Mainz vs Rosenborg prediction 28.08.2025 | Conference League Qualifiers

Kick off:

Date:

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1.42

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7.25

  • Competition: Conference League Qualifiers, Playoff Round, 2nd Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 28th August, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Mewa Arena (Mainz)

After Rosenborg's 2:1 victory over Mainz in the first leg of the Conference League Playoff Round, the two sides now meet again at Mewa Arena for the decisive return match. Despite trailing from the first leg, the bookmakers still favor Mainz to advance to the Conference League main stage, offering odds around 1.60 – 1.65. On the other hand, the odds on the Norwegian team are between 2.15 and 2.3.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Rosenborg

    2 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Europa Conference League

The previous game in the Conference League was the only h2h match between the teams in their history. It was a match where Mainz dominated possession, but Rosenborg had better chances and deservedly secured a 2:1 victory. 

Mainz team overview

Mainz had an excellent season behind them as they finished sixth, finally securing European Qualifiers for the first time since the 2016/17 season. To be fair, they could have had an even better season as they were super close to reaching fourth place and the Champions League. Unfortunately for them, they won just once in the last nine games and missed the CL by five points. 

In the offseason, they did a fantastic job, winning four out of five games, including a win over the English FA Cup winner, Crystal Palace. Unfortunately, they weren't great in the official season as they lost in the Conference League against Rosenborg and in the Bundesliga opener against FC Koln. 

In the last game vs FC Koln, the team's starting striker, Benedict Hollerbach, suffered an injury and will most likely miss the upcoming Rosenborg game.

Last matches of

  1. Rosenborg

    2 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Europa Conference League

  2. Dynamo Dresden

    0 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    DFB Pokal

  3. Saarbrücken

    1 : 4

    FSV Mainz

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Bayern Alzenau

    0 : 4

    FSV Mainz

    Club Friendlies

  5. Bayern Alzenau

    0 : 4

    FSV Mainz

    Club Friendlies 3

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 27

    Robin Zentner

Defenders

  • 16

    Stefan Bell

  • 31

    Dominik Kohr

  • 21

    Danny da Costa

Midfielders

  • 19

    Anthony Caci

  • 6

    Kaishu Sano

  • 10

    Nadiem Amiri

  • 2

    Phillipp Mwene

Forwards

  • 8

    Paul Nebel

  • 11

    Armindo Sieb

  • 7

    Jae-sung Lee

Rosenborg team overview

Rosenborg, a 26-time Norwegian champion, havent won a title since the 2018 season! Last year, they finished fourth, barely securing Europe. Since Eliteserien has a different calendar from most football leagues around Europe, Rosenborg have already played half of the current season. Once again, they are not among the title contenders, considering they sit in fifth place with 30 points in 18 rounds - 12 away from the top spot, although with a game played fewer.

In Europe, Rosenborg started the competition from the second round, eliminating Banga (7:0) and Hammarby (1:0). Now, they have a good situation before the second leg vs Mainz and only need a draw to advance. 

After a 2:1 win over Mainz in the first leg, coach Alfred Johansson spoke to the media. He praised the team for their performance, saying the team is growing constantly. "First and foremost, I believe that was a strong performance by the team today. We played in an offensive mode, combined with defensive intensity. It suited the team very well," the coach added.

Last matches of

  1. Rosenborg

    2 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Europa Conference League

  2. Hammarby

    0 : 1

    Rosenborg

    Europa Conference League

  3. Rosenborg

    0 : 0

    Hammarby

    Europa Conference League

  4. KFUM

    4 : 1

    Rosenborg

    Eliteserien

  5. Banga

    0 : 2

    Rosenborg

    Europa Conference League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Sander Tangvik

Defenders

  • 16

    Aslak Witry

  • 38

    Mikkel Konradsen Ceide

  • 21

    Tomas Nemcik

  • 19

    Adrian Pereira

Midfielders

  • 45

    Jesper Reitan Sunde

  • 10

    Ole Selnaes

  • 6

    Santeri Vaananen

  • 7

    Seimen Bolkan Nordli

Forwards

  • 39

    Dino Islamovic

  • 35

    Emil Konradsen Ceide

Prediction

Mainz have had a really poor start to the season - two losses and one win. But even that win was far from impressive - 1:0 against a 2. Bundesliga team (Dynamo Dresden) in the Cup. However, Dynamo deserved at least a draw as they had better chances and eventually missed a penalty.

Meanwhile, Rosenborg are on a very good streak, losing just once in the last nine games across the competitions, while winning six of those nine - 67%. In Europe, Rosenborg were superb, and it seems they are only getting better as the Qualifiers progress.

Considering the outcome of the first leg, the difference in form, and all the above, we expect a close match and the visitors to cover the +1 AH spread. 

3 Reasons why Rosenborg should cover the +1 AH spread

  1. Mainz lost the last two games
  2. Rosenborg lost once over the previous nine games in all competitions
  3. Rosenborg won the first leg 2:1

Main prediction -

AH2 (+1)

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Mainz vs Rosenborg – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the SWR Fernsehen (Ger) channel.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Mainz?

Nadiem Amiri, who scored two goals in the first three games this season.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Rosenborg?

Dino Islamovic, who scored 15 goals in 21 appearances this season.