe their resurgence under Fischer can be capped with a victorious finale.
While Samsunspor’s overall European campaign deserves recognition, their recent trajectory tells a far less convincing story — winless in six matches and slipping to three consecutive defeats, doubts have begun to surface over their resilience and competitive edge at this crucial juncture.
In contrast, Die Nullfunfer look poised to dictate proceedings on their own terms, with enough structure, discipline, and renewed belief to see the job through and ultimately seal a coveted top-eight finish.
Three Reasons we expect Mainz to Win
- Mainz have drawn both of their opening matches under Urs Fischer’s leadership.
- Mainz’s confidence has received a boost after holding Bayern to a 2–2 draw over the weekend.
- Samsunspor have gone six consecutive matches without a win and have lost three in a row.
Main prediction FSV Mainz - Samsunspor
FSV Mainz to win
Best Odds:
FSV Mainz vs Samsunspor standings in Europa Conference League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 - 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 - 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | Raków Częstochowa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 - 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 - 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 - 4 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 - 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 - 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 - 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 - 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 - 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 12 | Celje | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 - 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | AZ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 - 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Rijeka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 15 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 16 | Lausanne Sport | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 17 | Noah | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 - 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 19 | Drita | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Lech Poznań | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 - 7 | +3 | 7 |
| 21 | Skendija 79 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 - 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 22 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 - 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 23 | Universitatea Craiova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 24 | Lincoln Red Imps | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 - 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 25 | KuPS | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 - 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 26 | Zrinjski | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 - 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 27 | Breidablik | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 - 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 28 | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 - 9 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 | Häcken | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 - 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 - 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 - 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 | Aberdeen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 11 | -8 | 2 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 - 7 | -7 | 1 |
| 35 | Shamrock Rovers | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 - 12 | -8 | 1 |
| 36 | SK Rapid | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 - 13 | -11 | 0 |