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FC Porto vs Benfica prediction 14.01.2026 | Taca de Portugal

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2.20

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3.10

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3.10

  • Competition: Taça de Portugal, Quarter-Finals
  • Date: Wednesday, 14th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:45 UK / 21:45 CET
  • Venue: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

In the Taça de Portugal Quarter-Finals, two Portuguese giants, FC Porto and Benfica, will face off against each other in the 259th O Clássico. FC Porto are coming into the game having won seven in a row across the competition, while Benfica comes after being eliminated from the League Cup Semi-Finals by Braga. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Taça de Portugal tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Porto

    0 : 0

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  2. Porto

    1 : 4

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  3. Benfica

    4 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  4. Porto

    5 : 0

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  5. Benfica

    1 : 0

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  6. Benfica

    2 : 0

    Porto

    Super Cup

In recent h2h games, Benfica have been better, having won two of the last three games, while the other ended in a goalless draw. During the previous six h2h games, FC Porto won just once. In total, these teams met 258 times: FC Porto won 102 (39.5%), and Benfica won 93 (36%). 

Regarding the number of goals, three out of the last four h2h games ended with three or more goals, with both teams scoring in two out of those four matches. 

FC Porto team overview

FC Porto, a 30-time Portuguese champion, had an underwhelming season by their standards, finishing the season trophyless. This season, the popular Dragons are doing a much better job across the competitions. They are at the top of Liga Portugal with an incredible 49 points in 17 rounds and have easily reached the Europa League 1/8 Finals. Their only poor performance this season was in the League Cup, losing to Guimaraes in the quarter-finals. However, the popular Dragons are playing great football and are looking better and better as the season progresses. 

After a 1:0 win over Santa Clara in the previous game, coach Francesco Farioli spoke to the media. He said they played well, structured, and dealt with a tough pitch and a good opponent. The coach also emphasized they have to keep working and improving and not get complacent. 

Last matches of

  1. Santa Clara

    0 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  2. Porto

    2 : 0

    AVS

    Liga Portugal

  3. Alverca

    0 : 3

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  4. Porto

    4 : 1

    Famalicao

    Taça De Portugal

  5. Porto

    3 : 1

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Diogo Costa

Defenders

  • 52

    Martim Fernandes

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 4

    Jakub Kiwior

  • 74

    Francisco Moura

Midfielders

  • 8

    Victor Froholdt

  • 13

    Pablo Rosario

  • 10

    Gabri Veiga

Forwards

  • 7

    William Gomes

  • 9

    Samu Aghehowa

  • 11

    Pepê

Benfica team overview

Benfica, a 38-time Portuguese winner, also finished its last season without a single trophy. This season, the popular Eagles haven't been at the top of their game, and their best remaining chance of silverware clearly lies in the Taça de Portugal. The Eagles have already been eliminated from the Champions League and League Cup and are ten points away from the first-placed FC Porto in Liga Portugal. To be fair, they aren't playing too badly, but have constantly struggled to beat good teams. 

After a 3:1 loss against Braga in the League Cup, coach José Mourinho spoke to the media. He was extremely unhappy with the team's performance, calling it awful and inexplicable. The famous coach also criticized the lack of communication and reaction from his players. "It wasn't Braga that won — it was us who lost," the coach added.

Last matches of

  1. Benfica

    1 : 3

    Braga

    Taça da Liga

  2. Benfica

    3 : 1

    Estoril

    Liga Portugal

  3. Braga

    2 : 2

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  4. Benfica

    1 : 0

    Famalicao

    Liga Portugal

  5. Farense

    0 : 2

    Benfica

    Taça De Portugal

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 17

    Amar Dedić

  • 30

    Nicolás Otamendi

  • 44

    Tomás Araújo

  • 26

    Samuel Dahl

Midfielders

  • 16

    Manu Silva

  • 18

    Leandro Barreiro

  • 20

    Richard Ríos

Forwards

  • 8

    Fredrik Aursnes

  • 14

    Vangelis Pavlidis

  • 10

    Georgiy Sudakov

Prediction

FC Porto are in excellent form, having won seven in a row with 17 goals scored - 2.43 per game. Throughout the season, they played 27 games across the competitions and scored at least one goal in 26 of them! So, scoring at least one goal at home seems like a lock.

Benfica have been excellent for this type of bet lately as their last three games ended with both teams scoring. They have also scored a goal in 12 consecutive games, while scoring two or more in nine out of those 12 matches - 75% 

Considering all the above, and especially both teams' consistent scoring, we believe both teams will score at least once in this O Clássico. 

3 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. FC Porto scored in 26 out of 27 games this season
  2. Benfica scored in 12 consecutive games
  3. Two of the last three h2h games ended with both teams scoring

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

2.00

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FC Porto vs Benfica – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the FOX Sports 3 (Arg) channel.

? How much is the average xG for FC Porto this season?

The average xG for FC Porto in the league this season is 1.69.

? How much is the average xG for Benfica this season?

The average xG for Benfica in the league this season is 1.82.