Burnley vs Liverpool prediction 14.09.2025 | Premier League

Burnley

0 - 1

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 0

Full time: 0 - 1

Kick off: 13:00 (GMT)

Date: September 14

Liverpool

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Contents

Competition: Premier League
Date: Sunday, 14th September, 2025
Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
Venue: Turf Moor (Burnley)

After about a two-week break for international games, the English Premier League is set for a restart. In the fourth round, the newly promoted Burnley will welcome the reigning champs, Liverpool, at Turf Moor in Burnley.

Burnley vs Liverpool Head to Head (H2H) stats

10 feb 24

Liverpool

3 : 1

Burnley

Premier League
26 dec 23

Burnley

0 : 2

Liverpool

Premier League
13 feb 22

Burnley

0 : 1

Liverpool

Premier League
21 aug 21

Liverpool

2 : 0

Burnley

Premier League
19 may 21

Burnley

0 : 3

Liverpool

Premier League
21 jan 21

Liverpool

0 : 1

Burnley

Premier League

Liverpool are currently on a five-game winning streak in the recent h2h games, while covering the -1.5 AH spread on four occasions. Looking further back, the Reds won nine out of the last 11 matches, while Burnley won once.

Regarding the number of goals, five of the last ten went over 2.5 goals, and only three over 3.5 goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored on four out of the previous ten.

Burnley team overview

Burnley went between the Premier League and the Championship in the last few seasons. Last year, they secured promotion and are looking only to survive this season. However, the bookies do not trust in the popular Clarets as they offer odds of around 1.3 to 1.35 to get relegated. This year, Burnley won three points in the first three rounds and are in 14th place.

After a 3:2 loss against Manchester United, coach Scott Parker spoke to the media. He had mixed emotions, as he was disappointed with the result, but also proud of the team's effort. The coach was also gutted because a last-minute VAR decision cost them the point.

Last matches of Burnley

30 aug 25

Manchester United

3 : 2

Burnley

Premier League
26 aug 25

Burnley

2 : 1

Derby County

Carabao Cup
23 aug 25

Burnley

2 : 0

Sunderland

Premier League
16 aug 25

Tottenham Hotspur

3 : 0

Burnley

Premier League
26 apr 25

Queens Park Rangers

0 : 5

Burnley

Championship

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

1

Martin Dubravka

Defenders

2

Kyle Walker
18

Hjalmar Ekdal
5

Maxime Esteve
3

Quilindschy Hartman

Midfielders

24

Josh Cullen
28

Hannibal
8

Lesley Ugochukwu

Forwards

7

Jacob Bruun Larsen
9

Lyle Foster
11

Jaidon Anthony

Liverpool team overview

Liverpool managed to win the title last year in their first season under coach Arne Slot. That is something Jurgen Klopp did just once in nine seasons! During the offseason, the Reds have gotten better. Despite losing the Community Shield, when it mattered the most, in the PL, they started playing great. The Reds won all three league games and are the only team in the PL with a 100% win rate thus far.

During the international, the Reds acquired Isak Alexander for 145 million euros. With that addition, they are looking absolutely fantastic and we expect a lot from them.

After a 1:0 win over Arsenal, coach Arne Slot spoke to the media. He was happy with a win, but said they weren't perfect and will look to limit mistakes in the upcoming games. The coach also praised Dominik Szoboszlai, whom he moved to a right full-back position, saying he understands what a Liverpool player should look like.

Last matches of Liverpool

31 aug 25

Liverpool

1 : 0

Arsenal

Premier League
25 aug 25

Newcastle United

2 : 3

Liverpool

Premier League
15 aug 25

Liverpool

4 : 2

AFC Bournemouth

Premier League
04 aug 25

Liverpool

4 : 1

Athletic Bilbao

Club Friendlies 1
30 jul 25

Yokohama F. Marinos

1 : 3

Liverpool

J. League World Challenge

Liverpool lineup

Goalkeeper

1

Alisson

Defenders

8

Dominik Szoboszlai
4

Virgil van Dijk
5

Ibrahima Konaté
6

Milos Kerkez

Midfielders

38

Ryan Gravenberch
10

Alexis Mac Allister
7

Florian Wirtz

Forwards

11

Mohamed Salah
22

Hugo Ekitiké
9

Alexander Isak

Prediction

Burnley went over 2.5 goals in three out of four games this season - 75%. Offensively, they did a pretty good job, scoring two goals per game in the last three games, and it is fair to expect they will score once against Liverpool as well.

Liverpool also played mostly high-scoring games, as we saw three or more goals in three out of four matches across the competition. The average number of goals in their games right now is 4.0! We firmly believe they are capable of scoring a couple or more goals against anyone in the league, but we are not totally sold on their defense, at least for now. Yes, they had a clean sheet vs Arsenal in the last match, but allowed two goals per game in the previous three games.

In the previous h2h game, Liverpool won 3:1, and we could easily see a similar result this time. Considering all the above, we firmly believe an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Premier League tie.

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

Both teams went over 2.5 goals in three out of four games this season
Burnley scored two goals per game in the first two home games
Liverpool scored ten goals in the first four games - 2.5 per game
The last h2h game ended as a 3:1 win for the Reds

Main prediction Burnley - Liverpool

Over 2.5 goals

Nikola Lalic

By Nikola Lalic

Updated 12.09.2025

54% winrate

8 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Burnley vs Liverpool standings in Premier League

	Regular Season	P	W	D	L	G - A	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	31	21	7	3	61 - 22	+39	70
2	Manchester City	30	18	7	5	60 - 28	+32	61
3	Manchester United	31	15	10	6	56 - 43	+13	55
4	Aston Villa	31	16	6	9	42 - 37	+5	54
5	Liverpool	31	14	7	10	50 - 42	+8	49
6	Chelsea	31	13	9	9	53 - 38	+15	48
7	Brentford	31	13	7	11	46 - 42	+4	46
8	Everton	31	13	7	11	37 - 35	+2	46
9	Fulham	31	13	5	13	43 - 44	-1	44
10	Brighton & Hove Albion	31	11	10	10	41 - 37	+4	43
11	Sunderland	31	11	10	10	32 - 36	-4	43
12	Newcastle United	31	12	6	13	44 - 45	-1	42
13	AFC Bournemouth	31	9	15	7	46 - 48	-2	42
14	Crystal Palace	30	10	9	11	33 - 35	-2	39
15	Leeds United	31	7	12	12	37 - 48	-11	33
16	Nottingham Forest	31	8	8	15	31 - 43	-12	32
17	Tottenham Hotspur	31	7	9	15	40 - 50	-10	30
18	West Ham United	31	7	8	16	36 - 57	-21	29
19	Burnley	31	4	8	19	33 - 61	-28	20
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers	31	3	8	20	24 - 54	-30	17