Gabon vs Mozambique prediction 28.12.2025 | Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon
2 - 3
Elapsed: FT
Half time: 1 - 2
Full time: 2 - 3
Kick off:
Date:
Mozambique
The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.
Contents
- Competition: Africa Cup of Nations
- Date: Sunday, 28th December, 2025
- Kickoff: 12:30 UK / 13:30 CET
- Venue: Stade Adrar (Agadir)
The 35th Africa Cup of Nations is underway. In Group F, Gabon and Mozambique, both coming off first-round defeats, will clash in the second round. This match could prove decisive for their campaigns, as another loss would all but end their hopes of advancing.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this AFCON tie.
Gabon vs Mozambique Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Gabon
1 : 0
Mozambique
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Mozambique
1 : 0
Gabon
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Gabon
2 : 0
Mozambique
Friendly International
These teams haven't met in more than a decade. The last time they met was in the World Cup Qualifiers in November 2015, when both teams won their home games - Gabon 2:0 and Mozambique 1:0. In total, these teams met five times, with Gabon winning three times and Mozambique just once.
When it comes to the number of goals, four of those five h2h games ended with fewer than three goals, while both teams scored twice.
Gabon team overview
Gabon are ranked #78 in the FIFA World Ranking and #16 in Africa. They have never been to the World Cup, but were super close to reaching it for the first time just before AFCON, missing it by one point. They eventually qualified for the Playoffs but lost to Nigeria in the Semi-Finals after extra time. Despite this strong pre-AFCON performance, the popular Panthers opened the ongoing tournament with a narrow 1:0 loss to Cameroon.
After the Cameroon loss, assistant coach Cédric Moubamba spoke to the media. He said they haven't started the game well, but wasn't too unhappy with their performance. The assistant coach said they kept their tactical scheme and had a solid game, but failed to equalize.
Last matches of Gabon
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Cameroon
1 : 0
Gabon
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Nigeria
3 : 0
Gabon
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Gambia
3 : 4
Gabon
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Gabon
0 : 0
Ivory Coast
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Gabon lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Loyce Mbaba
Defenders
-
3
Anthony Oyono
-
5
Bruno Ecuele Manga
-
4
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda
-
19
Jacques Ekomié
Midfielders
-
22
Didier Ndong
-
14
Eric Bocoum
-
18
Mario Lemina
Forwards
-
9
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
-
20
Denis Bouanga
-
28
Royce Openda
Mozambique team overview
Mozambique are ranked #102 in the FIFA World Ranking List and #25 in Africa. Like Gabon, they have never appeared in the World Cup. Their performance in the World Cup Qualifiers was underwhelming, as they finished third in their group - far from reaching a World Cup spot or even the playoffs. Like Gabon, Mozambique started the AFCON with a 1:0 loss to the Ivory Coast. However, unlike the Panthers, the Mambas were clearly outplayed in their opening match, leaving them looking like the weakest team in the group.
After a 1:0 loss in the opening game of the tournament, coach Chiquinho Conde spoke to the media. He said the breakdowns in communication and poor marking inside the box made the difference. However, it seems he wasn't too unhappy and said they need to look forward and adjust tactically for the next game.
Last matches of Mozambique
-
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
Friendly International
-
Morocco
1 : 0
Mozambique
Friendly International
-
Somalia
0 : 1
Mozambique
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Mozambique
1 : 2
Guinea
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Mozambique lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Ernan Siluane
Defenders
-
23
Diogo Calila
-
17
Mexer
-
15
Reinildo Mandava
-
5
Bruno Langa
Midfielders
-
16
Alfonso Amade
-
6
Manuel Kambala
-
21
Ricardo Guimarães
Forwards
-
10
Geny Catamo
-
13
Stanley Ratifo
-
19
Witiness Quembo
Prediction
Both teams opened the competition with a 1:0 loss to Cameroon and the Ivory Coast. In those matches, both Gabon and Mozambique struggled to create goal-scoring chances. Combined, these teams had only 0.93 xG.
Moreover, Gabon went under 2.5 goals in the last three games and in four of the previous five across competitions. On the other hand, Mozambique have really struggled to score goals lately, scoring just seven goals in the past nine matches. Also, in the last 13 games, we saw them scoring one or zero goals in 11 of them.
Additionally, we saw fewer than three goals in the last four h2h games. Considering the trend in the previous meetings, the importance of the match, and all the above, an under 2.5 goals seems like the best option for this AFCON tie.
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Gabon and Mozambique lost their first games at the AFCON by 1:0
- Gabon were under 2.5 goals in four of the last five games across the competitions
- Mozambique scored one or zero goals in 11 out of 13 games across the competitions
- The last four h2h games ended with fewer than three goals
Main prediction Gabon - Mozambique
Under 2.5 goals
Gabon vs Mozambique standings in Africa Cup of Nations
| Group F | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Côte d'Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 - 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gabon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 - 7 | -3 | 0 |