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Lorient vs Nice prediction 30.11.2025 | Ligue 1

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.52

X

3.25

2

2.82

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 30th November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CET
  • Venue: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

On Sunday evening, two out-of-form teams, Lorient and Nice, will face off against each other in the Ligue 1 14th round at Stade du Moustoir in Lorient. The hosts are looking to end their seven-game winless streak, while Nice hopes to end their five-game losing streak across competitions.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. OGC Nice

    3 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  2. Lorient

    1 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  3. OGC Nice

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    1 : 2

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. OGC Nice

    2 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  6. Lorient

    1 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

Last season, Nice won their home match against Lorient 3:0, while the match at Stade du Moustoir finished as a 1:1 draw. Looking further back, in the last ten h2h games, Nice were a lot more successful, winning four times, while Lorient won twice. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the last six h2h games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in seven out of those ten h2h games. 

Lorient team overview

Lorient were relegated from Ligue 1 in the 2023/24 season but returned to the top flight the following season. This year, their goal is to survive, but we cannot really say that is going according to plan, considering they are sitting in 16th place with 11 points from 13 rounds. Yes, they are in the relegation play-off spot, but their current average of 0.85 points per game this season often isn't enough to avoid the bottom two spots and direct relegation.

However, one of the reasons for their current number of points are the constant injuries. For the Nice game, they could miss up to seven players - Laurent Abergel, Bandiougou Fadiga, Abdoulaye Faye, Panos Katseris, Trevan Sanusi, Igor Silva, and Isaak Toure.

Last matches of

  1. Nantes

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  2. Lorient

    1 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. RC Lens

    3 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    1 : 1

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  5. Angers

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 38

    Yvon Mvogo

Defenders

  • 44

    Darlin Yongwa

  • 5

    Bamo Meïté

  • 3

    Montassar Talbi

Midfielders

  • 11

    Théo Le Bris

  • 62

    Arthur Avom

  • 8

    Noah Cadiou

  • 43

    Arsène Kouassi

Forwards

  • 15

    Aiyegun Tosin

  • 28

    Sambou Soumano

  • 29

    Dermane Karim

Nice team overview

Nice came into this season after an excellent season in which they finished fourth, narrowly missing the Champions League group stage. However, they were terrible in the Europa League, finishing 35th out of 36 teams. This season, their European struggles continued, losing all five games thus far. In Ligue 1, after losing the last three games, they dropped to 9th place with 17 points in 13 rounds. Generally speaking, the Eaglets are in a terrible momentum and are under pressure to win some points. 

According to credible sources, coach Franck Haise offered his resignation after the Marseille loss, but the board refused it. Still, there are speculations that the manager is extremely unhappy with some of the players. 

Last matches of

  1. Porto

    3 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Europa League

  2. OGC Nice

    1 : 5

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Metz

    2 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  4. OGC Nice

    1 : 3

    SC Freiburg

    Europa League

  5. PSG

    1 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 80

    Yehvann Diouf

Defenders

  • 26

    Melvin Bard

  • 33

    Antoine Mendy

  • 4

    Dante

Midfielders

  • 92

    Jonathan Clauss

  • 8

    Morgan Sanson

  • 10

    Sofiane Diop

  • 24

    Charles Vanhoutte

  • 2

    Ali Abdi

Forwards

  • 25

    Mohamed-Ali Cho

  • 9

    Terem Moffi

Prediction

Lorient drew the last two games vs Nantes and Toulouse, and also drew three out of the past four. One of those draws was against PSG, which is truly impressive. So, even though three points in the last four games isn't really great, it is still much better than losing five in a row like Nice. Also, Lorient were amazing at home, winning nine points in six games and losing only to Lille. 

Nice are in terrible momentum, losing five in a row. Also, on the road, Nice were really bad, losing eight out of ten games across competitions. Their only win on the road this season came against Rennes in a match they definitely did not deserve all three points. 

Considering all the above, we firmly believe Lorient are much closer to winning the upcoming Ligue 1 tie.

3 Reasons why Lorient should (AH 0) win

  1. Lorient lost once in six home games
  2. Nice lost five in a row
  3. Nice lost eight out of ten road games

Main prediction -

AH1 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

20Bet

1.83

Bet here

vs standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 13 9 3 1 27 - 11 +16 30
2 Olympique Marseille 13 9 1 3 33 - 12 +21 28
3 Lens 13 9 1 3 22 - 11 +11 28
4 Rennes 14 6 6 2 24 - 18 +6 24
5 LOSC Lille 13 7 2 4 27 - 17 +10 23
6 Strasbourg 13 7 1 5 24 - 17 +7 22
7 Olympique Lyonnais 13 6 3 4 18 - 15 +3 21
8 Monaco 13 6 2 5 25 - 25 0 20
9 Nice 13 5 2 6 18 - 23 -5 17
10 Toulouse 13 4 4 5 18 - 17 +1 16
11 Angers SCO 13 4 4 5 11 - 15 -4 16
12 Paris 13 4 2 7 20 - 25 -5 14
13 Le Havre 13 3 5 5 13 - 20 -7 14
14 Brest 13 3 4 6 17 - 23 -6 13
15 Metz 14 3 2 9 14 - 31 -17 11
16 Nantes 13 2 5 6 12 - 19 -7 11
17 Lorient 13 2 5 6 15 - 27 -12 11
18 Auxerre 13 2 2 9 7 - 19 -12 8

Lorient vs Nice – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lorient this season?

The average xG for Lorient in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.30.

? How much is the average xG for Nice this season?

The average xG for Nice in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.26.