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Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction 03.12.2025 | Premier League

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1

4.80

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1.74

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 3rd December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

On Wednesday, Burnley host Crystal Palace at Turf Moor in what could be a crucial mid-season test for both sides. For Burnley, this represents a key opportunity to arrest a run of poor form and begin climbing out of the relegation zone. For Crystal Palace, it is a chance to get back to winning ways after a disappointing 2-1 loss to Manchester United over the weekend.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Crystal Palace

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    3 : 3

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  5. Crystal Palace

    0 : 3

    Burnley

    Premier League

  6. Burnley

    1 : 0

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

Historically, the rivalry between Burnley and Crystal Palace has been fairly balanced. In more recent years, however, Palace have held the upper hand, avoiding defeat in the last four meetings with Burnley, winning two and drawing two. The last time Burnley came away with a victory in this fixture was back in 2021.

Burnley team overview

Burnley have endured a difficult run of form in recent weeks. Their latest Premier League outings include defeats to Brentford (13), Chelsea (0-2), West Ham (2-3 away), and Arsenal (0-2). Their only recent competitive victory came away at Wolves (3-2), showing that they are still capable of producing moments of attacking spark. At home, however, their vulnerability has been even more apparent: only 25% of their home matches this season have resulted in a clean sheet. That makes Turf Moor a potentially risky venue for Burnley, particularly against a Palace side capable of capitalising on defensive lapses. Despite these issues, Burnley have at least managed to limit the overall damage - each of their six Premier League home fixtures this season has finished with under 2.5 total goals.

Last matches of

  1. Brentford

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. West Ham United

    3 : 2

    Burnley

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    2 : 3

    Burnley

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Martin Dúbravka

Defenders

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 6

    Axel Tuanzebe

  • 5

    Maxime Estève

  • 3

    Quilindschy Hartman

Midfielders

  • 16

    Florentino Luís

  • 24

    Josh Cullen

  • 28

    Hannibal Mejbri

  • 17

    Loum Tchaouna

  • 9

    Lyle Foster

Forwards

  • 19

    Zian Flemming

Crystal Palace team overview

Crystal Palace approach this fixture in stronger form. Across their last six matches in all competitions, they have recorded four wins, one draw, and just one defeat. In the Premier League, Oliver Glasner’s side were on a three-game unbeaten run prior to their 2-1 home loss to Manchester United at the weekend, despite taking the lead before half-time. Notably, that defeat was their first home loss of the league campaign, ending a six-match unbeaten streak at Selhurst Park. Their away form, while not flawless, has been relatively steady as well, with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six away games.

Last matches of

  1. Crystal Palace

    1 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  2. Strasbourg

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Europa Conference League

  3. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 2

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  4. Crystal Palace

    0 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  5. Crystal Palace

    3 : 1

    AZ Alkmaar

    Europa Conference League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dean Henderson

Defenders

  • 26

    Chris Richards

  • 5

    Maxence Lacroix

  • 6

    Marc Guéhi

  • 2

    Daniel Muñoz

  • 3

    Tyrick Mitchell

Midfielders

  • 18

    Daichi Kamada

  • 20

    Adam Wharton

  • 10

    Yéremy Pino

  • 7

    Ismaïla Sarr

Forwards

  • 14

    Jean-Philippe Mateta

Prediction

Given the statistical trends and the contrasting forms - Burnley losing four in a row - Palace travelling with momentum - this fixture looks like it will be competitive but leans in favour towards the visitors. Burnley’s leaky defence - 27 goals conceded in 13 league fixtures - is a major issue, but they do manage to limit the opposition’s chances at Turf Moor to some extent, as none of their first six league home matches have produced over 2.5 total goals.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Total.

Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals Total

  1. Under 2.5 goals have landed in six out of six Burnley’s home league fixtures.
  2. Under 2.5 goals have occurred in Crystal Palace’s back-to-back away league matches.
  3. There have been under 2.5 goals in two of the last three h2h meetings between Burnley and Crystal Palace.

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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vs standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 9 3 1 25 - 7 +18 30
2 Manchester City 13 8 1 4 27 - 12 +15 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 3 3 24 - 12 +12 24
4 Aston Villa 13 7 3 3 16 - 11 +5 24
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 13 6 4 3 21 - 16 +5 22
6 Sunderland 13 6 4 3 17 - 13 +4 22
7 Manchester United 13 6 3 4 21 - 20 +1 21
8 Liverpool 13 7 0 6 20 - 20 0 21
9 Crystal Palace 13 5 5 3 17 - 11 +6 20
10 Brentford 13 6 1 6 21 - 20 +1 19
11 AFC Bournemouth 13 5 4 4 21 - 23 -2 19
12 Tottenham Hotspur 13 5 3 5 21 - 16 +5 18
13 Newcastle United 13 5 3 5 17 - 16 +1 18
14 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 - 17 -3 18
15 Fulham 13 5 2 6 15 - 17 -2 17
16 Nottingham Forest 13 3 3 7 13 - 22 -9 12
17 West Ham United 13 3 2 8 15 - 27 -12 11
18 Leeds United 13 3 2 8 13 - 25 -12 11
19 Burnley 13 3 1 9 15 - 27 -12 10
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 13 0 2 11 7 - 28 -21 2

Burnley vs Crystal Palace – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Burnley take on Crystal Palace on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Burnley have won in the Premier League season 2025/26?

2.8

? What is the average number of corners Crystal Palace have won in the Premier League season 2025/26?

3.8