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Derby vs Leeds prediction 11.01.2026 | FA Cup

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  • Competition: FA Cup
  • Date: 11/01/2026
  • KO: 12:00 UK / 13:00 CET
  • Venue: Pride Park Stadium

An entertaining cup contest should be on the cards on Sunday as Championship hosts Derby take on Premier League opponents Leeds.

Both teams come into this fixture looking to bounce back from disappointing defeats earlier this week. Leeds crashed to a remarkable 4:3 defeat at Newcastle while Derby slumped to a home reversal against in-form Wrexham. 

Leeds have enjoyed the better of past encounters, but can expect a tough test against a Derby side capable of raising their game this weekend.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Derby County

    0 : 1

    Leeds United

    Championship

  2. Leeds United

    2 : 0

    Derby County

    Championship

  3. Derby County

    1 : 3

    Leeds United

    Championship

  4. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  5. Leeds United

    2 : 4

    Derby County

    Championship

  6. Derby County

    0 : 1

    Leeds United

    Championship

Derby and Leeds have met on nine occasions since 2017. Leeds won seven games while Derby won just twice.

Derby team overview

Derby County come into Sunday's FA Cup contest looking to bounce back from a 2:1 home defeat against Wrexham in the Championship last weekend. Ben Brereton Diaz was on the scoresheet as the Rams slumped to another home reversal. 

John Eustace's side have been in mixed form in recent weeks, picking up two wins, while losing three of their eight most recent fixtures. Derby sit 13th in the Championship, six points outside of the playoff positions. 

A lack of form in home fixtures has been an issue for the hosts. Eustace's men failed to win nine of 14 league games at Pride Park this season. 

Frequently involved in entertaining fixtures, all but two of Derby's last 14 games finished with both teams on the scoresheet.

Head coach Eustace has three players unavailable this weekend. Max Johnston, David Ozoh and top scorer Carlton Morris remain sidelined.

Last matches of

  1. Derby County

    1 : 2

    Wrexham

    Championship

  2. Derby County

    1 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  3. Leicester City

    2 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  4. Birmingham City

    1 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  5. Derby County

    1 : 1

    Portsmouth

    Championship

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    J. W. Zetterstroem

Defenders

  • 6

    S. Klingen Langaas

  • 28

    Dion Sanderson

  • 5

    Matthew Clarke

Midfielders

  • 23

    Joe Ward

  • 16

    Liam Thompson

  • 42

    Bobby Clark

  • 20

    Callum Elder

Forwards

  • 25

    Ben Brereton Diaz

  • 7

    Patrick Agyemang

  • 10

    Rhian Brewster

Leeds team overview

Leeds United make the trip to Derby after a remarkable 4:3 defeat at Newcastle earlier this week. Despite taking the lead on three separate occasions, Daniel Farke's men left the North-East empty handed following Harvey Barnes incredible 102nd minute winner at St James's Park. 

Despite an improved run of performances, which had seen the visitors unbeaten in seven games before their defeat at Newcastle, Leeds have been unable to find much winning form. The Lilywhites failed to win ten of their last 12 matches.

Defensive vulnerabilities have led to several high-scoring outcomes in Leeds recent results. All but one of their last 11 games finished with both teams scoring.

Head coach Farke has just two expected absentees this weekend. Daniel James and Jayden Bogle are both tipped to remain unavailable.

Last matches of

  1. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    4 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lucas Perri

Defenders

  • 23

    Sebastiaan Bornauw

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

Midfielders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 44

    Ilia Gruev

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Forwards

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

Prediction

Leeds have struggled to keep clean sheets this season, and that pattern should continue in a potentially entertaining FA Cup contest.

BTTS is my preferred pick at Pride Park.

Three Reasons Why We Expect BTTS

  1. Derby have seen BTTS in 12 of their last 14 matches
  2. Leeds have seen BTTS in 10 of their last 11 matches
  3. Derby have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches against Leeds

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

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Derby vs Leeds – FAQ

? Derby Player to Watch

Patrick Agyemang - The US forward has scored six goals in 22 appearances this season. 

? Leeds Player to Watch

Dominic Calvert-Lewin - The 28-year-old has scored nine goals in 20 appearances this season.

? Where to Watch

This FA Cup match can be viewed live on TNT Sports 2.