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Ukraine vs Sweden prediction 26.03.2026 | World Cup Qualifiers

Ukraine

Ukraine

Kick off:

Date:

Sweden

Sweden

1

3.04

X

3.29

2

2.61

  • Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
  • Date: 26th March 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Ciutat de València

Ukraine and Sweden meet on Thursday in what feels less like a routine qualifier and more like a one-shot opportunity. The stakes are obvious. A win here nudges either side much closer to the 2026 World Cup. Ukraine, still playing away from home soil, host this in Spain, which adds a certain emotional weight you can’t quite measure. It is not just about tactics. It is also about composure, and maybe who handles the moment better.

Ukraine vs Sweden Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sweden

    1 : 2

    Ukraine

    European Championship

  2. Ukraine

    2 : 1

    Sweden

    European Championship

  3. Ukraine

    0 : 1

    Sweden

    Friendly International

  4. Sweden

    1 : 1

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  5. Sweden

    0 : 1

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

These sides have faced each other five times since 2008. Not a huge sample, but enough to spot a pattern. Ukraine edge it slightly with two wins, while Sweden have one. Two ended level. Goals have been scarce overall, averaging just under two per game, which hints at tight contests rather than open battles.

Ukraine

Ukraine team overview

Rebrov’s side come in with something resembling momentum. Three wins from four games is not perfect, but it is steady enough to build on. The 5–3 win over Iceland showed attacking intent, though conceding three is hardly reassuring. Then again, the follow-up 2–1 win over Azerbaijan suggested a bit more control.

The 4–0 loss to France in November still lingers, and it probably should. That kind of result exposes gaps that stronger teams will exploit. However, the response, a 2–0 win against Iceland, mattered. It ended a long stretch without a clean sheet, which had become a quiet concern.

There are fresh faces too. Ruslan Neshcheret and Matvii Ponomarenko step in, adding curiosity if not immediate certainty. Injuries to Oleksandr Zinchenko and Artem Dovbyk do limit options, especially going forward.

Last matches of Ukraine

  1. Ukraine

    2 : 0

    Iceland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. France

    4 : 0

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Ukraine

    2 : 1

    Azerbaijan

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Iceland

    3 : 5

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Azerbaijan

    1 : 1

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

Ukraine lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 3

    Bogdan Mykhaylichenko

  • 13

    Illia Zabarnyi

  • 5

    Valeriy Bondar

  • 16

    Vitalii Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 15

    Viktor Tsygankov

  • 17

    Georgiy Sudakov

  • 6

    Ivan Kalyuzhnyi

  • 18

    Yehor Yarmolyuk

  • 20

    Oleksandr Zubkov

Forwards

  • 7

    Vladyslav Vanat

Sweden

Sweden team overview

Sweden arrive in a far less convincing place. Potter’s side have not won in six competitive matches, which is more than just a rough patch. It is starting to look like a pattern. Four defeats in that run, and more worrying, three games without scoring. That suggests deeper issues than simple bad luck.

The 1–1 draw with Slovenia in November stopped the losing streak, but it did not exactly signal a revival either. It felt more like a pause than a turnaround. Still, Potter will take anything that steadies the group.

The squad itself is stretched. Missing Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski is significant, no need to overthink that. Add in absences across the squad, and the burden shifts to players like Anthony Elanga and Viktor Gyökeres to hold things together. Whether that is enough remains open.

Last matches of Sweden

  1. Sweden

    1 : 1

    Slovenia

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Switzerland

    4 : 1

    Sweden

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Sweden

    0 : 1

    Kosovo

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Sweden

    0 : 2

    Switzerland

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Kosovo

    2 : 0

    Sweden

    WC Qualification Europe

Sweden lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Melker Ellborg

Defenders

  • 2

    Gustaf Lagerbielke

  • 15

    Carl Starfelt

  • 3

    Victor Lindelöf

  • 8

    Daniel Svensson

Midfielders

  • 18

    Yasin Ayari

  • 22

    Besfort Zeneli

  • 19

    Mattias Svanberg

  • 7

    Lucas Bergvall

Forwards

  • 11

    Anthony Elanga

  • 17

    Viktor Gyökeres

Prediction

A 1–1 draw feels like the outcome that keeps showing up when you look closely. Ukraine have been decent but not airtight, while Potter’s side struggle to score yet rarely collapse completely. Sweden have drawn their last match and tend to keep things tight. Ukraine, for all their wins, have not been consistently clinical. It points to balance, not separation.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals

  1. Only one of the previous five meetings between Ukraine and Sweden produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. Sweden scored just two goals over the course of their last five matches.
  3. Ukraine failed to score in three of their last six encounters.

Main prediction Ukraine - Sweden

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

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Ukraine vs Sweden – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Thursday’s World Cup qualifying contest⁠ between Ukraine and Sweden.

? What⁠ is Ukraine’s average number⁠ of corners in their last five competitive matches?

4.80

? What is Sweden’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their last five encounters?

2.00