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Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction 22.02.2026 | Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

Kick off:

Date:

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

6.35

X

4.12

2

1.63

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 22nd February 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CET
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

One of the biggest rivalries in English football, the North London Derby between Tottenham and Arsenal, will get another chapter on Sunday afternoon. The two clubs, located only about six km apart, welcome the upcoming clash with completely different ambitions. While Tottenham are fearing relegation, Arsenal are on course for their first Premier League trophy in more than 20 years. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    4 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    0 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Club Friendlies 1

  3. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  4. Tottenham Hotspur

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Tottenham Hotspur

    2 : 3

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  6. Arsenal

    2 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

Arsenal won six of the last seven H2H matches against Tottenham, with one draw. In the only meeting this season, the Gunners won 4-1. Also, it is worth noting that four of the previous five H2H games ended with three or more goals. 

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham team overview

Tottenham have another terrible season. They are only five points ahead of the relegation zone and could have a very stressful next few months. The Spurs had a good run of four games without defeat, but they returned to a sad reality with two losses in their last two matches. In the most recent outing, Tottenham lost 2-1 at home against Newcastle. Although the hosts played solidly, the guests' much better efficiency was enough to leave Tottenham empty-handed again.

Tottenham had high expectations when they appointed Thomas Frank, but the board decided to part ways with him last week. He was replaced by Igor Tudor, who began the current season in charge of Juventus but was dismissed shortly afterward. Tudor's only trophy in his coaching career was more than ten years ago, when he won the Croatian cup with Hajduk Split.

After the appointment, Igor Tudor talked about the upcoming match against Arsenal. He said, "A big week is ahead of us. A derby is a special match, and we want to play it in a way that will please our fans. We have to be brave, give our maximum, but also stay smart and disciplined in order to achieve our goal – victory."

Tottenham have big problems with injuries. They will be without Wilson Odobert, James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, Rodrigo Bentancur, Mohammed Kudus, Ben Davies, Lucas Bergvall, Cristian Romero, Destiny Udogie, Kevin Danso, Richarlison, and Pedro Porro.

Last matches of Tottenham Hotspur

  1. Tottenham Hotspur

    1 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    2 : 2

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Eintracht Frankfurt

    0 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Champions League

  5. Burnley

    2 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Guglielmo Vicario

Defenders

  • 14

    Archie Gray

  • 3

    Radu Dragusin

  • 37

    Micky van de Ven

  • 24

    Djed Spence

Midfielders

  • 22

    Conor Gallagher

  • 8

    Yves Bissouma

  • 29

    Pape Matar Sarr

Forwards

  • 39

    Randal Kolo Muani

  • 19

    Dominic Solanke

  • 7

    Xavi Simons

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Arsenal are excellent this season. They are five points ahead of the next team in the standings, Manchester City (with one game more played). Arsenal are undefeated in the last seven matches across all competitions. However, their worst game was the most recent, when Mikel Arteta's team played 2-2 on the road against Wolverhampton. Although the visitors ended with significantly higher xG, the hosts fought bravely and took two points from Arsenal.

Arsenal's head coach, Mikel Arteta, was very disappointed after a draw against Wolves. He said, "Extremely disappointed, obviously, with the result, with the way the game ended, but we have to blame ourselves. I think the performance in the second half didn't show anything close to the standards that are required in this league to win, and with the margins that I think should have existed today, especially in the manner that we played the first half. Any hit, any bullet, take it, because we didn't perform at the level that is required."

Arsenal will be without Mikel Merino and Max Dowman on Sunday afternoon, while Kai Havertz and Martin Odegaard are questionable.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    2 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    4 : 0

    Wigan Athletic

    FA Cup

  3. Brentford

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    3 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    1 : 0

    Chelsea

    Carabao Cup

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 12

    Jurrien Timber

  • 2

    William Saliba

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhaes

  • 5

    Piero Hincapie

Midfielders

  • 36

    Martin Zubimendi

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

  • 41

    Declan Rice

Forwards

  • 20

    Noni Madueke

  • 14

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 11

    Gabriel Martinelli

Prediction

Tottenham conceded six goals in the last three matches. On the other hand, Arsenal scored 23 goals in the previous nine games. Also, four of the last five H2H matches between these two teams ended with at least three goals. We should expect another high-scoring game on Sunday afternoon. 

4 Reasons why we should expect three or more goals in this match

  1. Tottenham conceded six goals in the last three matches
  2. Arsenal scored 23 goals in the previous nine games
  3. There were three or more goals in seven of the last nine Arsenal matches
  4. Tottenham and Arsenal went over 2.5 goals in four of the previous five H2H games

Main prediction Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.88

Bet here

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 27 17 7 3 52 - 20 +32 58
2 Manchester City 26 16 5 5 54 - 24 +30 53
3 Aston Villa 26 15 5 6 37 - 27 +10 50
4 Manchester United 26 12 9 5 47 - 37 +10 45
5 Chelsea 26 12 8 6 47 - 30 +17 44
6 Liverpool 26 12 6 8 41 - 35 +6 42
7 Brentford 26 12 4 10 40 - 35 +5 40
8 Everton 26 10 7 9 29 - 30 -1 37
9 AFC Bournemouth 26 9 10 7 43 - 45 -2 37
10 Newcastle United 26 10 6 10 37 - 37 0 36
11 Sunderland 26 9 9 8 27 - 30 -3 36
12 Fulham 26 10 4 12 35 - 40 -5 34
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 8 10 28 - 32 -4 32
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 26 7 10 9 34 - 34 0 31
15 Leeds United 26 7 9 10 36 - 45 -9 30
16 Tottenham Hotspur 26 7 8 11 36 - 37 -1 29
17 Nottingham Forest 26 7 6 13 25 - 38 -13 27
18 West Ham United 26 6 6 14 32 - 49 -17 24
19 Burnley 26 4 6 16 28 - 51 -23 18
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 27 1 7 19 18 - 50 -32 10

Tottenham vs Arsenal – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Tottenham this season?

The average xG for Tottenham in the Premier League this season is 1.31.

? How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Premier League this season is 1.71.