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Brest vs Marseille prediction 20.02.2026 | Ligue 1

Brest

Brest

Kick off:

Date:

Marseille

Marseille

1

3.98

X

3.84

2

1.98

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Friday, 20th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

The Ligue 1 teams are back in action. The first game of the 21st round, and the only one on Friday's schedule, will see Brest host Marseille. The hosts are currently on a three-game unbeaten run, while Marseille have won only one point in the past two games. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Brest vs Marseille Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Marseille

    3 : 0

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    4 : 1

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  3. Brest

    1 : 5

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Brest

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    2 : 0

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  6. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Brest

    Ligue 1

In the first h2h game this season, Marseille won 3:0 at Stade Vélodrome in Marseille. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Brest won three games, and Marseille won six. 

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (seven). 

Brest

Brest team overview

With the exception of the 2023/24 season, when they finished 3rd, Brest have consistently been in the lower part of the league table in the previous few years. This year, the Pirates are doing an OK job and are a comfortable ten points away from the danger zone as they sit in 12th place with 27 points. Still, moving up to the European spots seems very unlikely, especially given their poor road record. There, they average only 0.82, compared to 1.64 ppg at home. 

After a 1:1 draw with Lille, coach Éric Roy spoke to the media. He said it was a good point, but noted they suffered a lot in the first period. The coach added that they did better in the second half, praising the players' reaction, but also said they should have done better in transition. 

Last matches of Brest

  1. Lille

    1 : 1

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  2. Brest

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  3. OGC Nice

    2 : 2

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  4. Brest

    0 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    2 : 1

    Brest

    Ligue 1

Brest lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Grégoire Coudert

Defenders

  • 77

    Kenny Lala

  • 4

    Junior Diaz

  • 5

    Brendan Chardonnet

  • 27

    Daouda Guindo

Midfielders

  • 8

    Hugo Magnetti

  • 13

    Joris Chotard

  • 7

    Junior Dina Ebimbe

Forwards

  • 10

    Romain Del Castillo

  • 19

    Ludovic Ajorque

  • 14

    Rémy Labeau Lascary

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille are having a very bad season by their standards. The Olympians have suffered elimination from the Champions League and are sitting in 4th place in Ligue 1 with only 40 points from 22 rounds. Due to CL elimination and a heavy defeat to PSG on February 8th, the club decided to let go of coach Roberto De Zerbi. In the weeks leading up to his dismissal, De Zerbi had already offered his resignation due to the poor run of results, but was initially rejected by the board. However, the situation became unfixable, and Marseille moved to appoint Jacques Abardonado as caretaker manager.

In the first game under coach Jacques Abardonado, Marseille drew 2:2 with Strasbourg. After the game, the coach said they keep making the same mistakes, allowing goals after leading comfortably. The coach admitted they are struggling a lot, and giving up late goals definitely isn't helping.

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Marseille

    2 : 2

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  2. PSG

    5 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    3 : 0

    Rennes

    Coupe de France

  4. Paris FC

    2 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Club Brugge

    3 : 0

    Marseille

    Champions League

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gerónimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 21

    Nayef Aguerd

  • 33

    Emerson

Midfielders

  • 27

    Quinten Timber

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

  • 26

    Bilal Nadir

Forwards

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

  • 9

    Amine Gouiri

  • 17

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Prediction

Brest are in solid form, having two draws and a win in the past three games. They have also been superb lately at home, winning four of the past five games. Throughout the season, the Pirates lost only three of 11 home matches - 27%. 

On the other hand, Marseille won just once in the past five games. Also, on the road, they have had massive problems defensively, allowing two goals per game in four consecutive games!

Moreover, Marseille just changed coaches, but their defensive problems persisted, as they conceded two goals at home to Strasbourg. So, we doubt we will see a drastic improvement any time soon. 

Considering all the above, we believe the hosts are capable of making this game close and winning at least one point at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Brest.

4 Reasons why we should see Brest win or draw

  1. Brest are undefeated in the last three games
  2. Brest have won four of the past five home games
  3. Marseille failed to win in the past three road matches
  4. Marseille allowed two or more goals in four of the past five games

Main prediction Brest - Marseille

Brest win or draw (1X)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.92

Bet here

Brest vs Marseille standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Lens 22 17 1 4 42 - 17 +25 52
2 Paris Saint Germain 22 16 3 3 49 - 19 +30 51
3 Olympique Lyonnais 22 14 3 5 36 - 20 +16 45
4 Olympique Marseille 22 12 4 6 48 - 29 +19 40
5 LOSC Lille 22 10 4 8 35 - 31 +4 34
6 Rennes 22 9 7 6 34 - 35 -1 34
7 Strasbourg 22 9 4 9 36 - 29 +7 31
8 Monaco 22 9 4 9 35 - 34 +1 31
9 Lorient 22 8 7 7 29 - 33 -4 31
10 Toulouse 22 8 6 8 32 - 26 +6 30
11 Angers SCO 22 8 5 9 22 - 27 -5 29
12 Brest 22 7 6 9 29 - 34 -5 27
13 Le Havre 22 6 8 8 20 - 27 -7 26
14 Nice 22 6 5 11 27 - 40 -13 23
15 Paris 22 5 7 10 26 - 39 -13 22
16 Auxerre 22 4 5 13 17 - 30 -13 17
17 Nantes 22 3 5 14 20 - 40 -20 14
18 Metz 22 3 4 15 22 - 49 -27 13

Brest vs Marseille – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Brest this season?

The average xG for Brest in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.31.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.64.