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Sweden vs Poland prediction 31.03.2026 | World Cup Qualification UEFA Playoffs

Sweden

Sweden

Kick off:

Date:

Poland

Poland

1

2.07

X

3.54

2

4.00

  • Competition: World Cup Qualification UEFA Playoffs, Final
  • Date: 31st March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Strawberry Arena

Sweden and Poland will face off in the UEFA World Cup Qualification Playoffs Path B Final, with a place at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on the line. The decisive encounter will be played in Solna, with the winner securing one of the final European qualification spots for the tournament in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Sweden arrive after a convincing semi-final victory over Ukraine, while Poland edged past Albania in a tightly contested fixture, setting up a high-stakes clash between two evenly matched European sides.

Sweden vs Poland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Poland

    2 : 0

    Sweden

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Sweden

    3 : 2

    Poland

    European Championship

Historically, meetings between Sweden and Poland have been competitive and closely contested, with recent encounters producing narrow scorelines and goals at both ends. Poland have struggled for consistency against Sweden in previous major tournament meetings, including defeats in recent international fixtures. However, the Poles emerged victorious in their most recent head-to-head meeting in 2022, recording a 2-0 win in Chorzów.

Sweden

Sweden team overview

Sweden head into this fixture with renewed confidence following a commanding 3-1 victory over Ukraine in the playoff semi-final, with Viktor Gyökeres scoring a hat-trick and leading the attacking line with authority. The result demonstrated Sweden’s attacking efficiency and improved tactical structure under manager Graham Potter, who has been tasked with rebuilding the national side after a disappointing qualification campaign in which they finished bottom of Group B with just two points from six matches.

Sweden will rely heavily on Gyökeres’ finishing ability and their structured midfield to control possession and dictate tempo in front of a home crowd.

Last matches of Sweden

  1. Ukraine

    1 : 3

    Sweden

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Sweden

    1 : 1

    Slovenia

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Switzerland

    4 : 1

    Sweden

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Sweden

    0 : 1

    Kosovo

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Sweden

    0 : 2

    Switzerland

    WC Qualification Europe

Sweden lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Kristoffer Nordfeldt

Defenders

  • 2

    Gustaf Lagerbielke

  • 4

    Isak Hien

  • 3

    Victor Lindelöf

  • 6

    Herman Johansson

  • 5

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 18

    Yasin Ayari

  • 16

    Jesper Karlström

  • 11

    Anthony Elanga

  • 10

    Benjamin Nygren

Forwards

  • 17

    Viktor Gyökeres

Poland

Poland team overview

Poland progressed to the final after a 2-1 comeback victory over Albania, with Robert Lewandowski scoring the equalizer and Piotr Zieliński netting the decisive goal in the second half. The performance highlighted Poland’s resilience and ability to perform under pressure, particularly in high-stakes playoff matches. Poland finished second in their World Cup qualifying group behind the Netherlands and have remained relatively consistent, losing only one match during the qualifying campaign to the three-time World Cup finalists, while producing solid defensive displays and efficient attacking numbers. 

The team continues to rely on Lewandowski’s experience and goal-scoring ability, supported by Zieliński’s creativity and midfield control. Poland’s recent performances suggest a disciplined and pragmatic tactical approach, focusing on defensive stability and quick counter-attacks, which could prove effective against Sweden’s structured system.

Last matches of Poland

  1. Poland

    2 : 1

    Albania

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Malta

    2 : 3

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Poland

    1 : 1

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Lithuania

    0 : 2

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Poland

    1 : 0

    New Zealand

    Friendly International

Poland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Kamil Grabara

Defenders

  • 4

    Tomasz Kędziora

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 14

    Jakub Kiwior

  • 19

    Michał Skóraś

  • 2

    Matty Cash

Midfielders

  • 10

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 20

    Sebastian Szymański

  • 13

    Jakub Kamiński

  • 17

    Filip Rózga

Forwards

  • 9

    Robert Lewandowski

Prediction

A narrow Sweden victory or a draw leading to extra time appears to be the most likely outcome, with Sweden slightly favored due to home advantage and recent momentum. However, Sweden’s defensive record has not been particularly strong, highlighted by a disappointing qualifying campaign in which they conceded 12 goals in total; therefore, BTTS appears to be a likely outcome.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score (BTTS).

Three reasons we expect BTTS

  1. Sweden have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven consecutive UEFA international fixtures.
  2. BTTS has landed in Sweden’s last three international fixtures.
  3. Poland’s last three international fixtures have also seen BTTS.

Main prediction Sweden - Poland

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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Melbet

1.95

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Sweden vs Poland – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Sweden take on Poland on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Sweden have won in the World Cup Qualification 2026?

5.3

? What is the average number of corners Poland have won in the World Cup Qualification 2026?

6.3