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Caldas vs Braga prediction 23.12.2025 | Taca de Portugal

Caldas

Caldas

Kick off:

Date:

Braga

Braga

1

13.50

X

6.50

2

1.19

  • Competition: Taça de Portugal
  • Date: 23rd December 2025
  • Kick-off: 18:45 UK / 19:45 CET
  • Venue: Campo da Mata stadium

A quarter-final ticket in the Portuguese Cup is on the line when Caldas welcome Braga on Tuesday night. On paper, it looks like a mismatch. Caldas are grinding away in the third tier, while Braga arrive as a Primeira Liga side sitting comfortably near the top end of the table. Still, cup football has a habit of bending logic. I will walk you through how both teams are shaping up, who is fit, and where the smart betting angles might sit, though nothing here feels completely straightforward.

H2H stats

This will actually be the first competitive meeting between Caldas and Braga, which adds a small layer of mystery. Braga have faced third-tier opposition in the Taça recently and came out on top in their last three such ties, winning 6-2 on aggregate.

Caldas

Caldas team overview

Caldas travelled to Tondela in the fourth round last month hoping to extend an impressive cup run, and in the end, they did just enough.

The Pelicans went through on penalties after a goalless 120 minutes, a strange game that snapped a run of five straight matches with a goal. What stands out more is the defence.

Four consecutive clean sheets in the Cup is no accident, and it explains why José Vala’s men might quietly believe in an upset, especially after winning their last three home cup games.

However, league form tells a different story. Caldas have lost their last four matches in the third tier and failed to score in three of them, which is hard to ignore.

Miguel Velosa and Duarte Maneta are the only players with two goals this season and should start in midfield and up front.

Last matches of Caldas

  1. Caldas

    0 : 2

    União Santarém

    Liga 3

  2. 1º Dezembro

    2 : 0

    Caldas

    Liga 3

  3. Caldas

    0 : 1

    Atlético CP

    Liga 3

  4. Caldas

    1 : 2

    Amora

    Liga 3

  5. Tondela

    5 : 6

    Caldas

    Taça De Portugal

Caldas lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Wilson Soares

Defenders

  • 3

    Jose Ricardo Pires Gomes

  • 14

    Duarte Maneta

  • 66

    Rui Carreira

Midfielders

  • 7

    Ricardo Alexandre

  • 4

    Pipo

  • 6

    Matheus Palmerio

  • 8

    Diogo Clemente

  • 30

    Eduardo Monteiro

Forwards

  • 11

    Miguel Velosa

  • 33

    Tarzan

Braga

Braga team overview

Braga come into this match slightly bruised. The Archbishops went to Estoril on Friday aiming for a fifth straight win, something they have not managed since August, and instead walked away with a surprise defeat.

It was their first blank in 16 matches, and Carlos Vicens will be demanding a reaction. Still, it is worth mentioning that all three of Braga’s recent non-wins came away from home, which makes this trip feel a bit less routine than it might appear.

Ricardo Horta remains the heartbeat of Vicens’ side, with seven league goals to his name, and should spearhead the attack here.

Rodrigo Zalazar is likely to play just off him, bringing nine goals across all competitions and a knack for arriving late into dangerous areas.

Braga will be without Jonatás Noro and Amine El Ouazzani, sidelined with an Achilles tendon injury and a metatarsal fracture respectively.

Last matches of Braga

  1. Estoril

    1 : 0

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  2. Braga

    1 : 0

    Santa Clara

    Liga Portugal

  3. OGC Nice

    0 : 1

    Braga

    Europa League

  4. Famalicao

    1 : 2

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  5. Arouca

    0 : 4

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

Braga lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukáš Horníček

Defenders

  • 26

    Bright Arrey-Mbi

  • 14

    Gustaf Lagerbielke

  • 6

    Carvalho

Midfielders

  • 77

    Gabri Martínez

  • 29

    Jean-Baptiste Gorby

  • 8

    João Moutinho

  • 50

    Diego Rodrigues

  • 2

    Víctor Gómez

Forwards

  • 21

    Ricardo Horta

  • 10

    Rodrigo Zalazar

Prediction

Braga should have enough control and depth to see this through. Caldas are organised at home but arrive on a poor league run and struggle to score against stronger opposition. The Archbishops rarely lose to lower-tier sides in the Taça and, despite recent away issues, their attacking quality through Ricardo Horta points to a measured 2-0 win.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Each of the last three games of Braga ended with exactly one goal.
  2. None of the last three games of Caldas produced more than two goals.
  3. Caldas have failed to score in their last three encounters.

Main prediction Caldas - Braga

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

9 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.55

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Caldas vs Braga – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Tuesday’s Portuguese Cup contest⁠ between Caldas and Braga.

? What⁠ is Braga's average number⁠ of corners in their last five competitive matches?

4.00

? What is Caldas’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their last five cup games?

1.84