Benfica vs Qarabag prediction 16.09.2025 | Champions League

Benfica

Benfica

Kick off:

Date:

Qarabag FK

Qarabag FK

1

1.23

X

6.58

2

12.63

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Tuesday, 16th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

The Champions League is finally here. In one of the ties on Tuesday, Benfica will welcome Qarabag in Lisbon. The Portuguese giants boast a far richer European history than their Azerbaijani visitors, but Qarabag arrive with clear ambitions of reaching the playoff stage. Can Benfica start the most elite European competition with three points? Let's break down the matchup and find the best betting option.

Benfica

Benfica team overview

Last season, Benfica again failed to win the championship title in Portugal, but they found their way to the Champions League through qualifications. Benfica already won their first trophy of the season, the national super cup, which they won after beating Sporting CP (1-0). That victory was followed by eight more games in which Benfica didn't lose. However, the last few matches weren't that impressive. One of the games is surely their previous outing when Bruno Lage's team played 1-1 at home against Santa Clara. The guests played with ten players more than one half, but Benfica still allowed Santa Clara to take home one point.

Benfica failed to beat Santa Clara, but the head coach, Bruno Lage, already after that game, talked about the importance of the clash at the start of the Champions League. He said, "Now it's time to bounce back, we have a game on Tuesday to win at home. I appeal to our fans: keep supporting us. Thank you for your support today, and be here on Tuesday because we need to have a good Champions League and start with a win."

Benfica have some missing players ahead of the game against Qarabag. They will be without Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu, while Dodi Lukebakio and Amar Dedic are questionable.

Last matches of Benfica

  1. Benfica

    1 : 1

    Santa Clara

    Liga Portugal

  2. Alverca

    1 : 2

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  3. Benfica

    1 : 0

    Fenerbahce

    Champions League

  4. Benfica

    3 : 0

    Tondela

    Liga Portugal

  5. Fenerbahce

    0 : 0

    Benfica

    Champions League

Benfica lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 44

    Tomas Araujo

  • 30

    Nicolas Otamendi

  • 4

    Antonio Silva

  • 26

    Samuel Dahl

Midfielders

  • 8

    Fredrik Aursnes

  • 20

    Richard Rios

  • 5

    Enzo Barrenechea

  • 21

    Andreas Schjelderup

Forwards

  • 14

    Vangelis Pavlidis

  • 9

    Franjo Ivanovic

Qarabag FK

Qarabag team overview

Although Qarabag became regular in the European competitions, this year they qualified for the Champions League main phase for the second time in their history. Although most pundits consider Qarabag as one of the weakest teams in the competition this season, they hope to finish among the best 24 teams and progress to the next phase. However, Qurban Qurbanov's team haven't impressed lately as they have won only one of the last four matches. In the previous game, Qarabag played 1-1 at home against Zira. Qurbanov's team will have to do much better to get anything on Tuesday night in Lisbon. 

Qarabag have some problems with injuries, too. Aleksey Isayev, Jonathan Montiel, Amin Ramazanov, and Amin Rzayev are unavailable for Tuesday's game. 

Last matches of Qarabag FK

  1. Qarabag FK

    1 : 1

    Zira

    Premier League

  2. Karvan

    0 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Premier League

  3. Qarabag FK

    2 : 3

    Ferencvarosi TC

    Champions League

  4. Qarabag FK

    0 : 1

    Sumqayıt

    Premier League

  5. Ferencvarosi TC

    1 : 3

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

Qarabag FK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Mateusz Kochalski

Defenders

  • 2

    Matheus Silva

  • 3

    Samy Mmaee

  • 81

    Kevin Medina

  • 27

    Toral Bayramov

Midfielders

  • 8

    Marko Jankovic

  • 20

    Kady Borges

  • 35

    Pedro Bicalho

Forwards

  • 15

    Leandro Andrade

  • 17

    Camilo Duran

  • 10

    Abdellah Zoubir

Prediction

Benfica is surely a much better team than Qarabag. However, there are some doubts about their offensive form. The main force for the Portuguese giant is their defense, as they have allowed only two goals in nine matches this season. On the other hand, Qarabag scored only five goals in the previous four games. With Benfica's excellent defense, but struggling in offense, and Qarabag's problems in the attack, we shouldn't expect more than three goals in the upcoming tie at Estadio da Luz. Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than three goals in this match

  1. Benfica allowed only two goals in nine matches this season
  2. There were three or fewer goals in each of the previous nine Benfica games
  3. Qarabag scored only five goals in the last four matches
  4. There were three or fewer goals in three of the previous four Qarabag games

Main prediction Benfica - Qarabag FK

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.63

Bet here

Benfica vs Qarabag FK standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Manchester City 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Real Madrid 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 FC Bayern München 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Liverpool 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 Paris Saint Germain 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
6 Chelsea 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
7 Inter 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
9 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
10 FC Barcelona 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
11 Atlético Madrid 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
12 Benfica 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
13 Villarreal 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
14 Arsenal 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
15 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
16 Juventus 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
17 Club Brugge 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
18 PSV 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
19 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
20 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
21 Napoli 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
22 Sporting CP 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
23 Slavia Praha 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
24 Tottenham Hotspur 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
25 Olympique Marseille 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
26 Olympiacos F.C. 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
27 FC København 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
28 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
29 Bodø / Glimt 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
30 Galatasaray 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
31 Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
32 Qarabağ 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
33 Newcastle United 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
34 Athletic Club 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
35 Paphos 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
36 Kairat 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

Benfica vs Qarabag – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Benfica this season?

The average xG for Benfica in Liga Portugal this season is 1.86.

? How much is the average xG for Qarabag this season?

The average xG for Qarabag in the Azerbaijan national league is 1.76.