Bahia vs Cruzeiro prediction 16.09.2025 | Serie A

Bahia

Bahia

Kick off:

Date:

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1

2.52

X

3.08

2

3.07

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Tuesday, 16th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 00:00 UK / 01:00 CEST
  • Venue: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Probably the biggest game in Brazil in the next couple of days will be played at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador, where Bahia will welcome Cruzeiro. Both teams are playing great this season, and the upcoming clash could help both sides to achieve their goals. Bookies see Bahia as the slight favorite, but Cruzeiro is not without chances. Let's break down the matchup and find the best betting option for this tie. 

Bahia vs Cruzeiro Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Cruzeiro

    3 : 0

    Bahia

    Serie A

  2. Cruzeiro

    1 : 1

    Bahia

    Serie A

  3. Bahia

    4 : 1

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  4. Cruzeiro

    3 : 0

    Bahia

    Serie A

  5. Bahia

    2 : 2

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

  6. Cruzeiro

    1 : 0

    Bahia

    Serie B

Cruzeiro are better than Bahia in the previous six H2H matches, as they won half of them. On the other hand, Bahia won only one, while two games ended as draws. In the only H2H match this season, Cruzeiro won 3-0 at the home stadium. 

Bahia

Bahia team overview

The 2025 season could be the best Bahia season since their last Serie A title in 1988. The team from Arena Fonte Nova is not in the title contention, but they are fourth at the moment and should fight for the spot in the Copa Libertadores. Bahia played well recently as they won six of the last eight matches in all competitions. In the previous game, Bahia lost 2-0 on the road in the cup against Fluminense. The guests ended the game with an xG of only 0.08, so getting anything from the match was unrealistic. 

Just before the summer transfer window ended, Bahia added another player, Rodrigo Nestor, who came on loan from Sao Paulo. The midfielder appeared in only nine Serie A matches this season, but should have more chances under the head coach Rogerio Ceni. 

Bahia have problems with missing players. They will be without Ademir, Caio Alexandre, Erick, Kanu, Erick Pulga, Luiz Gustavo, and Ruan Pablo in the upcoming league round. 

Last matches of Bahia

  1. Bahia

    5 : 0

    AD Confiança

    Copa do Nordeste

  2. AD Confiança

    1 : 4

    Bahia

    Copa do Nordeste

  3. Mirassol

    5 : 1

    Bahia

    Serie A

  4. Bahia

    1 : 0

    Fluminense

    Copa do Brasil

  5. Bahia

    2 : 0

    Santos FC

    Serie A

Bahia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 96

    Ronaldo

Defenders

  • 2

    Gilberto

  • 33

    David Duarte

  • 21

    Santiago Ramos Mingo

  • 46

    Luciano Juba

Midfielders

  • 26

    Nicolas Acevedo

  • 10

    Everton Ribeiro

  • 6

    Lean Lucas

Forwards

  • 15

    Michel Araujo

  • 12

    Willian Jose

  • 37

    Kayky

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro team overview

Cruzeiro also have an excellent year. Cruzeiro are currently only three points behind the league leader, Flamengo. If the Fox, how Cruzeiro fans often call their club, somehow finds a way to win the title, that would be their first Serie A trophy since 2014. Cruzeiro are in outstanding form as they have won the last four games in a row. In the previous match, they won 2-0 at home in the cup against Atletico MG. 

Cruzeiro were also active late in the previous transfer window. They signed Ryan Guilherme, Kaua Moraes, and Keny Arroyo since the last Serie A round. 

Lucas Silva is suspended and will not play in Salvador against Bahia. Also, Janderson and Fagner are injured. 

Last matches of Cruzeiro

  1. Cruzeiro

    1 : 0

    Sao Paulo

    Serie A

  2. Atletico Mineiro

    0 : 2

    Cruzeiro

    Copa do Brasil

  3. Cruzeiro

    2 : 1

    SC Internacional

    Serie A

  4. CRB

    0 : 2

    Cruzeiro

    Copa do Brasil

  5. Botafogo

    0 : 2

    Cruzeiro

    Serie A

Cruzeiro lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Cassio

Defenders

  • 12

    William

  • 15

    Fabricio Bruno

  • 25

    Lucas Villalba

  • 6

    Kaiki

Midfielders

  • 29

    Lucas Romero

  • 10

    Matheus Pereira

  • 16

    Lucas Silva

Forwards

  • 88

    Christian

  • 19

    Kaio Jorge

  • 94

    Wanderson

Prediction

The upcoming game in Salvador will be between two teams who have a lot of confidence, as both sides are excellent this season. Also, both teams are scoring goals almost regularly. Bahia's last match was their first without scoring in nine games. On the other hand, Cruzeiro is in a great run of eight matches in a row, scoring at least one goal. With both sides being excellent offensively, we should expect goals on both sides in the upcoming tie. Our prediction: BTTS - Yes.

3 Reasons why we should expect goals on both sides in this match

  1. Bahia scored in eight of the last nine matches
  2. Bahia allowed eight goals in the previous four games
  3. Cruzeiro scored in every one of the last eight matches

Main prediction Bahia - Cruzeiro

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Paripesa

1.95

Bet here

Bahia vs Cruzeiro standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Flamengo 22 15 5 2 47 - 10 +37 50
2 Palmeiras 21 14 4 3 32 - 17 +15 46
3 Cruzeiro 22 13 5 4 35 - 15 +20 44
4 Mirassol 21 10 8 3 36 - 20 +16 38
5 Bahia 20 10 6 4 28 - 22 +6 36
6 Botafogo 21 10 5 6 30 - 14 +16 35
7 São Paulo 23 9 8 6 27 - 23 +4 35
8 Bragantino 23 9 4 10 28 - 33 -5 31
9 Corinthians 23 7 8 8 24 - 28 -4 29
10 Fluminense 21 8 4 9 25 - 29 -4 28
11 Ceará 22 7 6 9 21 - 22 -1 27
12 Internacional 22 7 6 9 26 - 33 -7 27
13 Atlético Mineiro 21 6 7 8 21 - 25 -4 25
14 Grêmio 22 6 7 9 20 - 27 -7 25
15 Vasco da Gama 22 6 5 11 32 - 33 -1 23
16 Santos 22 6 5 11 21 - 32 -11 23
17 Vitória 23 4 10 9 19 - 34 -15 22
18 Juventude 22 6 3 13 19 - 43 -24 21
19 Fortaleza 22 4 6 12 22 - 34 -12 18
20 Sport Recife 21 1 8 12 15 - 34 -19 11

Bahia vs Cruzeiro – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Fanatiz channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bahia this season?

The average xG for Bahia in Serie A this season is 1.42.

? How much is the average xG for Cruzeiro this season?

The average xG for Cruzeiro in Serie A this season is 1.51.