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Germany vs Luxembourg prediction 10.10.2025 | World Cup qualifications

Germany

Germany

Kick off:

Date:

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

1

1.06

X

17.00

2

60.00

  • Competition: World Cup qualifications
  • Date: Friday, 10th October 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

On Friday night, Sinsheim, Germany, will welcome Luxembourg in another important World Cup qualification match. Surprisingly, Julian Nagelsmann's team started poorly, so anything other than a victory in the upcoming tie would be a disaster for the Germans. Can Luxembourg surprise on Friday? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Germany vs Luxembourg Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Germany

    7 : 0

    Luxembourg

    Friendly International

Germany were dominant against Luxembourg throughout history as they won all four H2H matches with a 23:3 goal difference. Another interesting fact about the games between these two teams is that every one had at least four goals. Germany is surely a better team still, but the difference is not that big anymore. 

Germany

Germany team overview

Germany are one of the most successful football nations with four World Cup trophies. Also, the last tournament they missed was in 1950, when Germany was banned from entering. It is still too early to panic, but Germany have started the qualifications for the World Cup that will be played in the USA, Canada, and Mexico, with only three points in the opening two rounds. A defeat in the first round in Slovakia have put Germany in a position to probably need to win all the games until the end to end at the top of the group. In the previous match, Nagelsmann's team won 3-1 at home against Northern Ireland. 

Germany haven't played well in recent months, and there is growing dissatisfaction with Julian Nagelsmann's choices. Germany's defense seems too fragile as they conceded ten goals in the last five matches, and the upcoming game against Luxembourg will be a great opportunity to finally have a better defensive performance. 

Germany have some problems with missing players. Goalkeeper Oliver Baumann is replaced by Noah Atubolu, while Kevin Schade is called up instead of Jamie Leweling. Also, Nick Woltemade experienced flu-like symptoms, but he should be ready for Friday's game in Sinsheim. 

Last matches of Germany

  1. Germany

    3 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Slovakia

    2 : 0

    Germany

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Germany

    0 : 2

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Germany

    1 : 2

    Portugal

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Germany

    3 : 3

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

Germany lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Alexander Nubel

Defenders

  • 14

    Nico Schlotterbeck

  • 4

    Jonathan Tah

  • 15

    Waldemar Anton

Midfielders

  • 6

    Joshua Kimmich

  • 25

    Aleksandar Pavlovic

  • 8

    Leon Goretzka

  • 22

    David Raum

Forwards

  • 17

    Florian Wirtz

  • 7

    Jonathan Burkardt

  • 20

    Serge Gnabry

Luxembourg

Luxembourg team overview

Although Luxembourg undoubtedly improved in the previous years, they are still far from their first appearance at any major tournament. Jeff Strasser's team is currently in bad form as they have lost four of the previous five matches, including two games in the World Cup qualifications. In the last outing, Luxembourg lost 1-0 at home against Slovakia. 

Luxembourg is a solid team, but they lack quality in the attack. Strasser's team scored only one goal in the previous four games, and they have to find a solution for their offense to have any chance on Friday in Sinsheim. 

Luxembourg have some problems ahead of Friday. Mica Pinto is a notable absentee as he currently doesn't have the club. Also, Danel Sinani will not play on Friday due to suspension, but will return against Slovakia. 

Last matches of Luxembourg

  1. Luxembourg

    0 : 1

    Slovakia

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Luxembourg

    1 : 3

    Northern Ireland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Luxembourg

    0 : 0

    Republic of Ireland

    Friendly International

  4. Luxembourg

    0 : 1

    Slovenia

    Friendly International

  5. Switzerland

    3 : 1

    Luxembourg

    Friendly International

Luxembourg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anthony Moris

Defenders

  • 4

    Florian Bohnert

  • 2

    Seid Korac

  • 3

    Enes Mahmutovic

  • 14

    Eric Veiga

Midfielders

  • 16

    Leandro Barreiro

  • 8

    Christopher Martins

  • 19

    Mathias Olesen

Forwards

  • 9

    Aiman Dardari

  • 5

    Alessio Curci

  • 7

    Yvandro Borges Sanches

Prediction

Germany didn't play defensively in the previous months, but they are a team that could score two or three goals against any team. Julian Nagelsmann's team will surely be eager to show that the recent struggles are in the past. On the other hand, Luxembourg have conceded eight goals in the last five matches. The game between Germany and Luxembourg has always been high-scoring, and there is no reason to be different on Friday in Sinsheim. Our prediction: Over 3.5 goals. 

3 Reasons why we should expect four or more goals in this match

  1. Germany allowed ten goals in the last five matches
  2. Luxembourg conceded eight goals in the previous five games
  3. Every one of the four H2H matches between Germany and Luxembourg had four or more goals

Main prediction Germany - Luxembourg

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.83

Bet here

Germany vs Luxembourg standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group A P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Slovakia 2 2 0 0 3 - 0 +3 6
2 Germany 2 1 0 1 3 - 3 0 3
3 Northern Ireland 2 1 0 1 4 - 4 0 3
4 Luxembourg 2 0 0 2 1 - 4 -3 0

Germany vs Luxembourg – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Germany?

The average xG for Germany in the World Cup qualifications is 1.54.

? How much is the average xG for Luxembourg?

The average xG for Luxembourg in the World Cup qualifications is 0.56.