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Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction 17.01.2026 | Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

Kick off:

Date:

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

1

2.49

X

3.96

2

2.76

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Saturday, 17th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:30 UK / 15:30 CET
  • Venue: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

On Saturday afternoon, two teams battling to enter the top four, Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, will face off against each other in the German top-flight division. While Hoffenheim comes into a game after a massive 5:1 win, Bayer Leverkusen suffered the second-largest loss of the season, losing 4:1 to Stuttgart. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible betting option for this Bundesliga tie. 

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Bayer Leverkusen

    1 : 2

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  2. Bayer Leverkusen

    3 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. Hoffenheim

    1 : 4

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Hoffenheim

    2 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  6. Hoffenheim

    1 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

These teams met in the first round of the Bundesliga this season, with Hoffenheim winning 2:1 at BayArena in Leverkusen. It was an exciting game where Bayer took an early lead but eventually lost. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Bayer Leverkusen won six times, and Hoffenheim only twice. 

When it comes to the number of goals, the last nine games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in eight occasions.

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim team overview

After a terrible last season in which they came close to the danger zone, finishing 15th, Hoffenheim bounced back this season in the best way possible. The team from Sinsheim is currently sitting in 5th place with 30 points in 16 rounds - an incredible 0.94 points per game improvement compared to last season. 

For the upcoming game against Bayer Leverkusen, three players who missed the previous games will remain sidelined - Koki Machida, Adam Hlozek, and Cole Campbell. However, Albian Hajdari served his one-game suspension and will return to the starting eleven. The 22-year-old central defender has been outstanding this season and is possibly one of their best players. So, his return should be a massive boost for the team. 

Last matches of Hoffenheim

  1. Hoffenheim

    5 : 1

    Borussia M`gladbach

    Bundesliga

  2. Stuttgart

    0 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. Hoffenheim

    4 : 1

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  4. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Hoffenheim

    3 : 0

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

Hoffenheim lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Oliver Baumann

Defenders

  • 34

    Vladimír Coufal

  • 2

    Robin Hranac

  • 21

    Albian Hajdari

  • 13

    Bernardo

Midfielders

  • 18

    Wouter Burger

  • 7

    Leon Avdullahu

  • 27

    Andrej Kramaric

  • 22

    Alexander Prass

Forwards

  • 19

    Tim Lemperle

  • 11

    Fisnik Asllani

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen team overview

Unlike Hoffenheim, Bayer Leverkusen took a small step back this season, at least in the Bundesliga. However, considering they changed the coach and squad significantly, we aren't too surprised. Still, the Black and Reds are only two points away from fourth and third place, and reaching that is their primary objective. On the other hand, Bayer did well in the Champions League, advancing to the 1/16 Finals with relative ease despite facing amazing competition. 

After a massive 4:1 loss against Stuttgart in the previous game, coach Kasper Hjulmand spoke to the media. He said they cannot panic after a big loss and that they need to move forward. He analyzed that they have to be better, especially in the individual positioning and duels. 

For the upcoming game, the coach could have several important players out. Eliesse Ben Seghir is still with his NT at AFCON, while Christian Kofane and Ibrahim Maza will most likely rest after their appearance at AFCON. Additionally, Exequiel Palacios and Patrik Schick are out with injuries, along with Edmond Tapsoba, who returned from AFCON with a muscular injury and will miss at least two more weeks.

Last matches of Bayer Leverkusen

  1. Bayer Leverkusen

    1 : 4

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    1 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  3. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 0

    FC Koln

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    2 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

  5. Augsburg

    2 : 0

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Mark Flekken

Defenders

  • 8

    Robert Andrich

  • 44

    Jeanuël Belocian

  • 4

    Jarell Quansah

Midfielders

  • 13

    Arthur

  • 24

    Aleix García

  • 6

    Equi Fernández

  • 10

    Malik Tillman

  • 20

    Alejandro Grimaldo

Forwards

  • 23

    Nathan Tella

  • 19

    Ernest Poku

Prediction

Hoffenheim are in excellent form, but they were particularly impressive at home, winning five in a row while scoring three or more goals each time! We expect another good game against Bayer, which allowed four goals in their last game. Also, largely due to strong offensive performances at home, they are among the best teams for this type of bet, as seven of eight games finished with three or more goals. Only Bayern Munich have more such games. 

Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen went over 2.5 goals in three out of the last four games. In contrast to Hoffenheim, Leverkusen are one of the best teams for this type of bet away from home, as six out of seven Bundesliga road games ended with three or more goals. 

Also, the last nine h2h games ended with three or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Bundesliga tie. 

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Hoffenheim scored three or more goals in five consecutive home games
  2. Hoffenheim went over 2.5 goals in seven out of eight home Bundesliga games
  3. Bayer Leverkusen went over 2.5 goals in six out of seven road Bundesliga games
  4. The last nine h2h games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.50

Bet here

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 17 15 2 0 66 - 13 +53 47
2 Borussia Dortmund 17 10 6 1 32 - 15 +17 36
3 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32 - 19 +13 32
4 VfB Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32 - 25 +7 32
5 TSG Hoffenheim 16 9 3 4 34 - 21 +13 30
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 - 24 +10 29
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 17 7 5 5 35 - 36 -1 26
8 SC Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27 - 29 -2 23
9 FC Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23 - 26 -3 23
10 Borussia Mönchengladbach 17 5 4 8 23 - 29 -6 19
11 VfL Wolfsburg 17 5 3 9 26 - 37 -11 18
12 FC Köln 17 4 5 8 25 - 29 -4 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 5 7 18 - 31 -13 17
14 Hamburger SV 16 4 4 8 17 - 27 -10 16
15 FC Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18 - 33 -15 15
16 FSV Mainz 05 17 2 6 9 17 - 29 -12 12
17 St. Pauli 16 3 3 10 14 - 28 -14 12
18 Heidenheim 17 3 3 11 16 - 38 -22 12

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Hoffenheim this season?

The average xG for Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga this season is 1.53.

? How much is the average xG for Bayer Leverkusen this season?

The average xG for Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga this season is 1.62.