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Bulgaria vs Turkey prediction 11.10.2025 | World Cup qualifications

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

Kick off:

Date:

Turkey

Turkey

1

11.00

X

5.40

2

1.27

  • Competition: World Cup qualifications
  • Date: Saturday, 11th October 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

On Saturday night at National Stadium Vasil Levski in Sofia, Bulgaria will welcome Turkey in another intriguing World Cup qualification match. Both sides still have chances to find themself in the tournament that will be played in the USA, Canada, and Mexico, but realistically, Turkey are in a much better position. Can Bulgaria win on Saturday and make things much more complicated in the group? Let's break down the matchup and find out the best betting option.

Bulgaria vs Turkey Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Turkey

    4 : 0

    Bulgaria

    Friendly International

  2. Bulgaria

    0 : 2

    Turkey

    Friendly International

Bulgaria and Turkey have had three H2H matches so far, and Turkey have two victories, while Bulgaria has won once. Another interesting fact about games between these two teams is that two of the three games had three or more goals. 

Bulgaria

Bulgaria team overview

Bulgaria's glorious football days are long gone, as the last major tournament they participated in was the EURO in 2004, while the previous World Cup Bulgaria played was in 1998. The team that once had Hristo Stoichkov is now probably the worst in the current qualification group, and it would be a miracle if they find a way to the second position and the playoffs. Bulgaria lost five of the last six matches. In the previous game, they lost 3-0 on the road against Georgia. The home side ended the match with xG of 2.47, while the guests had only 0.33, so it is not a wonder that Bulgaria suffered another heavy defeat. 

Bulgaria suffered two terrible defeats in September, so the football association sacked the head coach, Ilian Iliev. At his place came Aleksandar Dimitrov. The new head coach has already made some changes, as Petko Hristov, Ivan Turitsov, Kiril Despodov, and Dimitar Velkovski returned to the squad. 

Bulgaria have huge problems in defense as they allowed ten goals in the last three matches. Fixing the defense will be the top priority for the new head coach, Aleksandar Dimitrov. 

Last matches of Bulgaria

  1. Georgia

    3 : 0

    Bulgaria

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Bulgaria

    0 : 3

    Spain

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Greece

    4 : 0

    Bulgaria

    Friendly International

  4. Bulgaria

    2 : 2

    Cyprus

    Friendly International

  5. Republic of Ireland

    2 : 1

    Bulgaria

    UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Svetoslav Vutsov

Defenders

  • 3

    Viktor Popov

  • 15

    Petko Hristov

  • 2

    Rosen Bozhinov

  • 17

    Dimitar Velkovski

Midfielders

  • 4

    Ilia Gruev

  • 16

    Marin Petkov

  • 18

    Ivaylo Chochev

Forwards

  • 11

    Kiril Despodov

  • 19

    Martin Minchev

  • 10

    Ravoslav Kirov

Turkey

Turkey team overview

Turkey have only two appearances at the World Cup tournaments. However, the team became pretty regular at the EUROs, and Turkey are obviously improving. Vincenzo Montella's team opened the current qualifications with a 3-2 victory in Georgia, but after that, Turkey lost 6-0 at home against Spain. Three points from the opening two matches is probably a good result, but Montella's team certainly didn't expect a heavy beating in the second round. With that defeat, it is obvious that Turkey will likely aim for second position in the group and the playoffs. 

Turkey's head coach, Vincenzo Montella, was very clear that his team will have two very important matches in October. He also said that Turkey's goal is to finish second on the table. 

Baris Yilmaz is suspended and will not play on Saturday night in Sofia. 

Last matches of Turkey

  1. Turkey

    0 : 6

    Spain

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Georgia

    2 : 3

    Turkey

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Mexico

    1 : 0

    Turkey

    Friendly International

  4. Hungary

    0 : 3

    Turkey

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Turkey

    3 : 1

    Hungary

    UEFA Nations League

Turkey lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Ugurcan Cakir

Defenders

  • 2

    Zeki Celik

  • 14

    Abdulkerim Bardakci

  • 4

    Caglar Soyuncu

  • 20

    Ferdi Kadioglu

Midfielders

  • 10

    Hakan Calhanoglu

  • 8

    Arda Guler

  • 16

    Ismail Yuksek

Forwards

  • 21

    Yunus Akgun

  • 9

    Deniz Gul

  • 11

    Kenan Yildiz

Prediction

Bulgaria have terrible defense lately as they allowed ten goals in the last three matches. Also, every one of the previous six Bulgaria games went over 2.5 goals. On the other hand, six of the last seven Turkey matches had at least three goals. We should expect another high-scoring game on Saturday night when he teams meet in Sofia. Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

4 Reasons why we should expect three or more goals in this match

  1. Bulgaria allowed ten goals in the last three matches
  2. There were three or more goals in each of the previous six Bulgaria games
  3. There were three or more goals in six of the last seven Turkey matches
  4. Bulgaria and Turkey went over 2.5 goals in two of the previous three games

Main prediction Bulgaria - Turkey

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.7

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Bulgaria vs Turkey standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group E P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Spain 2 2 0 0 9 - 0 +9 6
2 Turkey 2 1 0 1 3 - 8 -5 3
3 Georgia 2 1 0 1 5 - 3 +2 3
4 Bulgaria 2 0 0 2 0 - 6 -6 0

Bulgaria vs Turkey – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bulgaria?

The average xG for Bulgaria in the World Cup qualifications this season is 0.50.

? How much is the average xG for Turkey?

The average xG for Turkey in the World Cup qualifications this season is 0.97.