Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction 04.03.2026 | Bundesliga

Hamburger hosted RB Leipzig last Sunday hoping to build on a solid February run. For a while, it looked promising after Fábio Vieira found the net, but the mood changed as the game slipped away in a 1-2 defeat. Miro Muheim picked up a costly booking in that match, which rules him out here due to suspension. Still, Polzin will lean heavily on the fact that the vast majority of Hamburger’s points this season have been collected at the Volksparkstadion. Away from home, confidence fades; here, it tends to stick around.

Injuries have shifted since the winter. While captain Yussuf Poulsen and Warmed Omari have recently returned to the squad, the list remains a concern. Nico Capaldo is out with an abdominal injury, joining Aboubaka Soumahoro and Emir Sahiti on the sidelines.

Leverkusen had a chance to build real momentum on Saturday against Mainz. Instead, the afternoon turned into a frustrating 1-1 draw. Die Werkself dominated possession but lacked the clinical edge that defined their early-season form. It was a reminder that Kasper Hjulmand’s side still has occasional lapses in concentration, and the coach will want a sharp response as they push for Champions League qualification.

Away form offers plenty of comfort. Their record on the road remains one of the best in the league, including high-profile results like the 2-0 win at the Etihad in European competition and a dominant display in Leipzig. This team travels with intent. Eliesse Ben Seghir is back and fully integrated after his AFCON campaign with Morocco, and he is expected to start alongside Terrier and Tella. Exequiel Palacios remains a fitness doubt, but the squad depth should allow Hjulmand to rotate effectively for this midweek clash.