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Cardiff City vs Chelsea prediction 16.12.2025 | EFL Cup

Cardiff City

Cardiff City

Kick off:

Date:

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

12.50

X

6.00

2

1.22

  • Competition: EFL Cup
  • Date: 16h December 2025
  • Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City head into Tuesday night chasing a fourth straight win in all competitions, and there’s a genuine buzz around the club right now. The Bluebirds are sitting proudly at the top of League One, while Chelsea arrive as fourth place in the Premier League, a reminder of just how wide the gap still is on paper. Still, cup nights have a habit of bending logic, especially when confidence and momentum are pulling in opposite directions. Below, I’ll run through recent form, team news, and a few angles that might be worth thinking about.

Cardiff City vs Chelsea Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Cardiff City

    1 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Chelsea

    4 : 1

    Cardiff City

    Premier League

  3. Cardiff City

    1 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    4 : 1

    Cardiff City

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    4 : 1

    Cardiff City

    FA Cup

If you wind the clock back to 2010, these sides have only crossed paths five times. Four were Premier League meetings, with the other coming in the FA Cup. Chelsea dominated that stretch, winning all five and keeping a couple of clean sheets along the way. Goals weren’t exactly rationed either, with an average of 3.8 per game, although those numbers come from a very different era for both clubs.

Cardiff City

Cardiff City team overview

Relegation last season hurt, no doubt about it. Finishing 24th in the Championship dropped Cardiff into the third tier, and supporters immediately demanded a response.

Brian Barry Murphy’s side have delivered so far. The Bluebirds sit four points clear at the top of League One and, perhaps more importantly, look ruthless at home, winning their last five matches at the Cardiff City Stadium.

Their cup run has matched that confidence. Cardiff booked a quarter final spot by knocking out Championship side Wrexham and have won all but one of their last seven games in all competitions.

Yousef Salech leads the way with 11 goals this season and remains the obvious danger. Callum Robinson has six to his name, although the 30 year old may again be used from the bench against Premier League opposition.

Last matches of Cardiff City

  1. Cardiff City

    4 : 3

    Doncaster Rovers

    League One

  2. Stevenage

    0 : 1

    Cardiff City

    League One

  3. Cardiff City

    3 : 2

    Huddersfield Town

    League One

  4. Cardiff City

    1 : 5

    AFC Wimbledon

    EFL Trophy

  5. Cardiff City

    3 : 0

    Mansfield Town

    League One

Cardiff City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Nathan Trott

Defenders

  • 3

    Joel Bagan

  • 2

    William Fish

  • 12

    Calum Chambers

  • 44

    Ronan Kpakio

Midfielders

  • 6

    Ryan Wintle

  • 45

    Cian Ashford

  • 18

    Alex Robertson

Forwards

  • 8

    Omari Kellyman

  • 22

    Yousef Salech

  • 39

    Isaak Davies

Chelsea

Chelsea team overview

Chelsea began the season wearing the World Champions badge after that eye catching summer run in the United States. At times, the Blues have looked every bit the part. The ten man display against Arsenal and the European win over Barcelona stand out. However, consistency still slips through their fingers and they are winless in their last three away games.

After going four matches without a win, Cole Palmer returned from injury and marked his comeback with a goal in the 2-0 win over Everton on Saturday afternoon.

Enzo Maresca will likely be cautious with his minutes here. A bigger boost is the return of Moises Caicedo, available again after serving a three game suspension for the red card against Arsenal.

Estêvão, who has scored five times in all competitions, is expected to start after being limited to a substitute role last weekend.

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. Chelsea

    2 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Champions League

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Robert Sánchez

Defenders

  • 27

    Malo Gusto

  • 29

    Wesley Fofana

  • 23

    Trevoh Chalobah

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 25

    Moisés Caicedo

  • 8

    Enzo Fernández

  • 10

    Cole Palmer

Forwards

  • 41

    Estêvão

  • 20

    João Pedro

  • 49

    Alejandro Garnacho

Prediction

A 2-1 Chelsea win feels like the sensible middle ground. Cardiff are in excellent form, winning five straight at home, but this is a big step up in class. Chelsea have scored in all but one of their last 23 matches in all competitions, and with Palmer back and Caicedo available again, Maresca’s side should have just enough control to edge a competitive cup tie.

Three reasons we expect at least three goals in this game

  1. Cardiff City have scored at least three times in five of their last seven matches.
  2. Seven of the last eight games of Cardiff produced three or more goals.
  3. Four of the last five meetings between Cardiff and Chelsea produced 3+ goals.

Main prediction Cardiff City - Chelsea

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.66

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Cardiff City vs Chelsea – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Tuesday’s EFL Cup contest⁠ between Cardiff City and Chelsea.

? What⁠ is Chelsea's⁠ average number⁠ of corners in their league away ga⁠mes this se⁠ason?

4.25

? What is Cardiff City’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in in home games this season?

1.85