Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction 21.09.2025 | Premier League

Arsenal

Arsenal

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester City

Manchester City

1

1.98

X

3.83

2

4.01

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 21st September, 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CEST
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium (London)

On Sunday afternoon, two English giants, Arsenal and Manchester City, will face off in the fifth round of the Premier League at Emirates Stadium in London. Both teams are coming to this match after winning their last PL game and the Champions League opener as well. 

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    5 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    2 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Manchester City

    0 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    1 : 0

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Community Shield

  6. Manchester City

    4 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

In the previous five seasons, Arsenal have been much better, winning three times (once after penalties), while the remaining two games ended as draws. However, before those five games, the Citizens were a lot better, winning eight in a row.

Regarding the number of goals, seven out of the last ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on six occasions.

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Arsenal are still searching for their 14th PL title. In the last three years, the Gunners finished second, twice behind Manchester City and once (last season) behind Liverpool. During the transfer window, they did very well and further improved the squad, which should improve their chances of finally winning the title.

This season, the Gunners opened the Premier League well, winning nine points in the first four games. Their only loss was against Liverpool, which undoubtedly hurt them, but it was a close match on the road. 

Besides a good start in the PL, the Gunners won 2:0 in the Champions League opener against Athletic Bilbao. After that win, coach Arteta was really happy, saying it was an incredible place to come and play, and the atmosphere was one of the best he had ever seen. "We knew it was going to be very difficult, so we had to earn the right to win the game," the coach added. 

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 2

    Arsenal

    Champions League

  2. Arsenal

    3 : 0

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    1 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    5 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    3 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    Emirates Cup

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 12

    Jurriën Timber

  • 3

    Cristhian Mosquera

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhães

  • 33

    Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders

  • 23

    Mikel Merino

  • 36

    Martín Zubimendi

  • 41

    Declan Rice

Forwards

  • 20

    Noni Madueke

  • 14

    Viktor Gyökeres

  • 10

    Eberechi Eze

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

Manchester City are coming off a disappointing campaign, at least by their own high standards. They ultimately finished third, but their performances throughout the season fell well below expectations. This year hasn't started much better. While it's not fair to call them bad, they have been inconsistent. After four rounds, the Citizens have two wins and two losses, leaving them in eighth place in the Premier League.

In the last game, the Citizens secured a 2:0 win over Napoli in the Champions League. Still, we must take that win with a pinch of salt as Napoli received an early red card. After the match, coach Pep Guardiola spoke to the media. He was very pleased because he knew how good Napoli is under Conte. "The Italian teams with 10 men can defend every block. How aggressive they are, I faced that many times in my career. We are really pleased," the coach added.

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Manchester City

    2 : 0

    Napoli

    Champions League

  2. Manchester City

    3 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Manchester City

    0 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  5. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 4

    Manchester City

    Premier League

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 45

    Abdukodir Khusanov

  • 3

    Rúben Dias

  • 24

    Josko Gvardiol

  • 33

    Nico O'Reilly

Midfielders

  • 47

    Phil Foden

  • 4

    Tijjani Reijnders

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

Forwards

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 11

    Jérémy Doku

Prediction

Thus far, Arsenal have won four out of five games across the competitions. Their only loss came on the road against Liverpool in a really tight match. The Reds eventually won with an amazing free kick from Szoboszlai, but the Gunners did not disappoint and had their chances.

Manchester City have been too inconsistent, as they have won three and lost two. In our opinion, they haven't been as good as expected, and their best win of the season came against a ten-man Napoli. 

Also, Arsenal haven't lost in the last five h2h games and absolutely dominated them in the previous match (5:1). Considering all the above, we believe the Gunners are slightly closer to winning the upcoming PL tie.

4 Reasons why Arsenal should win

  1. Arsenal won four of the last five games
  2. Arsenal won both home games this season
  3. Manchester City lost the previous road game vs Brighton
  4. Arsenal haven't lost the last five h2h matches

Main prediction Arsenal - Manchester City

Arsenal to win

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Arsenal vs Manchester City standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 9 - 4 +5 12
2 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 9 - 1 +8 9
3 Tottenham Hotspur 4 3 0 1 8 - 1 +7 9
4 AFC Bournemouth 4 3 0 1 6 - 5 +1 9
5 Chelsea 4 2 2 0 9 - 3 +6 8
6 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 5 - 3 +2 7
7 Everton 4 2 1 1 5 - 3 +2 7
8 Manchester City 4 2 0 2 8 - 4 +4 6
9 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 0 4 - 1 +3 6
10 Newcastle United 4 1 2 1 3 - 3 0 5
11 Fulham 4 1 2 1 3 - 4 -1 5
12 Brentford 4 1 1 2 5 - 7 -2 4
13 Brighton & Hove Albion 4 1 1 2 4 - 6 -2 4
14 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 4 - 7 -3 4
15 Nottingham Forest 4 1 1 2 4 - 8 -4 4
16 Leeds United 4 1 1 2 1 - 6 -5 4
17 Burnley 4 1 0 3 4 - 7 -3 3
18 West Ham United 4 1 0 3 4 - 11 -7 3
19 Aston Villa 4 0 2 2 0 - 4 -4 2
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 4 0 0 4 2 - 9 -7 0

Arsenal vs Manchester City – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Premier League this season is 1.49.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester City this season?

The average xG for Manchester City in the Premier League this season is 1.44.