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Leeds vs Manchester United prediction 04.01.2026 | Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

1 - 1

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 0

Full time: 1 - 1

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester United

Manchester United

1

3.03

X

3.21

2

2.57

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 4th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 12:30 UK / 13:30 CET
  • Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)

On the fourth day of 2026, the teams from the English top flight will face off in the 20th round of the season. One of the standout fixtures sees Leeds take on Manchester United - two clubs with very different objectives. While the Whites are focused on survival, the Red Devils are pushing for a return to European football and, ideally, the Champions League.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie. 

Leeds United vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester United

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 1

  2. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 1

  3. Leeds United

    0 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    2 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    2 : 4

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  6. Manchester United

    5 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

These teams have met in the 2025 pre-season, with the game ending as a goalless draw. In the previous ten h2h games, Manchester United were a lot better, winning seven, while the remaining games finished as draws. 

Regarding the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on four occasions.

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Last season, Leeds won the Championship title, securing promotion in their second season since the relegaton from the English top-flight. This season, the Whites only need to survive and are doing a fine job at the moment. In fact, it seems they are only doing better as the season progresses. Currently, they are on a six-game unbeaten run and are sitting in 16th place with 21 points, a pretty comfortable seven points away from the danger zone.

The team's captain and one of their best players this season, Ethan Ampadu, received his fifth yellow card in the previous game against Liverpool and will be suspended for the MU game. Besides suspended Ampadu, the team will miss three players who should remain sidelined with their injuries - Daniel James, Sean Longstaff, and Joe Rodon. Moreover, Sebastiaan Bornauw is questionable after suffering a minor injury in the previous game. 

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Liverpool

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    4 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  4. Brentford

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    3 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lucas Perri

Defenders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

  • 44

    Ilia Gruev

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

Forwards

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

  • 14

    Lukas Nmecha

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

Manchester United are trying to recover from a disastrous last season. While their fans aren't satisfied with this season either, objectively, the Red Devils are doing better but still can't play consistently at a high level. After 19 rounds, Amorim's squad is in 6th place with 30 points - only three points behind 4th-placed Liverpool and a Champions League appearance next season. 

Unfortunately, the Red Devils are having major absences for the upcoming game. Amad Diallo, Noussair Mazraoui, and Bryan Mbeumo are on the ongoing AFCON, while Matthijs de Ligt, Kobbie Mainoo, Mason Mount, and their best player, Bruno Fernandes, are out with injuries. 

After a 1:1 draw with Wolves, coach Ruben Amorim was very unhappy, saying they struggled for the entire game and lacked creativity, fluidity, and overall quality. However, he hinted that it is mainly due to the absence of their key players, but also said they have to overcome that. 

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Manchester United

    1 : 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    4 : 4

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    1 : 4

    Manchester United

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 2

    Diogo Dalot

  • 6

    Lisandro Martinez

  • 15

    Leny Yoro

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

Midfielders

  • 13

    Patrick Dorgu

  • 18

    Casemiro

  • 25

    Manuel Ugarte

Forwards

  • 10

    Matheus Cunha

  • 30

    Benjamin Sesko

  • 11

    Joshua Zirkzee

Prediction

Leeds have been really good for this bet, as we saw both teams scoring in eight out of the past nine games - 89%. Also, at home, they are the best team in the league for this type of bet, with 78% of their finishing with both teams scoring. At Elland Road, the Whites are scoring easily, averaging 1.89 per game, which is the fourth-best in the league. So, it is fair to expect a goal against MU.

Manchester United are the best team in the league for this type of bet, with 74% of games finishing with both teams scoring. On the road, that number is even higher - an incredible 89%. In the previous period, MU have had mixed results, but still managed to score in seven consecutive games, while facing some solid teams like Aston Villa, Newcastle, and Crystal Palace. 

Considering all the above, we firmly believe both teams will score at least once in this Premier League tie.

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Leeds average 1.89 scored goals at home, which is the fourth-most in the league
  2. 78% of Leeds' home games ended with both teams scoring
  3. 89% of MU's road games ended with both teams scoring
  4. Manchester United scored at least one goal in seven consecutive games

Main prediction Leeds United - Manchester United

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.75

Bet here

Leeds United vs Manchester United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 - 14 +26 48
2 Manchester City 20 13 3 4 44 - 18 +26 42
3 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 - 24 +9 42
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 - 28 +4 34
5 Chelsea 20 8 7 5 33 - 22 +11 31
6 Manchester United 20 8 7 5 34 - 30 +4 31
7 Brentford 20 9 3 8 32 - 28 +4 30
8 Sunderland 20 7 9 4 21 - 19 +2 30
9 Newcastle United 20 8 5 7 28 - 24 +4 29
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 20 7 7 6 30 - 27 +3 28
11 Fulham 20 8 4 8 28 - 29 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 4 8 22 - 24 -2 28
13 Tottenham Hotspur 20 7 6 7 28 - 24 +4 27
14 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 22 - 23 -1 27
15 AFC Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 - 38 -7 23
16 Leeds United 20 5 7 8 26 - 33 -7 22
17 Nottingham Forest 20 5 3 12 19 - 33 -14 18
18 West Ham United 20 3 5 12 21 - 41 -20 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 - 39 -19 12
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 20 1 3 16 14 - 40 -26 6

Leeds vs Manchester United – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Premier League this season is 1.41.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.79.