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Leeds vs Nottingham Forest prediction 06.02.2026 | Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

1

2.28

X

3.41

2

3.54

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Friday, 6th February 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)

On Friday night, Leeds and Nottingham Forest will open the 25th Premier League round. Both teams are the relegation candidates, and points from Friday could prove vital in the next couple of months. Can Leeds continue their good form at Elland Road and win against the Forest? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Nottingham Forest

    3 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 2

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Leeds United

    2 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    1 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Nottingham Forest

    2 : 0

    Leeds United

    Championship

  6. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Championship

Nottingham Forest won four of the last six H2H matches against Leeds. On the other hand, the Whites won only one game in the span, with one draw. In the only meeting this season, Nottingham Forest won 3-1. 

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

After returning to the Premier League last season, Leeds' primary goal is to avoid relegation. The Whites have a solid six points more than the drop zone, but West Ham, the first below the line, will try to push in the coming months, and Leeds have to continue picking up points. The last two months were good for Leeds, with only two defeats in the last 13 matches across all competitions. Their worst match came the previous weekend when Leeds lost 4-0 at home against Arsenal. The hosts created only 0.15 xG throughout the game, so they couldn't expect much against the Premier League leaders. 

Leeds' head coach, Daniel Farke, is disappointed with his team's transfer policy. They added only Facundo Buonanotte on loan in the previous transfer window. Farke expected Leeds to sign Jorgen Strand Larsen, but instead the player went to Crystal Palace. With failing to sign the Norwegian striker, the manager can only hope that Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha will not have too many problems with injuries in the coming months. 

Jaka Bijol, Daniel James, and Lukas Nmecha are injured, but all three still have a chance to recover on time and participate in Friday's game. 

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Leeds United

    0 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    1 : 0

    Fulham

    Premier League

  4. Derby County

    1 : 3

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  5. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Karl Darlow

Defenders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

Midfielders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 44

    Ilia Gruev

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Forwards

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest team overview

Nottingham Forest are another team in relegation worries. Like Leeds, they are also six points above the drop zone. However, the last few matches give some glimpse of hope, as Nottingham Forest are undefeated in the previous three games. In the most recent outing, Sean Dyche's team played 1-1 at home against Crystal Palace. The home side should feel fortunate with one point as they ended with xG of 0.49, while the guests had 1.90. 

Nottingham Forest were active on the market in the previous days. They signed goalkeeper Stefan Ortega from Manchester City and left-back Luca Netz from Borussia Monchengladbach. Both players will have the opportunity to debut on Friday at Elland Road. 

Nottingham Forest have problems with missing players, too. They will be without John Victor, Chris Wood, Nicolo Savona, Neco Williams, and Matz Sels on Friday night, while Callum Hudson-Odoi is questionable. 

Last matches of Nottingham Forest

  1. Nottingham Forest

    1 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  2. Nottingham Forest

    4 : 0

    Ferencvarosi TC

    Europa League

  3. Brentford

    0 : 2

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  4. Braga

    1 : 0

    Nottingham Forest

    Europa League

  5. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

Nottingham Forest lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 27

    Stefan Ortega

Defenders

  • 34

    Ola Aina

  • 31

    Nikola Milenkovic

  • 5

    Murillo

  • 4

    Morato

Midfielders

  • 6

    Ibrahim Sangare

  • 10

    Morgan Gibbs-White

  • 8

    Elliot Anderson

Forwards

  • 14

    Dan Ndoye

  • 19

    Igor Jesus

  • 16

    Nicolas Dominguez

Prediction

Leeds have problems with scoring goals. They scored only two goals in the last three matches. On the other hand, Nottingham Forest conceded only two goals in the previous five games. We shouldn't expect more than two goals in the upcoming game at Elland Road. 

3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Leeds scored only two goals in the last three matches
  2. Nottingham Forest conceded only two goals in the previous five games
  3. There were two or fewer goals in four of the last five matches

Main prediction Leeds United - Nottingham Forest

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.81

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Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 24 16 5 3 46 - 17 +29 53
2 Manchester City 24 14 5 5 49 - 23 +26 47
3 Aston Villa 24 14 4 6 35 - 26 +9 46
4 Manchester United 24 11 8 5 44 - 36 +8 41
5 Chelsea 24 11 7 6 42 - 27 +15 40
6 Liverpool 24 11 6 7 39 - 33 +6 39
7 Brentford 24 11 3 10 36 - 32 +4 36
8 Sunderland 24 9 9 6 27 - 26 +1 36
9 Fulham 24 10 4 10 34 - 35 -1 34
10 Everton 24 9 7 8 26 - 27 -1 34
11 Newcastle United 24 9 6 9 33 - 33 0 33
12 AFC Bournemouth 24 8 9 7 40 - 43 -3 33
13 Brighton & Hove Albion 24 7 10 7 34 - 32 +2 31
14 Tottenham Hotspur 24 7 8 9 35 - 33 +2 29
15 Crystal Palace 24 7 8 9 25 - 29 -4 29
16 Leeds United 24 6 8 10 31 - 42 -11 26
17 Nottingham Forest 24 7 5 12 24 - 35 -11 26
18 West Ham United 24 5 5 14 29 - 48 -19 20
19 Burnley 24 3 6 15 25 - 47 -22 15
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 24 1 5 18 15 - 45 -30 8

Leeds vs Nottingham Forest – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Premier League this season is 1.38.

? How much is the average xG for Nottingham Forest this season?

The average xG for Nottingham Forest in the Premier League this season is 1.39.