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Inter vs Atalanta prediction 14.03.2026 | Serie A

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

1.58

X

4.76

2

5.88

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 14th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

After both teams suffered important losses in the previous game(s), Inter and Atalanta will face off against each other. Inter are coming to the match after losing the last Serie A game to city rival AC Milan, and Atalanta just suffered a massive 6:1 loss to Bayern Munich in the Champions League, continuing their poor streak. Both teams are in a difficult moment, so the game carries an added weight for each side. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Inter Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atalanta

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Super Cup

  4. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  6. Atalanta

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

In the first H2H game this season, Inter won 1:0 at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Inter truly dominated the matchups, winning nine games, while the remaining match ended in a draw. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in three of them.

Inter Milan

Inter team overview

Inter had an excellent start to the season. Still, when it all looked great, Nerazzurri suffered an unexpected elimination from the Champions League by Bodo/Glimt, creating one of the biggest upsets in modern football. They followed that up with a couple of poor results, drawing 0:0 with Como in Coppa Italia and then losing 1:0 in Serie A to AC Milan. Despite having a seven-point advantage over 2nd-placed AC Milan, we can safely say they are in a challenging moment.

In the previous game, Alessandro Bastoni suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 67 minutes. He will most likely miss the game along with Hakan Çalhanoğlu, who is dealing with a groin injury. Also, Lautaro Martinez was on the bench in the previous game due to an injury, and is listed as questionable for the Atalanta match. On the positive side, Marcus Thuram should return to the field after missing the city derby with AC Milan due to illness. 

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Como

    0 : 0

    Inter Milan

    Coppa Italia

  3. Inter Milan

    2 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    1 : 2

    Bodo/Glimt

    Champions League

  5. Lecce

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 31

    Yann Bisseck

Midfielders

  • 2

    Denzel Dumfries

  • 22

    Henrikh Mkhitaryan

  • 23

    Nicolo Barella

  • 7

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 94

    Pio Esposito

Atalanta

Atalanta team overview

Atalanta established themselves as one of the best teams in Italy in recent seasons. This year, they had ups and downs throughout the season, but March has been terrible for the popular La Dea. With a massive 6:1 loss to Bayern Munich in the first leg of the Champions League 1/8 Finals, we can safely say they are out of the competition. Now, their focus will be entirely on reaching Coppa Italia Finals and moving upwards to European spots in Serie A. At the moment, they are in 7th place with 46 points, five points behind the desired 4th place. 

After a 6:1 loss against Bayern Munich, coach Raffaele Palladino spoke to the media. He said there is a big difference in quality, saying Bayern showed they are among the best teams in the world. He added that this match should be a valuable lesson for his players, which would help them grow. 

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Atalanta

    1 : 6

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

  2. Atalanta

    2 : 2

    Udinese

    Serie A

  3. Lazio

    2 : 2

    Atalanta

    Coppa Italia

  4. Sassuolo

    2 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    4 : 1

    Borussia Dortmund

    Champions League

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 4

    Isak Hien

  • 19

    Berat Djimsiti

  • 47

    Lorenzo Bernasconi

Midfielders

  • 16

    Raoul Bellanova

  • 8

    Mario Pašalić

  • 15

    Marten de Roon

  • 59

    Nicola Zalewski

Forwards

  • 90

    Nikola Krstović

  • 9

    Gianluca Scamacca

Prediction

Inter had a bad period behind them and especially struggled offensively in recent games. However, we attribute that to their two key strikers being out (Martinez and Thuram). At least one of them should be ready for this match, possibly both. With them possibly back, we expect Inter to look more like the team they were earlier in the season. Also, at home, Inter won 15 of 21 games across competitions, while covering the -1.5 AH spread on ten occasions. 

Atalanta are coming to the match after their worst loss of the season and will surely be demoralized. Moreover, La Dea really struggled on the road, winning only against poor Lazio in the past seven matches across competitions!

Also, Inter won nine of the past ten H2H games. Considering all the above, we firmly believe Nerazzurri should secure a comfortable win over La Dea. 

3 Reasons why Inter should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Inter won four of the past five home games
  2. Atalanta have won two points in the past four games
  3. Inter won nine of the past ten H2H games

Main prediction Inter Milan - Atalanta

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

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Inter Milan vs Atalanta standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 28 22 1 5 64 - 22 +42 67
2 AC Milan 28 17 9 2 44 - 20 +24 60
3 Napoli 28 17 5 6 43 - 29 +14 56
4 Roma 28 16 3 9 38 - 21 +17 51
5 Como 28 14 9 5 46 - 21 +25 51
6 Juventus 28 14 8 6 50 - 28 +22 50
7 Atalanta 28 12 10 6 39 - 26 +13 46
8 Bologna 28 11 6 11 37 - 34 +3 39
9 Sassuolo 28 11 5 12 35 - 38 -3 38
10 Lazio 28 9 10 9 28 - 28 0 37
11 Udinese 28 10 6 12 33 - 41 -8 36
12 Parma 28 8 10 10 20 - 32 -12 34
13 Genoa 28 7 9 12 34 - 40 -6 30
14 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 30 - 38 -8 30
15 Torino 28 8 6 14 28 - 49 -21 30
16 Lecce 28 7 6 15 20 - 37 -17 27
17 Fiorentina 28 5 10 13 30 - 42 -12 25
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 22 - 40 -18 24
19 Hellas Verona 28 3 9 16 22 - 49 -27 18
20 Pisa 28 1 12 15 20 - 48 -28 15

Inter vs Atalanta – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in the Serie A this season is 2.04.

? How much is the average xG for Atalanta this season?

The average xG for Atalanta in the Serie A this season is 1.68.