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Lorient vs Lens prediction 14.03.2026 | Ligue 1

Lorient

Lorient

Kick off:

Date:

RC Lens

RC Lens

1

4.26

X

3.84

2

1.92

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: 14th March 2026
  • Kick-off: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade du Moustoir

Saturday night in Brittany carries a bit of tension this time. Lorient welcome Lens, and the stakes feel very different for the two clubs. Les Merlus sit calmly in mid-table, while the Blood and Gold chase something much bigger. Pierre Sage’s side start the weekend second, just one point behind PSG.

On paper the gap between the teams looks large. Twenty two points separate them in the standings. Bookmakers therefore lean toward Lens. Still, recent performances from the Blood and Gold have raised a few quiet doubts.

Lorient vs RC Lens Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. RC Lens

    3 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  2. RC Lens

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  3. Lorient

    0 : 0

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    1 : 3

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  5. Lorient

    1 : 1

    RC Lens

    Coupe de France

  6. RC Lens

    5 : 2

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

Since 2020, Lorient and Lens have met ten times in all competitions. Lens hold the clear advantage across that stretch with six victories. The Blood and Gold also won the last two meetings and kept a clean sheet in the previous three.

Lorient have managed just one win in that period. Three other matches ended level. Goals tend to appear when these sides meet. The average across those ten games sits right around three goals per match, which usually makes this fixture entertaining.

Lorient

Lorient team overview

Lorient’s recent story has been fairly interesting. Les Merlus dropped into Ligue 2 two seasons ago after a difficult campaign. However the club responded well and secured promotion immediately, finishing as champions last year.

Many expected a difficult return to Ligue 1. Instead, Olivier Pantaloni’s side have looked surprisingly stable. Lorient sit comfortably in the top half of the table. Much of that success comes from resilience. Les Merlus rarely collapse and currently hold a five match unbeaten run, although four of those games ended in draws.

Home form gives supporters another reason for optimism. Lorient remain unbeaten in the last twelve matches at the Stade du Moustoir, winning six during that stretch.

Midfielder Laurent Abergel remains unavailable with an ankle injury. Left winger Pablo Pagis also misses out while recovering from concussion.

Last matches of Lorient

  1. Lille

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  2. Lorient

    5 : 6

    OGC Nice

    Coupe de France

  3. Lorient

    2 : 2

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  4. OGC Nice

    3 : 3

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  5. Lorient

    2 : 0

    Angers

    Ligue 1

Lorient lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 38

    Yvon Mvogo

Defenders

  • 25

    Abdoulaye Faye

  • 3

    Montassar Talbi

  • 5

    Bamo Meïté

Midfielders

  • 43

    Arsene Kouassi

  • 8

    Noah Cadiou

  • 62

    Arthur Avom

  • 77

    Panos Katseris

Forwards

  • 29

    Dermane Karim

  • 15

    Tosin Aiyegun

  • 17

    Jean-Victor Makengo

RC Lens

Lens team overview

Lens have quietly taken a step forward this season. The Blood and Gold finished seventh and eighth in the previous two campaigns, which felt respectable but unspectacular. This year looks different. Pierre Sage’s side sit just one point behind PSG and boast the best defensive record in Ligue 1.

Recent form, however, feels slightly uneven. Lens have won only one of the last four matches. Two of those games ended in draws, and conceding five goals during that spell felt unusual for a defence that has usually looked so organised.

Away form adds another small question. The Blood and Gold managed just one win in the last three road games.

Odsonne Édouard has impressed since returning from the Premier League, scoring nine goals and adding three assists in 21 matches. The striker should lead the attack alongside Florian Thauvin, who has eight league goals.  Jonathan Gradit, Régis Gurtner, Samson Baidoo, Allan Saint-Maximin and Wesley Saïd remain sidelined with injuries.

Last matches of RC Lens

  1. RC Lens

    3 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    4 : 5

    RC Lens

    Coupe de France

  3. Strasbourg

    1 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. RC Lens

    2 : 3

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  5. Paris FC

    0 : 5

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

RC Lens lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Robin Risser

Defenders

  • 4

    Nidal Čelik

  • 25

    Ismaëlo Ganiou

  • 20

    Malang Sarr

Midfielders

  • 23

    Saud Abdulhamid

  • 8

    Mamadou Sangaré

  • 28

    Adrien Thomasson

  • 14

    Matthieu Udol

Forwards

  • 10

    Florian Thauvin

  • 11

    Odsonne Édouard

  • 19

    Abdallah Sima

Prediction

This matchup feels less straightforward than the table suggests. Lens arrive chasing the title, yet recent form shows only one win in four matches. Lorient, meanwhile, have gone twelve home games unbeaten at Stade du Moustoir. Add the recent goal trends for both sides and the game could open up. A 2–2 draw would not be shocking.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Six of the last seven Lens matches finished with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Lorient scored exactly two goals in each of the last three home games.
  3. Two of the last three Lorient league matches produced four or more goals.
  4. Six of the last ten meetings between Lorient and Lens ended with at least three goals.

Main prediction Lorient - RC Lens

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.89

Bet here

Lorient vs RC Lens standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 25 18 3 4 54 - 22 +32 57
2 Lens 25 18 2 5 48 - 21 +27 56
3 Olympique Marseille 25 14 4 7 52 - 33 +19 46
4 Olympique Lyonnais 25 14 4 7 40 - 27 +13 46
5 Rennes 25 12 7 6 42 - 35 +7 43
6 LOSC Lille 25 12 5 8 38 - 32 +6 41
7 Monaco 25 12 4 9 43 - 37 +6 40
8 Strasbourg 25 10 6 9 40 - 31 +9 36
9 Brest 25 10 6 9 34 - 34 0 36
10 Lorient 25 8 10 7 35 - 39 -4 34
11 Angers SCO 25 9 5 11 23 - 30 -7 32
12 Toulouse 25 8 7 10 33 - 29 +4 31
13 Paris 25 6 9 10 29 - 41 -12 27
14 Le Havre 25 6 8 11 20 - 32 -12 26
15 Nice 25 6 6 13 30 - 48 -18 24
16 Auxerre 25 4 7 14 19 - 35 -16 19
17 Nantes 25 4 5 16 22 - 42 -20 17
18 Metz 25 3 4 18 22 - 56 -34 13

Lorient vs Lens – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Saturday’s Ligue 1 contest⁠ between Lorient and Lens.

? What⁠ is Lens’ average number⁠ of corners in their league away matches this season?

3.33

? What is Lorient’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Ligue 1 home encounters this season?

2.00