Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor prediction 05.03.2026 | Turkish Cup
Kick off:
Date:
1
4.65
X
3.65
2
1.73
Contents
- Competition: Turkish Cup
- Date: 5th March 2026
- Kick-off: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
- Venue: Corendon Airlines Park
Thursday evening brings an interesting group clash in the Turkish Cup. Antalyaspor sit bottom of Group B. Samsunspor lead the section on goal difference. Nine points separate them. That gap sounds decisive. Still, cup football has its own mood.
Bookmakers lean toward the Red Lightning. However, recent head to head meetings suggest this is not a simple away day. The Scorpions have taken the last three encounters. That kind of memory tends to linger.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Antalyaspor
3 : 1
Samsunspor
Super Lig
-
Samsunspor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
Super Lig
-
Antalyaspor
2 : 1
Samsunspor
Super Lig
-
Samsunspor
2 : 0
Antalyaspor
Super Lig
-
Samsunspor
2 : 0
Antalyaspor
Super Lig
-
Antalyaspor
2 : 0
Samsunspor
Super Lig
Since 2014, these clubs have met nine times competitively. Antalyaspor hold five wins, including the last three. Clean sheets have been rare though. Only one for the Scorpions in that stretch. Samsunspor have three victories, with one draw completing the set. The average goals per game stands at 2.78.
Antalyaspor team overview
Since finishing runners up in the 2020 to 21 Turkish Cup campaign, the Scorpions have gradually slipped in this competition. Quarter final exit. Then two round of 16 eliminations. Now, frankly, group stage elimination feels possible.
Sami Uğurlu’s side have lost all three Group B matches. No goals scored. Eight conceded. That is a harsh reading. League form offers little comfort either, with just one win in six Super Lig games.
Yet home form gives a small reason for belief. Unbeaten in the last three at Corendon Airlines Park, including two wins. Lautaro Giannetti is a doubt after injury against Fenerbahce. Ege İzmirli and Ramzi Safuri remain sidelined.
Last matches of
-
Antalyaspor
2 : 2
Fenerbahce
Super Lig
-
Kayserispor
1 : 0
Antalyaspor
Super Lig
-
Antalyaspor
3 : 1
Samsunspor
Super Lig
-
Fatih Karagumruk
1 : 0
Antalyaspor
Super Lig
-
Iğdır FK
6 : 0
Antalyaspor
Turkish Cup
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Julián Cuesta
Defenders
-
4
Samet Karakoc
-
2
Hüseyin Türkmen
-
89
Veysel Sarı
-
3
Kenneth Paal
Midfielders
-
23
Jesper Ceesay
-
6
Soner Dikmen
-
26
Nikola Storm
Forwards
-
11
Samuel Ballet
-
22
Sander van de Streek
-
70
Doğukan Sinik
Samsunspor team overview
Last season, the Red Lightning reached the Turkish Cup round of 16 for the first time since 2012 to 13. That felt like a milestone. Now Thorsten Fink’s side seem determined to go further.
Three group wins underline that ambition. A 2- 1 victory over Eyüpspor. Then a 6-2 statement against Aliağa. Followed by a controlled 2-0 over Bodrum. Efficient. Confident.
Curiously, league form tells a different story. Winless in four Super Lig matches, with goals hard to find. Moreover, Samsunspor have lost their last four visits to Antalyaspor. Add the fact that qualification is already secured, and rotation would not surprise me.
Bedirhan Çetin, Afonso Sousa, Emre Kılınç, Tanguy Coulibaly, Olivier Ntcham and Zeki Yavru are unavailable due to injuries.
Last matches of
-
Samsunspor
0 : 0
Gaziantep
Super Lig
-
Samsunspor
4 : 0
Skendija 79
Europa Conference League
-
Fatih Karagumruk
0 : 0
Samsunspor
Super Lig
-
Skendija 79
0 : 1
Samsunspor
Europa Conference League
-
Antalyaspor
3 : 1
Samsunspor
Super Lig
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Okan Kocuk
Defenders
-
2
Joe Mendes
-
24
Toni Borevković
-
4
Rick van Drongelen
-
17
Logi Tómasson
Midfielders
-
5
Celil Yüksel
-
20
Yalçın Kayan
-
55
Yunus Emre Çift
Forwards
-
7
Elayis Tavsan
-
9
Marius Mouandilmadji
-
47
Jaurès Assoumou
Prediction
A 2–2 draw feels realistic here. Samsunspor have won all three group matches but remain winless in four recent league games, showing a certain imbalance. Meanwhile, Antalyaspor have seen nine of their last eleven home fixtures go over 2.5 goals. Goals look likely on both sides, yet neither defence inspires complete trust.
Three reasons we expect three or more goals in this game
- Nine of the last eleven home games of Antalyaspor produced over 2.5 goals.
- Samsunspor failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their last 13 away games.
- Each of the last three meetings between Antalyaspor and Samsunspor produced over 2.5 goals.
Main prediction -
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.90
vs standings in Turkish Cup
| Group B | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 - 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 - 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 3 | Gençlerbirliği | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 - 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 - 4 | +5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyüpspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 - 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliağa FAŞ | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 - 13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrum FK | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 - 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 - 8 | -8 | 0 |