LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo prediction 18.09.2025 | Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito
Kick off:
Date:
Sao Paulo
1
1.93
X
3.28
2
4.56
Contents
- Competition: Copa Libertadores, Quarter Finals, 1st Leg
- Date: Thursday, 18th September, 2025
- Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
- Venue: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)
On the night between Thursday and Friday, Ecuadorian side LDU Quito will host Brazilian giants São Paulo in the Copa Libertadores Quarter-Finals at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in Quito. LDU Quito is aiming to reach the Semi-Finals for the first time since 2008, the year they won the tournament. São Paulo, meanwhile, are looking to return to the Semi-Finals for the first time since 2021.
Ahead of the first leg, bookmakers see the Brazilians as slight favorites, with odds of 1.6 to 1.7 for advancing to the next round.
LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
LDU Quito
Copa Sudamericana
-
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana
-
LDU Quito
4 : 2
Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores
-
Sao Paulo
3 : 0
LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
Interestingly, these teams met in the 2023 Quarter Finals of the Copa Sudamericana. That time, LDU Quito managed to win 2:1 at home and drew 1:1 on the road, and eventually won the competition.
Overall, these teams met six times, with each team winning three times. Regarding the number of goals, four times finished with three or more goals, while both teams scored on three occasions.
LDU Quito team overview
LDU Quito have had two excellent seasons behind them, winning two domestic league titles and the Copa Sudamericana title as well. This year, the popular Los Reyes will most likely fail to win the domestic title as they are sitting in 3rd place with 48 points after 28 rounds - 14 points away from the top spot. Right now, securing the Championship group seems like their maximum.
In the Copa Libertadores, LDU Quito did great, and have already eliminated one Brazilian team in the 1/8 Finals, Botafogo RJ on a 2:1 aggregate. In the previous game against Botafogo RJ, defender Richard Mina received a straight red card and will be suspended. The 26-year-old Mina has massive problems with discipline, as this is his third red card in the last seven appearances.
Last matches of LDU Quito
-
Libertad
0 : 1
LDU Quito
Liga Pro
-
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Macará
Liga Pro
-
El Nacional
1 : 0
LDU Quito
Liga Pro
-
LDU Quito
2 : 0
Botafogo
Copa Libertadores
-
Botafogo
1 : 0
LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gonzalo Valle
Defenders
-
14
José Quintero
-
6
Darío Aimar
-
4
Ricardo Adé
Midfielders
-
2
Yeltzin Erique
-
8
Carlos Gruezo
-
20
Fernando Cornejo
-
33
Leonel Quiñónez
Forwards
-
29
Bryan Ramírez
-
9
Lisandro Alzugaray
-
11
Michael Estrada
Sao Paulo team overview
São Paulo haven't had much success in recent years, "only" winning the Brazilian Cup in 2023 - their first trophy in that competition in their 95-year-old history. This year, the popular Tricolour of São Paulo had an awful start and even spent some time in the relegation zone. However, as the season progresses, they are looking better. Right now, they are in 7th place, on a level with 6th-placed Botafago RJ, although with two games played fewer.
In the previous game vs Botafogo RJ, midfielder Rodriguinho suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 77 minutes. However, he will most likely be ready for the upcoming match. Unfortunately, seven other players who missed previous games will remain sidelined, with most of them being an essential part of the rotation.
Last matches of Sao Paulo
-
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Botafogo
Serie A
-
Cruzeiro
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
Serie A
-
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Atletico Mineiro
Serie A
-
Sao Paulo
4 : 3
Atletico Nacional
Copa Libertadores
-
Atletico Nacional
0 : 0
Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Rafael
Defenders
-
2
Rafael Tolói
-
35
Sabino
-
28
Alan Franco
Midfielders
-
6
Cedric Soares
-
29
Pablo Maia
-
25
Alisson
-
13
Enzo Diaz
Forwards
-
15
Rodriguinho
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia
-
19
Juan Dinenno
Prediction
LDU Quito have been fantastic for this type of bet, as the last seven games across the competition ended with fewer than three goals. They really struggled offensively and have failed to score over one goal in six out of those seven matches - 86%
Sao Paulo were also great for an under 2.5 goals bet with seven out of the last eight finishing with fewer than three goals - 87.5%. Additionally, away from home, they struggled offensively, failing to score in three out of four games.
Considering both teams' constant low-scoring games, São Paolo's poor offensive displays away from home, and LDU Quito's mediocre offense in the previous games, we expect fewer than 2.5 goals in this Copa Libertadores tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- LDU Quito went under 2.5 goals in the last seven games across the competitions
- São Paulo went under 2.5 goals in seven out of the last eight games
- São Paulo failed to score in three out of the last four road games
Main prediction LDU Quito - Sao Paulo
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.57
