Leeds vs Manchester United prediction 04.01.2026 | Premier League
Leeds United
1 - 1
Elapsed: FT
Half time: 0 - 0
Full time: 1 - 1
Kick off:
Date:
Manchester United
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Contents
- Competition: Premier League
- Date: Sunday, 4th January, 2026
- Kickoff: 12:30 UK / 13:30 CET
- Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)
On the fourth day of 2026, the teams from the English top flight will face off in the 20th round of the season. One of the standout fixtures sees Leeds take on Manchester United - two clubs with very different objectives. While the Whites are focused on survival, the Red Devils are pushing for a return to European football and, ideally, the Champions League.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.
Leeds United vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats
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Manchester United
0 : 0
Leeds United
Club Friendlies 1
-
Manchester United
2 : 0
Leeds United
Club Friendlies 1
-
Leeds United
0 : 2
Manchester United
Premier League
-
Manchester United
2 : 2
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
2 : 4
Manchester United
Premier League
-
Manchester United
5 : 1
Leeds United
Premier League
These teams have met in the 2025 pre-season, with the game ending as a goalless draw. In the previous ten h2h games, Manchester United were a lot better, winning seven, while the remaining games finished as draws.
Regarding the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on four occasions.
Leeds team overview
Last season, Leeds won the Championship title, securing promotion in their second season since the relegaton from the English top-flight. This season, the Whites only need to survive and are doing a fine job at the moment. In fact, it seems they are only doing better as the season progresses. Currently, they are on a six-game unbeaten run and are sitting in 16th place with 21 points, a pretty comfortable seven points away from the danger zone.
The team's captain and one of their best players this season, Ethan Ampadu, received his fifth yellow card in the previous game against Liverpool and will be suspended for the MU game. Besides suspended Ampadu, the team will miss three players who should remain sidelined with their injuries - Daniel James, Sean Longstaff, and Joe Rodon. Moreover, Sebastiaan Bornauw is questionable after suffering a minor injury in the previous game.
Last matches of Leeds United
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Liverpool
0 : 0
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Sunderland
1 : 1
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
4 : 1
Crystal Palace
Premier League
-
Brentford
1 : 1
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
3 : 3
Liverpool
Premier League
Leeds United lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Lucas Perri
Defenders
-
2
Jayden Bogle
-
5
Pascal Struijk
-
15
Jaka Bijol
-
3
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Midfielders
-
11
Brenden Aaronson
-
44
Ilia Gruev
-
18
Anton Stach
-
22
Ao Tanaka
Forwards
-
19
Noah Okafor
-
14
Lukas Nmecha
Manchester United team overview
Manchester United are trying to recover from a disastrous last season. While their fans aren't satisfied with this season either, objectively, the Red Devils are doing better but still can't play consistently at a high level. After 19 rounds, Amorim's squad is in 6th place with 30 points - only three points behind 4th-placed Liverpool and a Champions League appearance next season.
Unfortunately, the Red Devils are having major absences for the upcoming game. Amad Diallo, Noussair Mazraoui, and Bryan Mbeumo are on the ongoing AFCON, while Matthijs de Ligt, Kobbie Mainoo, Mason Mount, and their best player, Bruno Fernandes, are out with injuries.
After a 1:1 draw with Wolves, coach Ruben Amorim was very unhappy, saying they struggled for the entire game and lacked creativity, fluidity, and overall quality. However, he hinted that it is mainly due to the absence of their key players, but also said they have to overcome that.
Last matches of Manchester United
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Manchester United
1 : 1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Premier League
-
Manchester United
1 : 0
Newcastle United
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
2 : 1
Manchester United
Premier League
-
Manchester United
4 : 4
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
-
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 : 4
Manchester United
Premier League
Manchester United lineup
Goalkeeper
-
31
Senne Lammens
Defenders
-
2
Diogo Dalot
-
6
Lisandro Martinez
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15
Leny Yoro
-
23
Luke Shaw
Midfielders
-
13
Patrick Dorgu
-
18
Casemiro
-
25
Manuel Ugarte
Forwards
-
10
Matheus Cunha
-
30
Benjamin Sesko
-
11
Joshua Zirkzee
Prediction
Leeds have been really good for this bet, as we saw both teams scoring in eight out of the past nine games - 89%. Also, at home, they are the best team in the league for this type of bet, with 78% of their finishing with both teams scoring. At Elland Road, the Whites are scoring easily, averaging 1.89 per game, which is the fourth-best in the league. So, it is fair to expect a goal against MU.
Manchester United are the best team in the league for this type of bet, with 74% of games finishing with both teams scoring. On the road, that number is even higher - an incredible 89%. In the previous period, MU have had mixed results, but still managed to score in seven consecutive games, while facing some solid teams like Aston Villa, Newcastle, and Crystal Palace.
Considering all the above, we firmly believe both teams will score at least once in this Premier League tie.
4 Reasons why both teams should score
- Leeds average 1.89 scored goals at home, which is the fourth-most in the league
- 78% of Leeds' home games ended with both teams scoring
- 89% of MU's road games ended with both teams scoring
- Manchester United scored at least one goal in seven consecutive games
Main prediction Leeds United - Manchester United
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
Leeds United vs Manchester United standings in Premier League
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 40 - 14 | +26 | 48 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 44 - 18 | +26 | 42 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 33 - 24 | +9 | 42 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 - 28 | +4 | 34 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 - 22 | +11 | 31 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 - 30 | +4 | 31 |
| 7 | Brentford | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 - 28 | +4 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 21 - 19 | +2 | 30 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 - 24 | +4 | 29 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 30 - 27 | +3 | 28 |
| 11 | Fulham | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 - 29 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 22 - 24 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 - 24 | +4 | 27 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22 - 23 | -1 | 27 |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 31 - 38 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Leeds United | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 - 33 | -7 | 22 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 - 33 | -14 | 18 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 - 41 | -20 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 20 - 39 | -19 | 12 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 - 40 | -26 | 6 |