Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction 12.05.2025 | Serie A

• Competition: Serie A
• Date: 12/05/2025
• KO: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CEST
• Venue: Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (Venezia)

The Stadio Pierluigi Penzo is the host for Serie A action on Monday evening as Venezia hosts Fiorentina. 

Venezia vs Fiorentina Betting Tips - Under 2.5 Goals/Venezia or Draw

Venezia continue their fight against relegation when they take on a potentially fatigued Fiorentina on Monday evening. 

Eusebio Di Francesco’s side comes into this contest still inside the relegation zone after a 1:1 draw against Torino last weekend. Placed 18th in the division, I Leoni Alati find themselves just one point short of safety with three games still to play. 

A decent run of form has seen Venezia lose just one of their last five matches, however an inability to turn draws into victories remains their Achilles Heel. Seven of the hosts' last ten games finished deadlocked. 

Low-scoring outcomes have been frequent for the home side, particularly at this venue. Under 2.5 goals were scored in each of Venezia's last nine home fixtures, with just ten goals scored across those matches at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. 

Fiorentina return to Serie A action after a painful elimination in their Conference League semi-final against Real Betis on Thursday. After a 2:1 defeat in 90 minutes, the Spaniards secured a first-ever European final with Abdessamad Ezzalzouli's extra-time goal ensuring Italian heartbreak in Florence. 

A poor record on the road has seen the Viola win just two of their last ten away Serie A games, and after Thursday's energy-sapping defeat, Raffaele Paladino's side could struggle to overcome a tough-to-beat home side, in a likely low-scoring contest.

Each of the last six league encounters between these sides saw fewer than three goals scored, and a similar outcome is expected on Monday.

Under 2.5 goals is my best bet, while I also like Venezia's chances of picking up a positive result at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo.