Ukraine vs France prediction 05.09.2025 | World Cup qualification

Kick off:

Date:

1

9.00

X

4.90

2

1.34

  • Competition: World Cup qualification
  • Date: Friday, 5th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

On Friday night in Wroclaw, Ukraine will host France in the group's derby. France are one of the best teams in Europe, but Ukraine is the team that could make their qualifications a little more complicated. Can Sergiy Rebrov get a shocking victory at the start of the World Cup qualifications? Let's break down the matchup and find the best possible betting option. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Ukraine

    1 : 1

    France

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. France

    1 : 1

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. France

    7 : 1

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  4. France

    3 : 0

    Ukraine

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Ukraine

    2 : 0

    France

    WC Qualification Europe

  6. Ukraine

    0 : 2

    France

    European Championship

France are usually better than Ukraine, as they have won six of the last ten H2H matches. Ukraine won only one game during that span, while three finished with a draw. The teams' last H2H matches were in 2021 in the previous World Cup qualifications, in which both encounters ended 1-1. 

Ukraine team overview

Although Ukraine plays regularly at the European championships, they failed to qualify for the World Cup since 2006. Sergiy Rebrov's team will have a hard job to reach the tournament that will be played next year in the USA, Mexico, and Canada, as France seems too good for all teams in the qualification group. However, Ukraine are a strong favorite for the second position and a place in the playoffs. 

Ukraine played well in the last 12 months as they lost only two of the previous eight games, including friendlies. Both defeats came in 2025, but in the most recent outing, Ukraine won 2-1 against New Zealand. Rebrov's team probably deserved to beat the opponent with a more significant margin in that game. 

Ukraine have some problems before the game against France. Real Madrid's goalkeeper Andriy Lunin will miss the national team's games in September due to injury. Anatoliy Trubin will likely start in the upcoming game, while Dmytro Riznyk and Georgiy Bushchan will be reserves. 

Last matches of

  1. New Zealand

    1 : 2

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

  2. Belgium

    3 : 0

    Ukraine

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Ukraine

    3 : 1

    Belgium

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Albania

    1 : 2

    Ukraine

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Georgia

    1 : 1

    Ukraine

    UEFA Nations League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 2

    Yukhym Konoplya

  • 13

    Ilya Zabarnyi

  • 22

    Mykola Matvienko

  • 16

    Vitaliy Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 8

    Georgiy Sudakov

  • 24

    Yegor Yarmolyuk

  • 10

    Mykola Shaparenko

Forwards

  • 20

    Oleksandr Zubkov

  • 11

    Artem Dovbyk

  • 14

    Vladyslav Vanat

France team overview

France are one of the strongest teams in the World. They reached two finals in the last two World Cups, while last year, France lost in the semifinal of the EURO. It would be a huge shock if Didier Deschamps' team doesn't finish at the top of the qualification group. 

France played well in the last 12 months, losing only two of the last nine matches. In the previous game, they won 2-0 against Germany in the game for the third spot in the Nations League. 

France also have some injury problems. Rayan Cherki has a serious quadriceps injury, and in his absence, the head coach, Didier Deschamps, decided to call Liverpool's Hugo Ekitike. Although they are not playing in the same position, the head coach said he wants to have as many attacking options as possible. Deschamps also said that he plans to use Ekitike in September's matches. 

Last matches of

  1. Germany

    0 : 2

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    5 : 4

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  3. France

    5 : 4

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Croatia

    2 : 0

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Italy

    1 : 3

    France

    UEFA Nations League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 5

    Jules Kounde

  • 15

    Ibrahima Konate

  • 4

    Dayot Upamecano

  • 22

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 8

    Aurelien Tchouameni

  • 11

    Michael Olise

  • 6

    Khephren Thuram

Forwards

  • 7

    Ousmane Dembele

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappe

  • 12

    Desire Doue

Prediction

Both these teams are high-scoring. Ukraine scored nine goals in the last five matches. On the other hand, France scored 12 goals in the same span. Although the previous two H2H matches between these teams ended 1-1, Ukraine and France are brilliant in offense lately, so we should expect at least three goals in the upcoming tie. Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

4 Reasons why we should expect at least three goals in this match

  1. Ukraine scored nine goals in the last five matches
  2. There were three or more goals in each of the previous five Ukraine games
  3. France scored 12 goals in the last five matches
  4. There were three or more goals in two of the previous three France games

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

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winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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1.89

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vs standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group D P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Azerbaijan 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Ukraine 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Iceland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 France 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

Ukraine vs France – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much was the average xG for Ukraine in the last Nations League?

The average xG for Ukraine in the previous Nations League was 1.15. 

? How much is the average xG for France in the last Nations League?

The average xG for France in the previous Nations League was 1.90.