Auxerre vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction 23.01.2026 | Ligue 1

Auxerre’s statistical profile this season highlights significant challenges. Offensively, the side averages fewer than one goal per match (0.78) and concedes at a rate double that figure, leaving them vulnerable particularly against top attacking sides such as PSG. The visitors’ recent form further exacerbates concerns: in league play, Auxerre have suffered three consecutive defeats, including losses to Lens, Brest, and Lille, while they were also knocked out of the Coupe de France by Monaco, having narrowly lost 2-1. 

Defensive frailties have been a persistent theme, as the team’s inability to limit opposition scoring opportunities has been reflected in their low table position. Injury and availability issues, while not fully disclosed in all sources, could hinder selection depth and tactical options for head coach Christophe Pélissier. As of now, Francisco Sierralta is the only absentee going into this fixture.

PSG enter the match with strong statistical credentials. With 40 goals scored, they boast one of the league’s most productive attacks, only Marseille have found the net more often than the reigning Ligue 1 champions, averaging well over two goals per game. Their defensive record (15 conceded) is also the second-best in the division, highlighting a balanced side capable of controlling play in both phases. 

PSG’s recent form includes a commanding 3-0 win over Lille in Ligue 1 but also a rather disappointing 2-1 defeat to Sporting Lisbon in the Champions League in mid-week. On top of that, they demonstrated inconsistency in cup competition and a recent loss to Paris FC in the Coupe de France indicates PSG are not immune to lapses. 

Nonetheless, PSG’s depth and quality - particularly in creative midfield and forward areas - should afford them tactical flexibility and threatening transitions against an Auxerre defence that concedes frequently. Only Joao Neves is listed as a doubt ahead of their trip to Auxerre.