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Ireland vs South Africa prediction: what to bet on in the match on November 22nd

By Klimentijs Konevs | Published: November 21, 2025

Ireland face world champions South Africa at the Aviva Stadium on Saturday, 22 November. The Springboks earned big wins over Japan, France, and Italy, but this matchup is never easy, as Ireland have defeated South Africa in four of the last five meetings. This will be the last game of the year for Ireland, so they will be looking to end their season on a high. Here at MightyTips, our experts break down what to expect and where the best betting value might be.

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H2H stats

Across the last 10 meetings, Ireland hold a narrow edge with six wins to South Africa's four. It's really impressive, considering how overall dominant the Springboks are in world rugby. For your notice, Ireland were also the only team to beat South Africa at the 2023 Rugby World Cup, winning 13-8 in Paris.

Ireland Form

Ireland have enjoyed a largely strong year. They picked up convincing wins throughout the Six Nations and delivered some huge results in the summer. The team destroyed Portugal 106-7, breaking the record for the biggest margin in their history. The Autumn Series started with a loss to New Zealand, but they quickly bounced back with wins over Japan and Australia. Ireland recently slipped to 4th in the world rankings, just behind England. However, the gap between the teams is extremely small, so it's a matter of time for them to get back into the top 3.

Ireland Injuries & Team News

Ireland have a long list of injuries this autumn, but Andy Farrell's squad still looks strong, heading into this game. Caelan Doris captains the side, with Mack Hansen keeping the 15 jersey after his hat-trick against Australia. Garry Ringrose and Bundee Aki in midfield, giving Ireland a more experienced centre combination. Young fly-half Sam Prendergast is trusted to start again, while Tadhg Furlong, James Ryan, and Tadhg Beirne anchor a powerful pack.

South Africa Form

South Africa won both the 2023 and 2019 World Cups and are currently the number one team in the global rating. Their Autumn tour has been ruthless, with big wins over Japan, France and Italy. By the way, they played large parts of those matches with 14 men, as Lood de Jager was sent off against France and received a four-match ban, and a week later, Franco Mostert also saw red versus Italy. The Springboks have one more match to play after this one, which may influence how they manage the squad and energy.

South Africa Injuries & Team News

South Africa arrived in Dublin with a much stronger lineup than last week. Damian Willemse starts at full-back, while Kolbe, Kriel, and de Allende form the backline. Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu is chosen at fly-half instead of Handré Pollard. The pack looks powerful too, with Malcolm Marx, Thomas du Toit, Eben Etzebeth, and Siya Kolisi all returning. RG Snyman will make his 50th international appearance from the bench, and both Franco Mostert and Lood de Jager are unavailable.

Ireland vs South Africa key betting facts

  • Four of the last five clashes between them have been decided by seven points or fewer.
  • With South Africa currently No.1 in the rankings, Ireland remain one of the few sides to have beaten them home and away in the last three years.
  • These teams have met 30 times, with Ireland taking six of the last ten meetings.

Ireland vs South Africa Predictions

This rivalry usually produces tight, physical contests, and Saturday should be no different. South Africa arrive in top form and with a near full-strength squad, but given the history between these two teams, the game will be close. The Boks' power and deeper bench may give them the late advantage, making a 1-12 winning margin a realistic outcome.

Both sides' recent clashes have actually opened up, with the last two meetings producing higher scores. Ireland are creating more chances at home, while South Africa's attack has been sharp on this tour. If the tempo lifts early, this fixture will go over 46.5 points.

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Klimentijs Konevs

Klimentijs Konevs

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Klimentijs Konevs

Klimentijs Konevs

Sports have always been a big part of my life, whether it was playing with friends on the court or watching a game at home. Over time, my interests evolved, and I discovered a huge interest in combat sports. For more than a decade now, I've been enjoying the world of MMA and boxing, following fighters, analysing techniques, and comparing the mental and physical preparation before every fight.

Any game and any fight is always a little more interesting to watch if you have a bet placed. That's why I often don't just look forward to an event, but I also study the strategy of each team or fighter in advance, watching behind-the-scenes videos of training sessions to accurately weigh the chances of winning.