Algeria vs Burkina Faso prediction 28.12.2025 | AFCON
Algeria
1 - 0
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Full time: 1 - 0
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Burkina Faso
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Contents
- Competition: AFCON
- Date: 28th December 2025
- Kick-off: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
- Venue: Moulay Hassan Stadium
Algeria and Burkina Faso meet in Rabat on Sunday evening with both already off to a perfect start at AFCON. On paper, there is a clear gap. Algeria sit 34th in the FIFA rankings, while Les Étalons trail back in 62nd. Rankings only tell part of the story. My preview will analyze the form of both sides and give you some of the best betting options.
Algeria vs Burkina Faso Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Algeria
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Algeria
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Algeria
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Algeria
1 : 0
Burkina Faso
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Burkina Faso
3 : 2
Algeria
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
-
Algeria
2 : 0
Burkina Faso
Friendly International
This matchup is surprisingly competitive when you delve into the history since 2006. Over eight encounters, Algeria and Burkina Faso have been evenly matched, each claiming two victories while the remaining four games ended in draws. The scoreboard reflects just how closely they are tied. With an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Algeria team overview
Algeria’s build-up to AFCON could hardly have gone much better. Les Fennecs cruised through Group E without losing a game, finished top on 16 points, and for long stretches barely looked tested.
That calm confidence carried straight into Morocco. Sudan were put away 3-0 in the opener, Mahrez scoring twice and Maza chipping in, and it all felt fairly straightforward.
That result pushed Algeria’s unbeaten competitive run to 18 matches, which is already eye-catching. Look closer, though, and it gets even stronger.
Fourteen wins and eleven clean sheets in that period point to a team that manages matches well, not one that relies on chaos.
Mahrez, now on 38 international goals, is still the reference point. With no injuries picked up in the first game, Vladimir Petković has little reason to shuffle his starting eleven.
Last matches of Algeria
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Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations
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Algeria
6 : 7
UAE
Arab Cup
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Algeria
2 : 0
Iraq
Arab Cup
-
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
Arab Cup
-
Algeria
0 : 0
Sudan
Arab Cup
Algeria lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Luca Zidane
Defenders
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25
Rafik Belghali
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2
Aïssa Mandi
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21
Ramy Bensebaini
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15
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Midfielders
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14
Hicham Boudaoui
-
17
Farès Chaïbi
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10
Ismaël Bennacer
Forwards
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7
Riyad Mahrez
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9
Baghdad Bounedjah
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18
Mohamed Amoura
Burkina Faso team overview
Burkina Faso arrive with momentum of their own, and it should not be brushed aside. Les Étalons have won their last five matches and are unbeaten in seven, which puts them right up there among the tournament’s form sides.
Finishing second behind Senegal in qualifying was respectable, but the recent 2-1 comeback win over Equatorial Guinea felt like something more. A statement, maybe.
Brama Traoré’s side have scored at least twice in each of their last four matches, and they managed the same in their last two meetings with Algeria.
That alone will give them belief, even if the odds say otherwise. Edmond Tapsoba’s winner last time out was his fifth international goal, and the Leverkusen centre-back is locked in at the heart of defence.
Georgi Minoungou made a strong case from the bench with his fourth goal for the national side, though Traoré may be reluctant to change a winning lineup.
Last matches of Burkina Faso
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Burkina Faso
2 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
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Burkina Faso
3 : 0
Benin
Friendly International
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Burkina Faso
3 : 2
Niger
Friendly International
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Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
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Sierra Leone
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Burkina Faso lineup
Goalkeeper
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16
Hervé Koffi
Defenders
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25
Steeve Yago
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14
Issoufou Dayo
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12
Edmond Tapsoba
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26
Arsène Kouassi
Midfielders
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20
Gustavo Sangaré
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18
Ismahila Ouédraogo
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22
Blati Touré
Forwards
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10
Bertrand Traoré
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27
Pierre Landry Kaboré
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7
Dango Ouattara
Prediction
Algeria look set to edge this 1-0. Les Fennecs have conceded just three goals in their last eight matches and kept eleven clean sheets during their long unbeaten run. Burkina Faso have allowed only two goals in their last five competitive games, which points to a tight match decided by one moment of quality late on in Rabat tonight perhaps.
Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game
- Two of the last four meetings between Algeria and Burkina Faso finished under 2.5 goals.
- Algeria have conceded three goals across their last eight matches.
- Burkina Faso have allowed just two goals in their last five competitive games.
Main prediction Algeria - Burkina Faso
Under 2.5 goals
Algeria vs Burkina Faso standings in Africa Cup of Nations
| Group E | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 - 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 - 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 - 6 | -4 | 0 |