Bahia vs Fortaleza prediction 20.11.2025 | Brazil Serie A
Kick off:
Date:
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1.51
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4.35
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5.90
Contents
- Competition: Brazil Serie A
- Date: 20th November, 2025
- Kickoff: 21:00 UK / 22:00 CET
- Venue: Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia return to Arena Fonte Nova on Thursday aiming to close out the Brasileirão on a high when they host Fortaleza. The hosts sit comfortably in the top six and have legitimate continental ambitions, while Fortaleza arrive deep in a relegation dogfight and urgently need points to climb out of the danger zone, currently sitting five points below 16th-placed Santos. The contrast in league positions frames this as a clash between a team fighting to preserve its place in the Copa Libertadores qualification zone and one battling for survival.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Bahia
2 : 1
Fortaleza
Copa do Nordeste
-
Fortaleza
4 : 1
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
1 : 0
Fortaleza
Serie A
-
Bahia
2 : 0
Fortaleza
Serie A
-
Fortaleza
0 : 0
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
0 : 3
Fortaleza
Copa do Nordeste
Recent meetings between these sides have been competitive: across their historical meetings Bahia have a narrow advantage (roughly nine wins to Fortaleza’s eight with a number of draws), and direct matches often produce goals (over 2.5 goals in 10 out of the last 16 matches).
Bahia team overview
Under Rogério Ceni, Bahia have been one of the league’s more consistent sides this season. Their record of 15 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses reflects steady progress, and they average roughly 1.5 goals scored per game. Recent form has been mixed - two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five - but they remain strong enough at home to be considered favourites, having won five consecutive matches at the Arena Fonte Nova. Their home form has been exceptional overall: they have suffered only one defeat there since March 30, winning an impressive 12 league matches in that period.
Bahia have also recorded four clean sheets in their last five home fixtures while maintaining a healthy goals-per-game output. Key attacking contributors such as Willian José (10 league goals) have been central to their top-half push, and strong squad depth has helped them navigate fixture congestion following a deep run in regional competition.
Last matches of
-
SC Internacional
2 : 2
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
2 : 1
Red Bull Bragantino
Serie A
-
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Bahia
Serie A
-
Vitória
2 : 1
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
1 : 0
Flamengo
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
96
Ronaldo
Defenders
-
13
Santiago Arias
-
33
David Duarte
-
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
-
46
Luciano Juba
Midfielders
-
14
Erick
-
6
Jean Lucas
-
19
Caio Alexandre
Forwards
-
16
Erick Pulga
-
7
Ademir
-
12
Willian José
Fortaleza team overview
Fortaleza’s season has been poor by their usual standards. Their league record of 7 wins, 10 draws and 16 losses leaves them dangerously close to the relegation zone, and their away form has been especially weak, with just one win in 16 matches on the road. Defensively, they have conceded frequently - averaging 1.8 goals per game in away fixtures - while their attacking efficiency has also been a concern. Despite generating an away xG of 1.18 per match, they score only 0.88 goals on average.
Even so, Fortaleza remain capable of finding the net, having scored in three consecutive away league games, but their overall away fragility continues to undermine their survival hopes.
Last matches of
-
FC Atlético Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza
Copa Fares Lopes
-
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza
Copa Fares Lopes
-
Santos FC
1 : 1
Fortaleza
Serie A
-
Fortaleza
0 : 0
Quixadá
Copa Fares Lopes
-
Cruzeiro
1 : 0
Fortaleza
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Brenno
Defenders
-
14
Eros Mancuso
-
33
Emanuel Brítez
-
3
Gastón Ávila
-
6
Bruno Pacheco
Midfielders
-
30
Pierre
-
7
Tomás Pochettino
-
91
Lucas Crispim
Forwards
-
80
José Herrera
-
26
Breno Lopes
-
18
Deyverson
Prediction
Form, squad availability and home advantage all tip this tie in Bahia’s favor. Expect a controlled Bahia performance considering their nearly impeccable home record in the last half-a-year, while Fortaleza will likely seek transitions and set pieces to exploit any counter chances. Bahia are most likely to take the three points, but Fortaleza are still capable of scoring given the season’s porous defenses on both sides.
Prediction: Bahia to Win.
Three reasons we expect Bahia to Win
- Bahia are on a five-game winning streak at home.
- Fortaleza have recorded only one win in 16 away fixtures since the beginning of April 2025.
- Bahia have defeated Fortaleza in four consecutive home meetings since 2020.
Main prediction -
to win
Best Odds:
20Bet
1.51
vs standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 69 - 21 | +48 | 71 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 58 - 29 | +29 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46 - 22 | +24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54 - 33 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | Botafogo | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 - 30 | +17 | 55 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44 - 40 | +4 | 53 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38 - 37 | +1 | 51 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40 - 50 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37 - 36 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 | Atlético Mineiro | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37 - 39 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50 - 49 | +1 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31 - 30 | +1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 - 38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 - 43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 - 46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Santos | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 - 48 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Vitória | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 - 47 | -18 | 35 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29 - 59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34 - 51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 27 - 63 | -36 | 17 |