Azerbaijan vs France prediction 16.11.2025 | World Cup 2026 Qualification

Azerbaijan have endured a very difficult qualifying campaign so far. Their recent form in qualifiers is poor: over their last five matches, they have won none, drawn three, and lost four, averaging just 0.2 points per game. They are currently on a three-match losing streak, suffering consecutive defeats to France, Ukraine, and Iceland. Their expected goals (xG) per match in this campaign stands at around 0.77, while their expected goals against (xGA) is nearly 2.08, highlighting significant defensive issues. However, the most worrying statistic is their 15-match winless run across all competitions - their last victory came back in June in a 3-2 friendly win over Kazakhstan.

France enter the match in strong form, remaining unbeaten in their last 14 World Cup qualifying fixtures (10 wins, 4 draws). Their work in this qualifying cycle is already complete: Didier Deschamps’ side have secured top spot in Group D and will make their 17th World Cup finals appearance next summer. They boast an almost perfect qualifying record, with four wins from five; the only dropped points came in a 2-2 draw away to Iceland last month. In their most recent qualifier, France convincingly defeated Ukraine 4-0, keeping their third clean sheet of the campaign.

Desire Doué, Eduardo Camavinga, and Ousmane Dembélé are all injured and will not feature.