Valencia vs Real Oviedo prediction 29.09.2025 | La Liga

Valencia

Valencia

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Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo

1

1.73

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3.73

2

5.89

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Monday, 29th September, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

On Monday evening, Valencia will welcome Real Oviedo at Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia in the seventh round of La Liga. The hosts hope to extend their unbeaten home streak to four, while the visitors wish to win their first points away from home. 

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

H2H stats

These teams haven't met in a very long time. The last time they met was in 2001 when they drew 0:0. Looking further back, Real Oviedo haven't won in the previous nine H2H games. Meanwhile, Valencia won four of those, with five other games ending as draws.

In that nine-game stretch, we saw three or more goals four times (44%), while both teams scored in the same number of games.

Valencia

Valencia team overview

Valencia has been a mid-table team for the past six seasons, constantly finishing between 9th and 14th. The popular Bats continued with similar performances this year, sitting in 11th place with eight points after six rounds. Still, at home, they were fantastic and will look for another good home performance against newly promoted Real Ovideo. 

After a 2:2 draw with Espanyol, coach Calos Corberan spoke to the media. He said they were close to winning all three points, but allowed a goal in the stoppage time. The coach acknowledged they were better in the first half when they overcame Espanyol's pressure and were aggressive defensively. However, he admitted that at times they played too high, which left them vulnerable in defense.

Last matches of Valencia

  1. Espanyol

    2 : 2

    Valencia

    La Liga

  2. Valencia

    2 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    6 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

  4. Valencia

    3 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

  5. Osasuna

    1 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

Valencia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Julen Agirrezabala

Defenders

  • 20

    Dimitri Foulquier

  • 5

    César Tárrega

  • 4

    Mouctar Diakhaby

  • 14

    José Gayà

Midfielders

  • 16

    Diego López

  • 22

    Baptiste Santamaria

  • 18

    Pepelu

  • 11

    Luis Rioja

Forwards

  • 9

    Hugo Duro

  • 7

    Arnaut Danjuma

Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo team overview

Real Oviedo managed to return to the Spanish top-flight division after 24 years and spent the last ten years in La Liga 2. Their goal is only to survive somehow, but they haven't started the season very well. After six rounds, they have won only three points and sit in 18th place. 

For this game against Valencia, four players who missed the previous games due to injuries should remain sidelined - David Costas, Oviemuno Ejaria, Alvaro Lemos, and Nacho Vidal. Meanwhile, Federico Vinas served his two-game suspension and will be available for the Valencia game. 

Last matches of Real Oviedo

  1. Real Oviedo

    1 : 3

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  2. Elche

    1 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  3. Getafe

    2 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  4. Real Oviedo

    1 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  5. Real Oviedo

    0 : 3

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

Real Oviedo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Aarón Escandell

Defenders

  • 24

    Lucas Ahijado

  • 2

    Eric Bailly

  • 16

    David Carmo

  • 3

    Rahim Alhassane

Midfielders

  • 10

    Haissem Hassan

  • 5

    Alberto Reina

  • 8

    Santi Cazorla

  • 20

    Leander Dendoncker

  • 7

    Ilyas Chaira

Forwards

  • 23

    Salomón Rondón

Prediction

Valencia are doing pretty well this season. However, most of their good games happened at home, where they won seven out of eight points (87.5%). At Estadio de Mestalla, the Bats had two excellent wins over Getafe (3:0) and Athletic Bilbao (2:0). Even a 1:1 vs Real Sociedad was outstanding, as they were much closer to winning. Just with a little more luck, we could speak about a home three-game winning streak. 

Meanwhile, Real Oviedo lost five out of six games - 83%. Their only points came at home against Real Sociedad when they won 1:0 in a match where Sociedad were a lot better. On the road, they lost three out of three games and haven't scored a goal vs Elche, Getafe, and Villarreal! 

Considering what we have seen from these teams this year, and especially Valencia's home and Real Oviedo's road performances, we firmly believe the Bats are much closer to winning the upcoming La Liga tie. 

3 Reasons why Valencia should win

  1. Valencia won seven points in the first three home games
  2. Real Ovideo lost five out of six La Liga games
  3. Real Ovideo haven't scored away from home

Main prediction Valencia - Real Oviedo

Valencia to win

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.73

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Valencia vs Real Oviedo standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 7 6 1 0 21 - 5 +16 19
2 Real Madrid 7 6 0 1 16 - 8 +8 18
3 Villarreal 7 5 1 1 13 - 5 +8 16
4 Elche 7 3 4 0 10 - 6 +4 13
5 Atlético Madrid 7 3 3 1 14 - 9 +5 12
6 Real Betis 7 3 3 1 11 - 7 +4 12
7 Espanyol 7 3 3 1 10 - 9 +1 12
8 Getafe 7 3 2 2 8 - 9 -1 11
9 Sevilla 7 3 1 3 11 - 10 +1 10
10 Athletic Club 7 3 1 3 7 - 8 -1 10
11 Valencia 6 2 2 2 8 - 10 -2 8
12 Deportivo Alavés 7 2 2 3 6 - 7 -1 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 1 4 5 - 7 -2 7
14 Levante 7 1 2 4 11 - 14 -3 5
15 Rayo Vallecano 7 1 2 4 7 - 10 -3 5
16 Celta de Vigo 7 0 5 2 6 - 9 -3 5
17 Real Sociedad 7 1 2 4 7 - 11 -4 5
18 Mallorca 7 1 2 4 6 - 11 -5 5
19 Real Oviedo 6 1 0 5 2 - 11 -9 3
20 Girona 7 0 3 4 3 - 16 -13 3

Valencia vs Real Oviedo – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Valencia this season?

The average xG for Valencia in La Liga this season is 0.94.

? How much is the average xG for Real Oviedo this season?

The average xG for Real Oviedo in the La Liga this season is 0.84.