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Bologna vs AS Roma prediction 12.03.2026 | Europa League

Bologna

Bologna

Kick off:

Date:

AS Roma

AS Roma

1

3.21

X

3.18

2

2.57

  • Competition: Europa League, 1/8 Finals, 1st Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 12th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

The Europa League 1/8 Finals are about to begin. One of the more interesting duels should be between two Serie A sides, Bologna and AS Roma. Both teams are coming into the match having lost their last league game 2:1 - Bologna against Verona, and AS Roma against Genoa. 

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Europa League tie.

Bologna vs AS Roma Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AS Roma

    1 : 0

    Bologna

    Serie A

  2. Bologna

    2 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    2 : 3

    Bologna

    Serie A

  4. AS Roma

    1 : 3

    Bologna

    Serie A

  5. Bologna

    2 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  6. Bologna

    0 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

These teams met once this season at Stadio Olimpico, with AS Roma deservedly winning 1:0. However, before that win, Bologna had much more success. In the five H2H games before that last match, Bologna secured three wins, while the other two ended in draws.

When it comes to the number of goals, three of the past six games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (three). 

Bologna

Bologna team overview

Bologna were on a really good five-game winning streak, but stopped it with an unexpected 2:1 loss to Hellas Verona. That loss affected their hopes of European Qualifiers next season as they are now 11 points away from the desired 6th place and seven away from 7th. Given they were eliminated from Coppa Italia by Lazio in mid-February, maybe their best chance to secure Europe next season is by winning the Europa League. Still, the bookies aren't too convinced of their chances, considering them only the eighth-favorite for the title with the odds between 13 and 19. 

After a 2:1 loss against Hellas Verona, coach Vincenzo Italiano spoke to the media. He was very frustrated with a loss, saying they created many chances but failed to score. The coach pointed out that they could have scored multiple goals but missed them, and then eventually were punished on counterattacks. 

For the upcoming match, the team could be without Martin Vitik, who suffered an injury in the previous game against Verona. Additionally, Juan Miranda and Torbjørn Heggem should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Bologna

  1. Bologna

    1 : 2

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

  2. Pisa

    0 : 1

    Bologna

    Serie A

  3. Bologna

    1 : 0

    Brann

    Europa League

  4. Bologna

    1 : 0

    Udinese

    Serie A

  5. Brann

    0 : 1

    Bologna

    Europa League

Bologna lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukasz Skorupski

Defenders

  • 20

    Nadir Zortea

  • 26

    Jhon Lucumí

  • 16

    Nicolò Casale

  • 22

    Charalampos Lykogiannis

Midfielders

  • 6

    Nikola Moro

  • 21

    Jens Odgaard

  • 19

    Lewis Ferguson

Forwards

  • 7

    Riccardo Orsolini

  • 9

    Santiago Castro

  • 11

    Jonathan Rowe

AS Roma

AS Roma team overview

AS Roma also took a hit to their European plans for next season, losing 2:1 to Genoa, led by former Roma legend Daniele De Rossi. The Wolves are pushed to fifth place but are still on level with points with 4th-placed Como. However, their form is worrisome, having won just two of the past eight games and just two of the past six Serie A matches. They also had problems on the road recently, and it will be interesting to see if they can secure a positive result against Bologna in the first leg. 

After a 2:1 loss to Genoa, coach Gian Piero Gasperini spoke to the media. He said they approached the game well and was generally pleased with the performance, despite losing the match. When asked about dropping from the top four, the coach responded: "Anyone who's worried stays home… here we are the protagonists."

Central defender Gianluca Mancini received a red card in the previous Europa League game and will serve his suspension against Bologna. The Wolves will also have massive problems with injuries, especially up front, as they could miss up to four players - Matias Soule, Paulo Dybala, Evan Ferguson, and Artem Dovbyk, along with another central defender, Mario Hermoso. 

Last matches of AS Roma

  1. Genoa

    2 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  2. AS Roma

    3 : 3

    Juventus

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    3 : 0

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    2 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. AS Roma

    2 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

AS Roma lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Mile Svilar

Defenders

  • 19

    Zeki Çelik

  • 5

    Evan Ndicka

  • 24

    Jan Ziolkowski

Midfielders

  • 43

    Wesley

  • 17

    Manu Koné

  • 4

    Bryan Cristante

  • 7

    Lorenzo Pellegrini

  • 12

    Konstantinos Tsimikas

Forwards

  • 14

    Donyell Malen

  • 97

    Bryan Zaragoza

Prediction

Bologna managed to score in seven consecutive games, and it is fair to expect they would score against AS Roma, which allowed five goals in the past two games and haven't had a clean sheet in the past four road games. 

Meanwhile, AS Roma have scored at least one goal in 12 of the past 13 games across competitions - 92%. On the other hand, defensively, they had some problems, keeping their net intact in only two of the past eight games. Moreover, those clean sheets came against mediocre teams - Cremonese and Cagliari. 

Also, in the Europa League, Bologna scored at least one goal in eight of ten games (80%), while AS Roma scored a goal in seven out of eight EL games (87.5%). 

Considering all the above, we believe both teams should score at least once in this Europa League tie.

5 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Bologna scored in the past seven games
  2. Bologna scored at least one goal in eight out of ten EL games
  3. AS Roma scored a goal in 12 of the past 13 games
  4. AS Roma scored in seven out of eight EL matches
  5. Both teams scored in three of the past four H2H games

Main prediction Bologna - AS Roma

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.95

Bet here

Bologna vs AS Roma standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 7 0 1 18 - 5 +13 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14 - 6 +8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18 - 8 +10 19
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
5 Porto 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
6 Sporting Braga 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10 - 4 +6 17
8 Roma 8 5 1 2 13 - 6 +7 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11 - 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14 - 7 +7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15 - 9 +6 15
12 Ferencvárosi 8 4 3 1 12 - 11 +1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 15 - 7 +8 14
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8 3 5 0 8 - 3 +5 14
15 Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 7 - 6 +1 14
16 Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 15 - 11 +4 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17 - 14 +3 12
18 LOSC Lille 8 4 0 4 12 - 9 +3 12
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 10 - 7 +3 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11 - 9 +2 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13 - 15 -2 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12 - 15 -3 10
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12 - 16 -4 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9 - 11 -2 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10 - 16 -6 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5 - 11 -6 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9 - 16 -7 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 6 - 14 -8 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11 - 15 -4 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9 - 13 -4 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10 - 15 -5 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5 - 14 -9 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7 - 15 -8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5 - 15 -10 1
35 Malmö FF 8 0 1 7 4 - 15 -11 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2 - 22 -20 1

Bologna vs AS Roma – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bologna this season?

The average xG for Bologna in the Europa League this season is 2.18.

? How much is the average xG for AS Roma this season?

The average xG for AS Roma in the Europa League this season is 1.63.