David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde Prediction and Odds

By Klimentijs Konevs | Published: November 21, 2025

On November 22 at Riyadh's ANB Arena, David "The Monster" Benavidez will defend his WBC and WBA World Light Heavyweight titles against Anthony "The Beast" Yarde as the main event for The Ring IV. With Dmitry Bivol and Artur Beterbiev busy chasing their own trilogy, Benavidez vs Yarde stands out as the most logical and exciting fight in the light heavyweight division.

The unbeaten Benavidez finally gets the big stage he's long deserved after years of being avoided by Canelo and others. Across from him, Yarde returns for another title shot, eager to prove his power can trouble anyone in the division. Our experts at MightyTips share their Yarde vs Benavidez prediction, analysing physical form and recent bouts of both fighters.

Bookmakers clearly favour Benavidez at 1.11 to win, while Yarde sits at 6.50. The odds also lean towards a Benavidez KO/TKO finish at 1.66 rather than a full-distance fight.

Benavidez comes into this fight still unbeaten and hasn't really been close to losing. Since bigger names avoided him at 168, he moved up and beat good light-heavyweights like Oleksandr Gvozdyk and David Morrell, showing he can carry his style to 175. Before that, he defeated Demetrius Andrade and Caleb Plant, so he's been fighting solid opponents, not padding his record.

Benavidez relies on pressure, work rate and heavy combinations. He doesn't give rivals time to think. Maybe that's why Canelo and even Bivol weren't rushing to fight him. However, he sometimes comes in straight and can be hit, especially early. A fast starter like Yarde can land on him. Still, over 12 rounds, Benavidez usually breaks fighters down, and his engine is better than Yarde's. That's why sportsbooks have him as a clear favourite in Riyadh.

.@Benavidez300 cracks Morrell with an uppercut in RD6, stopping him momentarily.

Order #BenavidezMorrell NOW on PPV: https://t.co/9aI7AJEcHx pic.twitter.com/cYBwh4twR6

— Premier Boxing Champions (@premierboxing) February 2, 2025

Yarde remains one of Britain's most exciting punchers, who has built his career on explosive knockouts. After going toe-to-toe with Artur Beterbiev in 2023, Yarde proved he belongs at the world level, even in defeat. Since that loss, he's rebuilt momentum with four straight wins, including a solid decision over Lyndon Arthur in their trilogy fight earlier this year. In general, he has been more active in the ring than Benavidez for the last couple of years.

Yarde's best weapons are his hand speed, timing, and powerful combinations, especially early when he's fresh. However, stamina has sometimes been an issue in long fights. Against a relentless pressure fighter like Benavidez, Yarde must rely on his sharp counters and movement to land clean before the pace catches up.

Six weeks out from his world title clash against David Benavidez, Anthony Yarde looks sharp on the pads 🦁🏕️#BenavidezYarde pic.twitter.com/Z4CQXXNatU

— Boxing News+ (@BoxingNewsPlus) October 9, 2025

Benavidez's last fight with Morrell in February was brutal. He won on points, but took heavy damage and looked noticeably worn after twelve hard rounds. That kind of fight can leave lasting effects, especially now that he's moving straight into another war against a big puncher like Anthony Yarde. Still, Benavidez's size, reach, and relentless pressure make him dangerous from start to finish. If he's fully recovered, his pace could overwhelm Yarde. Expect this one to end inside the distance, and most likely a Benavidez KO/TKO once he breaks Yarde down in the middle rounds.

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