Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Prediction 05.04.2026 | Bundesliga

Union Berlin head into Sunday’s clash occupying a respectable 9th position in the standings with 31 points to their name, though they will be eager to banish the memories of a bruising 4-0 defeat at the hands of league leaders Bayern Munich in their most recent outing.

Despite that heavy setback, Die Eisernen remain a notoriously difficult side to overcome on home soil, where their blend of tactical discipline and physical intensity has helped them avoid defeat in four of their last six matches in the capital.

Holding a comfortable six-point cushion above the relegation playoff spot, Union are well aware that a composed and professional display here would all but extinguish any lingering fears of a late-season collapse, allowing them to steer their 2025-26 campaign towards a calm and positive finish.

Head coach Steffen Baumgart has relatively few selection concerns to contend with, as only backup goalkeeper Matheo Raab is sidelined with a hand injury, while Robert Skov remains a doubt as he continues his recovery from a long-term muscle problem.

St. Pauli arrive at the Stadion An der Alten Forsterei as a modest embodiment of Bundesliga resilience, yet they currently occupy a precarious 16th position, which leads to the relegation playoff, with only a two-point gap separating them from safety.

Under the guidance of Alexander Blessin, the visitors have endured a turbulent return to the top flight, initially sparking optimism with an impressive three-game unbeaten start (W2 D1), though that early momentum has since faded into a more sobering reality, leaving the Kiezkicker determined to fight for survival.

A persistent Achilles’ heel for St. Pauli has been their struggles on the road, having managed just two victories from 14 away outings, and Blessin will be tasked with tightening a defensive unit that has appeared vulnerable away from home, conceding 24 goals so far, at an average nearing two per match.

To further complicate matters, Ricky-Jade Jones and James Sands are both sidelined with ankle injuries, while Eric Smith has returned from international duty carrying a knock and is also expected to miss Sunday’s contest.