Augsburg vs Werder Bremen prediction 20.12.2025 | Bundesliga

Augsburg enter the game with a defensive record that ranks among the more fragile in the league this season. Their goals-conceded-per-match and xG-against metrics indicate they allow significantly more high-quality chances than the league median, while averaging roughly 1.2 goals scored per game and an xG-for of around 1.35. Despite a couple of recent wins against Bayer Leverkusen (2-0) and Hamburger SV (1-0), Augsburg’s overall performances have shown little improvement, and they appear destined to fight for survival towards the end of the season, having suffered five defeats in their last seven Bundesliga outings.

Home performances show a mild improvement compared to away form, but clean sheets remain rare. Injuries have also disrupted defensive continuity: captain Jeff Gouweleeuw is out long-term following a serious knee injury that required surgery, forcing the manager to rotate at centre-back. Midfielder Fabian Rieder is the only Augsburg player to have scored more than two goals this season, with three to date.

Werder Bremen’s attacking profile is marginally more productive, with their xG-for per match sitting slightly above Augsburg’s. Several midfield players rank among the club’s leading contributors this campaign: Jens Stage has scored five goals, Samuel Mbangula has three to his name, while Romano Schmid has already registered four assists. In terms of recent form, Werder are enduring the most difficult period of their season so far, failing to win any of their last four Bundesliga fixtures (D1 L3).

Their most recent victory came over a month ago - a 2-1 home win against Wolfsburg - and their away record has been even more discouraging, with just one win in seven matches on the road (W1 D2 L4). Karim Coulibaly is suspended for this weekend following his sending off in the 4-0 defeat to Stuttgart, while Maximilian Wöber, Victor Boniface and Mitchell Weiser are all sidelined through injury.