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Arsenal vs Brentford prediction 03.12.2025 | Premier League

Arsenal

Arsenal

Kick off:

Date:

Brentford

Brentford

1

1.37

X

4.92

2

8.30

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Wednesday, 3rd December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium (London)

On Tuesday evening, the league's leader, Arsenal, will welcome Brentford in the 14th round of the Premier League. The hosts look for their eighth home win in a row across the competitions, while Brentford seek their first point after back-to-back road losses. 

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Arsenal vs Brentford Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    1 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  2. Brentford

    1 : 3

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  4. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Brentford

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Carabao Cup

  6. Arsenal

    1 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

Arsenal have been, expectedly, a much better team. In the past ten h2h games, the Gunners won seven times, while Brentford secured only one win.

Regarding the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in six out of ten h2h games. Meanwhile, both teams have scored in the same number of games (six). 

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Arsenal came fairly close to winning the title in the previous three years, finishing second (twice) behind Manchester City and (once) behind Liverpool. This year, the Gunners opened the season very well as they are sitting at the top spot with 30 points, five points above second-placed Manchester City. Even though they had the lead in the previous years, bookies did not believe in them in the early portion of the season. This year, the situation is different: the bookies offer odds of around 1.5 for them to win the title, while Manchester City are around 4.0.

After a 1:1 draw with Chelsea, despite having one player more from the 38th minute, coach Mikel Arteta spoke to the media. He was unhappy that they had failed to win, but proud of the players for putting in a really good effort in recent days. "In general, we lacked a bit more patience and quality in certain moments to create more rhythm, more dangerous situations, more second balls, and more chaos for them around their penalty area," the coach added.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

  3. Arsenal

    4 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    2 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Slavia Praha

    0 : 3

    Arsenal

    Champions League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 12

    Jurriën Timber

  • 3

    Cristhian Mosquera

  • 5

    Piero Hincapié

  • 33

    Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders

  • 41

    Declan Rice

  • 36

    Martín Zubimendi

  • 10

    Eberechi Eze

Forwards

  • 11

    Gabriel Martinelli

  • 23

    Mikel Merino

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

Brentford

Brentford team overview

With the exclusion of the 2023/24 season, Brentford have been a mid-table team since their promotion to the English top-flight division. Last year, the Bees finished tenth, and are doing a good job this year as well. Last year, they averaged 1.47 points per game, and this year, they are currently averaging 1.46 ppg. However, they have major problems on the road and will now face another challenging task against the best team in the league.

In the previous game against Burnley, Igor Thiago suffered an injury late in the game and is questionable for the upcoming match. The striker has been on an excellent run, scoring five goals in the past three games. So, his potential absence could be a massive factor for this match. 

Last matches of Brentford

  1. Brentford

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  3. Brentford

    3 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Crystal Palace

    2 : 0

    Brentford

    Premier League

  5. Grimsby Town

    0 : 5

    Brentford

    Carabao Cup

Brentford lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Caoimhín Kelleher

Defenders

  • 33

    Michael Kayode

  • 4

    Sepp van den Berg

  • 22

    Nathan Collins

  • 2

    Aaron Hickey

Midfielders

  • 6

    Jordan Henderson

  • 24

    Mikkel Damsgaard

  • 8

    Mathias Jensen

  • 23

    Keane Lewis-Potter

Forwards

  • 19

    Dango Ouattara

  • 7

    Kevin Schade

Prediction

Arsenal are playing a fantastic season. Their only loss this season was against Liverpool (1:0) in a super close match in August. And at home, they have been truly dominant, winning nine out of ten matches while covering the -1.5 AH spread on eight out of nine occasions! 

Brentford are doing fine this season, but most of their good games have come at home. On the road, the Bees lost five out of six PL games and still haven't faced any of the top four teams. 

Arsenal were also much better in their h2h duels, winning four of the last five meetings. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games, the difference in form, and Brentford's bad road record, we expect the Gunners to dominate and win by at least two goals' difference.

4 Reasons why Arsenal should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Arsenal won nine out of ten home games
  2. Arsenal covered the -1.5 AH spread in eight out of nine home wins
  3. Brentford lost five out of six PL road games
  4. Arsenal won four of the last five h2h games

Main prediction Arsenal - Brentford

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.08

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Arsenal vs Brentford standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 9 3 1 25 - 7 +18 30
2 Manchester City 13 8 1 4 27 - 12 +15 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 3 3 24 - 12 +12 24
4 Aston Villa 13 7 3 3 16 - 11 +5 24
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 13 6 4 3 21 - 16 +5 22
6 Sunderland 13 6 4 3 17 - 13 +4 22
7 Manchester United 13 6 3 4 21 - 20 +1 21
8 Liverpool 13 7 0 6 20 - 20 0 21
9 Crystal Palace 13 5 5 3 17 - 11 +6 20
10 Brentford 13 6 1 6 21 - 20 +1 19
11 AFC Bournemouth 13 5 4 4 21 - 23 -2 19
12 Tottenham Hotspur 13 5 3 5 21 - 16 +5 18
13 Newcastle United 13 5 3 5 17 - 16 +1 18
14 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 - 17 -3 18
15 Fulham 13 5 2 6 15 - 17 -2 17
16 Nottingham Forest 13 3 3 7 13 - 22 -9 12
17 West Ham United 13 3 2 8 15 - 27 -12 11
18 Leeds United 13 3 2 8 13 - 25 -12 11
19 Burnley 13 3 1 9 15 - 27 -12 10
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 13 0 2 11 7 - 28 -21 2

Arsenal vs Brentford – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Premier League this season is 1.69.

? How much is the average xG for Brentford this season?

The average xG for Brentford in the Premier League this season is 1.31.