Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland prediction 04.09.2025 | World Cup qualification

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

Kick off:

Date:

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

1

3.87

X

2.91

2

2.29

  • Competition: World Cup qualifications
  • Date: Thursday, 4th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg)

On Thursday night at Stade de Luxembourg, the home national team will host Northern Ireland. In this group, there is a clear favorite in Germany, but all of the other three teams hope to finish in a position to at least make the playoffs. The bookies see Northern Ireland as the slight favorite for a win in Thursday's game, but Luxembourg have its chances, too. Let's break down the matchup and find the betting option for this clash.

Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Luxembourg

    2 : 2

    Northern Ireland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Northern Ireland

    2 : 0

    Luxembourg

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Luxembourg

    1 : 3

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

  4. Northern Ireland

    1 : 0

    Luxembourg

    Friendly International

  5. Luxembourg

    3 : 2

    Northern Ireland

    WC Qualification Europe

  6. Northern Ireland

    1 : 1

    Luxembourg

    WC Qualification Europe

Northern Ireland usually have a lot of success against Luxembourg as they have won three of the last four H2H matches, while one game finished with a draw. The previous H2H game between the two teams was played in 2024 in the UEFA Nations League, when it was 2-2 in Luxembourg. Another interesting fact about the H2H matches between these two teams is that we have seen at least four goals scored every time Luxembourg was the host. 

Luxembourg

Luxembourg team overview

Luxembourg undoubtedly raised the level of their national football team, but they are still waiting for their first appearance at a major football championship. Luxembourg enters the World Cup qualifications as probably the fourth-best team in the group, but they still hope to sneak among the top two teams. 

Luxembourg haven't played well lately as they have won only one of their last 12 matches. Their previous games were in June, when they played 0-0 against Ireland and lost 1-0 against Slovenia. Although those matches were friendlies, the lack of goals worries them. 

The game on Thursday against Northern Ireland will be the first for the new manager, Jeff Strasser. He convinced Al-Khaleej's goalkeeper, Anthony Moris, to return to the national team. Unfortunately, the team does not include a future superstar of European football, 16-year-old Brian Madjo. Luxembourg wanted him for the September matches, but it seems that he is waiting for an English call-up. 

Last matches of Luxembourg

  1. Luxembourg

    0 : 0

    Republic of Ireland

    Friendly International

  2. Luxembourg

    0 : 1

    Slovenia

    Friendly International

  3. Switzerland

    3 : 1

    Luxembourg

    Friendly International

  4. Luxembourg

    1 : 0

    Sweden

    Friendly International

  5. Luxembourg

    2 : 2

    Northern Ireland

    UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anthony Moris

Defenders

  • 4

    Florian Bohnert

  • 2

    Seid Korac

  • 22

    Marvin Martins

  • 17

    Mica Pinto

Midfielders

  • 18

    Laurent Jans

  • 16

    Leandro Barreiro

  • 8

    Christopher Martins

  • 19

    Mathis Olesen

  • 7

    Yvandro Borges Sanches

Forwards

  • 5

    Alessio Curci

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland team overview

Northern Ireland haven't played at a major tournament since the EURO 2016, while at the World Cup, they haven't participated since 1986. Slovakia have probably a slightly better team, but Northern Ireland hopes to beat them for the place in the playoffs. 

Northern Ireland didn't play well in 2025 as they won only one of four matches. In June, they won 1-0 against Iceland and lost 2-1 against Denmark. Both those games were friendlies. 

Northern Ireland have problems with injuries ahead of the World Cup qualifiers in September. They will be without Daniel Ballard, Brodie Spencer, Conor Hazard, Lee Bonis, Aaron Donelly, Ciaron Brown, Jordan Thompson, and Pierce Charles. The biggest problem is probably at the goalkeeper position with Charles and Hazard out, so Bristol Rovers' Luke Southwood is likely to be the choice for the upcoming games. 

Last matches of Northern Ireland

  1. Northern Ireland

    1 : 0

    Iceland

    Friendly International

  2. Denmark

    2 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

  3. Sweden

    5 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

  4. Northern Ireland

    1 : 1

    Switzerland

    Friendly International

  5. Luxembourg

    2 : 2

    Northern Ireland

    UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Luke Southwood

Defenders

  • 5

    Trai Hume

  • 3

    Ruairi McConville

  • 17

    Paddy McNair

Midfielders

  • 2

    Conor Bradley

  • 14

    Isaac Price

  • 19

    Shea Charles

  • 15

    Justin Devenny

Forwards

  • 11

    Paul Smyth

  • 8

    Callum Marshall

  • 10

    Jamie Donley

Prediction

Both teams have had offensive struggles in the last few matches. Luxembourg scored only two goals in the previous four games, while Northern Ireland scored four goals in four matches in 2025. Although all four H2H encounters between the two teams in Luxembourg were high-scoring, we shouldn't expect more than two goals in the upcoming clash. 

3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Luxembourg scored only two goals in the last four matches
  2. There were two or fewer goals in three of the previous four games
  3. Northern Ireland scored four goals in the last four matches

Main prediction Luxembourg - Northern Ireland

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Paripesa

1.4

Bet here

Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group A P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Germany 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Northern Ireland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the BBC Sport channel.

? How much was the average xG for Luxembourg in the Nations League?

The average xG for Luxembourg in the last Nations League was 0.94.

? How much was the average xG for Northern Ireland in the Nations League?

The average xG for Northern Ireland in the previous Nations League was 1.25.