Estonia vs Italy prediction 11.10.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers
Estonia
Kick off:
Date:
Italy
1
36.00
X
12.70
2
1.10
Contents
- Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
- Date: Saturday, 11th October, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
On Saturday evening, Estonia will welcome one of the European giants, Italy, in the World Cup Qualifiers at A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. While Estonia hopes to secure points after three straight losses, Italy will look to extend their winning streak to four.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this World Cup Qualifiers tie.
Estonia vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Italy
5 : 0
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
4 : 0
Estonia
Friendly International
-
Italy
3 : 0
Estonia
Euro Qualification
-
Estonia
1 : 2
Italy
Euro Qualification
These teams met only a month ago when Italy hammered Estonia 5:0 in Bergamo. Expectantly, Italy has been much better in the previous h2h games, winning in all eight duels.
Regarding the number of goals, six out of those eight went over 2.5 goals, and three out of eight went over 3.5 goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored on just two occasions.
Estonia team overview
Estonia are ranked #129 on the FIFA World Ranking List and number 46 (out of 55 teams) in Europe. They, expectedly, never reached any major competition in their history, and that will hardly change any time soon.
Before these Qualifiers, Estonia played in UEFA Nations League C and finished third in the Group with Sweden, Slovakia, and Azerbaijan. In the WC Qualifiers, they won just three points in five rounds, beating only Moldova. They are undoubtedly a team that doesn't have high hopes in this type of match, and their main motive against Italy is to try to be competitive and offer a good resistance.
Last matches of Estonia
-
Estonia
0 : 0
Andorra
Friendly International
-
Italy
5 : 0
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Estonia
0 : 1
Norway
WC Qualification Europe
-
Estonia
1 : 3
Israel
WC Qualification Europe
-
Moldova
2 : 3
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
Estonia lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Karl Hein
Defenders
-
18
Michael Schjonning-Larsen
-
13
Maksim Paskotsi
-
16
Joonas Tamm
-
3
Hoseph Saliste
Midfielders
-
10
Kevor Palumets
-
4
Mattias Käit
-
5
Rocco Shein
Forwards
-
14
Patrik Kristal
-
15
Rauno Sappinen
-
7
Robi Saarma
Italy team overview
Italy are a four-time World Cup and a two-time EURO champion. However, in the last EURO, they only reached the 1/8 Finals and, more disappointingly, they failed to appear in the previous two World Cup tournaments in Russia and Qatar. That is unacceptable for Italy, and they will be eager to change the negative momentum.
In these World Cup Qualifiers, Italy opened the competition with a massive 3:0 loss against Norway and are now in second place with nine points in four rounds. They are already six points away from the top spot, although with fewer games played than Norway. They are under pressure to win games and to win them by large margins if they want to put themselves in a position to catch Norway.
Last matches of Italy
-
Israel
4 : 5
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
5 : 0
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
2 : 0
Moldova
WC Qualification Europe
-
Norway
3 : 0
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Germany
3 : 3
Italy
UEFA Nations League
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
-
23
Gianluca Mancini
-
21
Alessandro Bastoni
-
3
Dederico DImarco
Midfielders
-
5
Manuel Locatelli
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
18
Nicolo Barella
-
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Forwards
-
11
Moise Kean
-
9
Mateo Retegui
Prediction
Estonia went over 3.5 goals in three out of five World Cup Qualifier games. The main reason for it is their poor defense, as they allowed two or more goals in four out of five games. In the match against Italy, they really struggled as they conceded five goals!
Under Gattuso, Italy aren't playing like we used to from them. They are playing much more offensively and rarely try to "park the bus" when they have a minimal lead - something they often did in the past. They have constantly played high-scoring games and were over 2.5 goals in three out of four games, with an average of 4.75 goals per game. However, in the previous game against Israel, it became apparent that they are not on the desired defensive level, as they allowed four goals (5:4 win for Italy).
Considering the result in the previous h2h game and all the above, we believe that an over 3.5 goals bet is the safest option for this World Cup Qualifier tie.
3 Reasons why we should see four or more goals
- Estonia allowed two or more goals in four out of five WC Qualifier games
- Italy averaged 4.75 goals in their World Cup Qualifier games
- Italy won the previous h2h game 5:0
Main prediction Estonia - Italy
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.9
Estonia vs Italy standings in WC Qualification Europe
| Group I | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 - 3 | +21 | 15 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 - 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Israel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 - 11 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Estonia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 - 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 5 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 - 25 | -22 | 0 |