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Iceland vs France prediction 13.10.2025 | World Cup qualifications

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  • Competition: World Cup qualifications
  • Date: Monday, 13th October 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

On Monday night in Laugardalsvöllur, Iceland will welcome France in another important World Cup qualification match. The home side is not in an easy position but still have a chance to qualify for the tournament, while France could secure a ticket for the upcoming World Cup in Reykjavik. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. France

    2 : 1

    Iceland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Iceland

    0 : 1

    France

    Euro Qualification

  3. France

    4 : 0

    Iceland

    Euro Qualification

  4. France

    2 : 2

    Iceland

    Friendly International

  5. France

    5 : 2

    Iceland

    European Championship

  6. France

    3 : 2

    Iceland

    Friendly International

France are usually much better than Iceland as they have won six of the last seven H2H matches, while one game ended with a draw. However, some of those wins were far from easy, including a 2-1 from the previous month. Although France are usually a dominant side, Iceland have scored at least one goal in eight of the last ten H2H games. 

Iceland team overview

Iceland's only appearance on the major tournament was in 2016, when they reached the quarterfinals of the EURO. At the World Cup, Iceland never played. After three rounds in the current qualifications, Arnar Gunnlaugsson's team collected three points and are one point behind Ukraine, which are in the position that will bring the playoffs.

After a victory in the opening round against Azerbaijan, Iceland lost the next two games. On Friday, they lost 5-3 at home against Ukraine. Iceland were close to one point, but they conceded two goals late in the match.

Iceland's head coach, Arnar Gunnlaugsson, thinks that inexperience cost them points against Ukraine. He said, "There were fifteen minutes left when we tied it at 3:3. They were scared, and we should have gone for it there. We need to be smarter when we're in a situation like this because, in hindsight, 3:3 wouldn't have been a bad result for us at all."

Last matches of

  1. Iceland

    3 : 5

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. France

    2 : 1

    Iceland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Iceland

    5 : 0

    Azerbaijan

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Northern Ireland

    1 : 0

    Iceland

    Friendly International

  5. Scotland

    1 : 3

    Iceland

    Friendly International

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Elias Olafsson

Defenders

  • 4

    Victor Palsson

  • 5

    Sverrir Ingi Ingason

  • 3

    Daniel Leo Gretarsson

  • 23

    Mikael Egill Ellertsson

Midfielders

  • 7

    Hakon Arnar Haraldsson

  • 8

    Isak Johannesson

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

Forwards

  • 9

    Saevar Atli Magnusson

  • 22

    Andri Gudjohnsen

  • 11

    Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson

France team overview

France are one of the strongest teams in the world and shouldn't have problems qualifying for the tournament that will be played next year in the USA, Canada, and Mexico. France are currently five points ahead of the next team on the table, Ukraine. Didier Deschamps' team won the last four games in a row. In the previous match, they won 3-0 at home against Azerbaijan. The home side ended the game with 77% ball possession and 33 shots on the goal, so the French victory was never in doubt. 

France's Kylian Mbappe suffered an injury late in the game against Azerbaijan that forced him to leave the field. After the game, the head coach, Didier Deschamps, said that it was an ankle injury on the same ankle that the player had hurt against Villarreal. If Mbappe can't play, we should expect Christopher Nkunku to be in the starting lineup in Reykjavik. 

Last matches of

  1. France

    3 : 0

    Azerbaijan

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. France

    2 : 1

    Iceland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Ukraine

    0 : 2

    France

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Germany

    0 : 2

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Spain

    5 : 4

    France

    UEFA Nations League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 2

    Malo Gusto

  • 4

    Dayot Upamecano

  • 17

    William Saliba

  • 22

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 11

    Michael Olise

  • 14

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 19

    Khephren Thuram

  • 7

    Kingsley Coman

Forwards

  • 9

    Hugo Ekitike

  • 18

    Christopher Nkunku

Prediction

Iceland is not the team that has been a huge surprise for about ten years at the EURO, but it seems that their attacking line is working great. Iceland scored at least one goal in 12 of the last 13 matches. On the other hand, France scored in each of the previous eight games. We should expect the trends to continue and both teams to score on Monday night. Our prediction: BTTS - Yes.

3 Reasons why we should expect both teams to score in this match

  1. Iceland scored at least one goal in 12 of the last 13 matches
  2. Iceland allowed seven goals in the previous two games
  3. France scored at least one goal in each of the last eight matches

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

2.12

Bet here

vs standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group D P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 7 - 1 +6 9
2 Ukraine 3 1 1 1 6 - 6 0 4
3 Iceland 3 1 0 2 9 - 7 +2 3
4 Azerbaijan 3 0 1 2 1 - 9 -8 1

Iceland vs France – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Iceland?

The average xG for Iceland in the World Cup qualifications is 1.34.

? How much is the average xG for France?

The average xG for France in the World Cup qualifications is 2.58.