Ukraine vs Iceland prediction 16.11.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers
Ukraine
Kick off:
Date:
Iceland
1
1.72
X
3.55
2
5.10
Contents
- Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
- Date: 16th November 2025
- Kick-off: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
- Venue: Marshall Józef Piłsudski's Municipal Stadium
Ukraine and Iceland meet in Warsaw for a massive showdown in the race for World Cup qualification. Both teams sit on seven points, so the stakes couldn’t be higher. Iceland only need a draw because their goal difference look stronger, while Ukraine must take all three points. Our preview breaks down their history, team updates and the best betting angles for the match.
Ukraine vs Iceland Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Iceland
3 : 5
Ukraine
WC Qualification Europe
-
Ukraine
2 : 1
Iceland
Euro Qualification
-
Iceland
2 : 0
Ukraine
WC Qualification Europe
-
Ukraine
1 : 1
Iceland
WC Qualification Europe
Ukraine and Iceland have played four times since 2015, three in World Cup qualifying and one in Euro qualifying. Ukraine slightly lead the head-to-head with two wins, both of which have occurred in their most recent encounters and scored seven goals over those games. Iceland secured one victory and the other match was drawn. The average number of goals scored per game during that spell was 3.75.
Ukraine team overview
Ukraine can never make it to a World Cup without leaving their road hanging by a thread, and they’ve walked that wire in each of their last two cycles.
The National Team are currently in 3rd Group D but a win over Iceland takes them into 2nd position. Serhiy Rebrov will demand an immediate response after their winning streak came to a humbling end at the hands of France in midweek.
It was their worst defensively since they conceded that amount in a 4-0 loss to England in the Euro quarterfinals almost four years ago.
Rebrov might look to mix things up this weekend, with Mykola Shaparenko and Viktor Tsygankov returning to the starting team.
Last matches of Ukraine
-
France
4 : 0
Ukraine
WC Qualification Europe
-
Ukraine
2 : 1
Azerbaijan
WC Qualification Europe
-
Iceland
3 : 5
Ukraine
WC Qualification Europe
-
Azerbaijan
1 : 1
Ukraine
WC Qualification Europe
-
Ukraine
0 : 2
France
WC Qualification Europe
Ukraine lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Anatoliy Trubin
Defenders
-
3
Bohdan Mykhaylichenko
-
4
Oleksandr Svatok
-
22
Taras Mykhavko
-
13
Illia Zabarnyi
Midfielders
-
10
Mykola Shaparenko
-
8
Yehor Nazaryna
-
18
Yehor Yarmolyuk
Forwards
-
19
Nazar Voloshyn
-
9
Roman Yaremchuk
-
14
Oleh Ocheretko
Iceland team overview
Iceland stunned the world by winning its group and advancing to the 2018 World Cup, but wasn’t able to repeat that feat in 2022 and now faces an early exit once again.
A recent 2-2 draw against France and a 2-1 win over Azerbaijan has given them hope. Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s side require only a draw to keep their prospects alive and will be confident after losing just two of their last four games against Ukraine.
With Our Boys keeping a clean sheet in Azerbaijan, Gunnlaugsson could stick with the same XI and back three of Badalov, Mustafazade and Kryvotsyuk.
Last matches of Iceland
-
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Iceland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Iceland
2 : 2
France
WC Qualification Europe
-
Iceland
3 : 5
Ukraine
WC Qualification Europe
-
France
2 : 1
Iceland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Iceland
5 : 0
Azerbaijan
WC Qualification Europe
Iceland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Elías Rafn Ólafsson
Defenders
-
14
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
-
3
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
-
5
Sverrir Ingi Ingason
-
4
Victor Pálsson
Midfielders
-
9
Hákon Haraldsson
-
8
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
-
7
Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson
Forwards
-
20
Kristian Hlynsson
-
22
Andri Guðjohnsen
-
10
Albert Guðmundsson
Prediction
Ukraine enter this match with their backs against the wall, and that pressure often brings out their sharpest football. Iceland look dangerous on the break, but Ukraine carry more firepower and should edge a lively contest. I expect both sides to find the net, yet Ukraine’s stronger attacking rhythm should tilt the game in their favor. With both teams chasing qualification, the tempo should stay high and push the match past the 2.5-goal mark.
Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game
- Eight of the last ten games of Ukraine ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Bets on over 2.5 goals won in eight of the last ten games of Iceland.
- Each of the last two meetings between Ukraine and Iceland produced over 2.5 goals.
Main prediction Ukraine - Iceland
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
20Bet
2.15
Ukraine vs Iceland standings in WC Qualification Europe
| Group D | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 - 3 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 - 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 3 | Iceland | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 - 9 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 - 13 | -11 | 1 |