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Cruzeiro vs Botafogo RJ prediction 04.12.2025 | Serie A

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.06

X

3.22

2

3.84

  • Competition: Serie A 
  • Date: Thursday, 4th December 2025
  • Kickoff: 22:30 UK / 23:30 CET
  • Venue: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

There are only two rounds left in the Brazilian Serie A, and most of the teams have something to fight for. One of the teams is Botafogo RJ, who will travel to Belo Horizonte with the hope of remaining among the best five teams in the competition and securing another Copa Libertadores appearance. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Botafogo

    0 : 2

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  2. Botafogo

    0 : 3

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  3. Cruzeiro

    3 : 2

    Botafogo

    Serie A

  4. Botafogo

    0 : 0

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  5. Cruzeiro

    0 : 0

    Botafogo

    Serie A

  6. Cruzeiro

    0 : 0

    Botafogo

    Serie B

Botafogo RJ haven't had much success against Cruzeiro, as they haven't won since 2016. Since then, Cruzeiro have won six H2H games, while eight encounters have ended in draws. In the only meeting in 2025, Cruzeiro won 2-0 away from home. 

Cruzeiro team overview

Cruzeiro are one of the rare teams that doesn't have too much to fight for in the final two league rounds. They lost all chances of winning the championship title and will finish second or third, which doesn't make much difference. The team from Belo Horizonte wasn't at their best in their recent matches, as they have one win and three draws in their previous four games. In the most recent outing, Cruzeiro played 1-1 on the road against Ceara. The teams were pretty even throughout the match and splitting points was probably the fairest outcome. 

The season is close to the end, and there is a lot of speculation about whether Leonardo Jardim will remain Cruzeiro's head coach. The Portuguese has a contract until the end of 2026, but he recently received offers from the United Arab Emirates. 

Lucas Silva and Gabriel Barbosa are suspended and will not play on Thursday against Botafogo RJ. Cruzeiro will also be without injured Janderson, Marquinhos, and Wanderson. 

Last matches of

  1. Ceara

    1 : 1

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  2. Juventude

    3 : 3

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  3. Cruzeiro

    0 : 0

    Fluminense

    Serie A

  4. Cruzeiro

    3 : 1

    Vitória

    Serie A

  5. Cruzeiro

    1 : 0

    Fortaleza

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Cassio

Defenders

  • 12

    William

  • 15

    Fabricio Bruno

  • 25

    Lucas Villalba

  • 6

    Kaiki

Midfielders

  • 5

    Walace

  • 10

    Matheus Pereira

  • 77

    Japa

Forwards

  • 88

    Christian

  • 11

    Yannick Bolasie

  • 99

    Keny Arroyo

Botafogo RJ team overview

Botafogo RJ failed to defend the Serie A title, but if they secure the Copa Libertadores group phase, the 2025 season could still be considered successful. Botafogo RJ are only one point ahead of Fluminense and two ahead of Bahia, so every point could be important in the final two league rounds. Davide Ancelotti's team are undefeated in the last eight matches. In the previous game, they played 2-2 on the road against Corinthians. The home side ended with xG of 2.02, while the guests had only 0.60, so Botafogo RJ were fortunate to avoid defeat.

Botafogo RJ's head coach, Davide Ancelotti, was partially pleased with a draw against Corinthians. He said, "This consistency is what we need to strive for. We're currently in fifth place and closer to our goal. I think we defended with a lot of commitment today; we made some small mistakes that we paid dearly for. Offensively, we got the idea a bit wrong in the first half; we played too much through the middle. In the second half, we switched the flanks a lot, and we improved."

Botafogo RJ have huge problems with missing players. They will be without Alexander Barboza, Bastos, Danilo, Jeffinho, Kaio, Matheus Martins, Nathan Fernandes, Neto, Mateo Ponte, and Santiago Rodriguez on Thursday in Belo Horizonte. Also, Alvaro Montoro, Christopher Ramos, and Jefferson Savarino are questionable.

Last matches of

  1. Corinthians

    2 : 2

    Botafogo

    Serie A

  2. Vitória

    0 : 0

    Botafogo

    Serie A

  3. Mirassol

    0 : 0

    Botafogo

    Serie A

  4. Botafogo

    2 : 2

    Santos FC

    Serie A

  5. Ceara

    0 : 2

    Botafogo

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Leo Linck

Defenders

  • 64

    Marquinhos

  • 21

    Marcal

  • 57

    David Ricardo

  • 6

    Cuiabano

Midfielders

  • 17

    Marlon Freitas

  • 10

    Jefferson Savarino

  • 28

    Newton

Forwards

  • 7

    Artur

  • 37

    Kadir Barria

  • 30

    Joaquin Correa

Prediction

Both these teams are very good offensively. Cruzeiro scored seven goals in the last three matches, while Botafogo RJ scored eight goals in the same span. With those trends, it is likely that we will see another high-scoring game on Thursday in Belo Horizonte. Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals. 

4 Reasons why we should expect three or more goals in this match

  1. Cruzeiro scored seven goals in the last three matches
  2. There were three or more goals in two of the previous three Cruziero games
  3. Botafogo RJ scored eight goals in the last three matches
  4. There were three or more goals in each of the previous three Botafogo RJ games

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.10

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vs standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Flamengo 36 22 9 5 74 - 24 +50 75
2 Palmeiras 36 21 7 8 60 - 32 +28 70
3 Cruzeiro 36 19 12 5 53 - 26 +27 69
4 Mirassol 37 18 12 7 60 - 36 +24 66
5 Fluminense 37 18 7 12 48 - 39 +9 61
6 Botafogo 36 16 11 9 52 - 34 +18 59
7 Bahia 36 16 9 11 48 - 44 +4 57
8 São Paulo 36 13 9 14 40 - 46 -6 48
9 Corinthians 36 12 10 14 40 - 44 -4 46
10 Grêmio 37 12 10 15 43 - 50 -7 46
11 Vasco da Gama 37 13 6 18 55 - 55 0 45
12 Bragantino 36 13 6 17 40 - 54 -14 45
13 Atlético Mineiro 36 11 12 13 38 - 41 -3 45
14 Ceará 36 11 10 15 33 - 36 -3 43
15 Vitória 36 10 12 14 34 - 48 -14 42
16 Santos 36 10 11 15 39 - 50 -11 41
17 Internacional 36 10 11 15 41 - 53 -12 41
18 Fortaleza 36 10 10 16 39 - 53 -14 40
19 Juventude 36 9 7 20 34 - 65 -31 34
20 Sport Recife 36 2 11 23 28 - 69 -41 17

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo RJ – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Claro TV+ channel.

? How much is the average xG for Cruzeiro this season?

The average xG for Cruzeiro in Serie A this season is 1.49.

? How much is the average xG for Botafogo RJ this season?

The average xG for Botafogo in Serie A this season is 1.54.