Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Liverpool vs Leeds prediction 01.01.2026 | English Premier League

Liverpool

Liverpool

Kick off:

Date:

Leeds United

Leeds United

1

1.58

X

4.58

2

6.15

  • Competition: English Premier League
  • Date: 1st January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Anfield

The New Year’s Day high-profile clash sees Liverpool host Leeds United in Round 19 of the 2025/26 English Premier League season. Liverpool sit comfortably in the top-four race with 32 points from 18 matches, having finally overcome a difficult period in the league during which they lost game after game. Leeds United, meanwhile, find themselves battling in the lower half of the table with 20 points from 18 games, but they appear relatively safe as far as Premier League survival is concerned.

Liverpool vs Leeds United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Leeds United

    3 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    1 : 6

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Liverpool

    6 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    0 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  6. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Liverpool

    Premier League

Analysing their historical record, Liverpool’s dominance over Leeds is evident. Beyond the win percentage, fixtures between the two teams have often produced goals: 72% of past meetings have seen more than 2.5 goals. Recent encounters also favour Liverpool, who have beaten Leeds in four of the last seven Premier League meetings, losing only once - during the 2022/23 season.

Liverpool

Liverpool team overview

Liverpool enter this tie on the back of positive momentum, currently unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions, including three consecutive league wins and an impressive away victory over Inter Milan in the Champions League. This run has seen them return to the top-four positions after a prolonged period of inconsistency. The nightmare league spell, during which the Reds suffered six defeats in seven matches between late September and late November, has been replaced by a streak of six unbeaten league games. However, Arne Slot’s side are still not operating at their absolute peak, having dropped points against Sunderland (1-1) and Thursday’s opponents Leeds (3-3).

Home form at Anfield continues to be a strength; historical data suggests Liverpool have avoided defeat in around 85% of their recent home matches. That said, personnel issues persist. Key attackers Mohamed Salah and Alexander Isak are unavailable, with Salah on Africa Cup of Nations duty and Isak sidelined through injury. Further defensive absences include Joe Gomez and Stefan Bajcetic, forcing Slot to adapt his back line. Despite these challenges, Florian Wirtz finally opened his Premier League account on the previous matchday and continues to provide creativity in midfield, while Hugo Ekitike has been a reliable source of goals, scoring eight league goals in 17 appearances.

Last matches of Liverpool

  1. Liverpool

    2 : 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  2. Tottenham Hotspur

    1 : 2

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Inter Milan

    0 : 1

    Liverpool

    Champions League

  5. Leeds United

    3 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

Liverpool lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alisson

Defenders

  • 30

    Jeremie Frimpong

  • 5

    Ibrahima Konaté

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 6

    Miloš Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 38

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 17

    Curtis Jones

  • 8

    Dominik Szoboszlai

Forwards

  • 18

    Cody Gakpo

  • 7

    Florian Wirtz

  • 22

    Hugo Ekitiké

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Leeds United arrive at Anfield having shown signs of resilience, with an unbeaten run of five matches across all competitions, although only two wins were recorded during this period. Following their thrilling 3-3 draw with Liverpool in the reverse fixture in December, Leeds have picked up valuable points in their efforts to move clear of relegation pressure. They recently thrashed a well-balanced and ambitious Crystal Palace side 4-1, before earning a 1-1 draw against a defensively solid Sunderland team, who have proven difficult to beat even for top-table opposition.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been instrumental in Leeds’ attacking output, scoring eight Premier League goals this season and finding the net in six consecutive league matches - a feat not achieved by an English striker in the Premier League since 2019. Injury concerns persist, however: winger Daniel James remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while midfielders Lukas Nmecha and Sean Longstaff are also unavailable, reducing squad depth. Leeds’ away form remains a major concern; they are winless in nine Premier League away matches, with defensive lapses contributing to a high rate of goal concessions.

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    4 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Brentford

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    3 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lucas Perri

Defenders

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

Midfielders

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

Forwards

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Prediction

Statistically, Liverpool hold both the historical and current advantage, particularly at Anfield, where they consistently post strong attacking numbers and dominate possession metrics. Leeds’ improved recent form and Calvert-Lewin’s scoring streak pose a credible underdog threat, but their poor defensive record on the road and lack of clean sheets suggest they may struggle to contain Liverpool over 90 minutes. A competitive encounter is expected, with Liverpool likely to prevail; however, given that Slot’s side have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four league home games, a Both Teams to Score (BTTS) outcome appears a very plausible betting angle.

Prediction: BTTS.

Three reasons we expect BTTS

  1. Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four league home matches.
  2. The reverse fixture in December ended in a 3–3 draw, indicating a competitive matchup between the sides with high attacking output
  3. BTTS has landed in five of the last seven fixtures between Liverpool and Leeds.

Main prediction Liverpool - Leeds United

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.70

Bet here

Liverpool vs Leeds United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 19 14 3 2 37 - 12 +25 45
2 Manchester City 18 13 1 4 43 - 17 +26 40
3 Aston Villa 19 12 3 4 30 - 23 +7 39
4 Liverpool 18 10 2 6 30 - 26 +4 32
5 Chelsea 19 8 6 5 32 - 21 +11 30
6 Manchester United 19 8 6 5 33 - 29 +4 30
7 Sunderland 18 7 7 4 20 - 18 +2 28
8 Everton 19 8 4 7 20 - 20 0 28
9 Newcastle United 19 7 5 7 26 - 24 +2 26
10 Brentford 18 8 2 8 28 - 26 +2 26
11 Crystal Palace 18 7 5 6 21 - 20 +1 26
12 Fulham 18 8 2 8 25 - 26 -1 26
13 Tottenham Hotspur 18 7 4 7 27 - 23 +4 25
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 19 6 7 6 28 - 27 +1 25
15 AFC Bournemouth 19 5 8 6 29 - 35 -6 23
16 Leeds United 18 5 5 8 25 - 32 -7 20
17 Nottingham Forest 19 5 3 11 18 - 30 -12 18
18 West Ham United 19 3 5 11 21 - 38 -17 14
19 Burnley 19 3 3 13 20 - 37 -17 12
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 19 0 3 16 11 - 40 -29 3

Liverpool vs Leeds – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Liverpool take on Leeds on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Liverpool have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

5.1

? What is the average number of corners Leeds have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

4.5